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Watch live @CBCNews: Ontario health authorities to release coronavirus modelling data projecting potential scale of COVID-19 outbreak. Due to begin at 12:30 pm ET. cbc.ca/1.5519144
Ontario health authorities say province has confirmed 67 deaths, says higher numbers in media reports likely due to a lag in official reporting by 'hard-pressed' local health authorities.
Mortality rate among people over the age of 80 who contract COVID-19 is 16% in Ontario, health officials say. Public Health president says that's an indication that 'we must protect our elderly.'
Ontario coronavirus modelling suggests that without intervention, province would have had 6,000 deaths by end of April. On track for 1,600, but could go down to 200 if people follow guidelines. Number of cases would have been 300,000; on track for 80,000, could go down to 12,500.
Number of COVID-19 deaths in Ontario over the anticipated length of the pandemic (up to 2 years) could have hit 100,000 without public health measures, officials say. Modelling now projects 3,000 to 15,000 deaths, which is largely dependent on whether people follow guidelines.
Provincial modelling suggests that under a best-case scenario, Ontario will need to add 900 ICU beds by the time the surge hits in order to treat the expected number of coronavirus patients.
Ontario health authorities say reducing coronavirus deaths and cases will require additional measures to prevent infections. Includes limiting the number of essential services, expanding retail shutdowns, and imposing entry restrictions for some vulnerable communities.
Ontario health officials say removing physical distancing restrictions 'some way off.' They say the goal is driving down COVID-19's reproductive rate and 'chopping the top off the curve' before considering if there are places where restrictions can be 'selectively lifted.'
Ontario announces closure of more sectors of the economy. Effective midnight Saturday, work stops at industrial construction sites. Current residential construction continues, but no new projects can begin. Infrastructure such as health and transport facilities are exempt.
Update @CBCNews: Ontario health experts say they expect COVID-19 could kill 3,000 to 15,000 people in the province over the course of the pandemic, the ramifications of which could last up to two years. cbc.ca/1.5519575
Update @CBCNews: Ontario announces new restrictions on construction, will extend list of non-essential businesses to industrial building sites, says new residential projects must be put on hold. #coronavirus cbc.ca/1.5520192
Ontario cuts list of essential services to 44 from 74, cannabis stores no longer exempt. Retailers restricted to curbside pick-up or delivery include hardware, vehicle parts, office supplies, computer sales, pet supplies. Link to Ontario government list: ontario.ca/page/list-esse…
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