For comparison, I now also include price & emissions average (AVG) from full 24-country sample!
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First off, Austria, with ample hydro resources (70%), resulting in whole-period low emissions, well below 24-country AVG
Remaining oil & coal now replaced with non-hydro renewables & gas, further lowering emissions
Prices have tracked AVG prices, with increase last 15 years
Finland reduced emissions intensity by 70% in 8 years due to nuclear rollout of late-1970s. Went from AVG to low emissions, maintaining below-AVG prices.
Emissions have stayed below AVG with stable nuclear & hydro stable, supplemented by non-hydro renewables recently.
Italy is interesting for two reasons: no other country increased emissions as much from 1960 to 1990, because all new demand was met by FF; & only sample country to shut down nuclear (post-Chernobyl).
Prices have spiked last decade as non-hydro renewables & gas displace oil.
Lastly, USA has had higher emissions & lower prices than AVG over entire period.
Emissions first decreased moderately as nuclear displaced some gas & oil. From 1998, based on stable nuclear & hydro, gas & non-hydro renewables displaced some coal.
Prices rel. stable over period
Include emissions & price averages (AVG) from 24-country sample 4 comparison!
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With no hydro resources, Denmark relied on coal & oil and had very high emissions until early 2000s when non-hydro renewables (RE) & gas started to displace coal.
Since then, RE has grown but so has biomass, so that emissions lowered to AVG.
Prices have increased well above AVG.
France reduced emissions intensity by 80% in 11 peak years of nuclear rollout of late-1970s. Went from AVG to very low emissions, maintaining AVG prices.
Emissions have stayed very low with stable nuclear & some hydro, sup. by small non-hydro renewables. Prices remain below AVG.
2/n. There are many ways to compare performance "traditional" vs. "restructured" USA states.
An influential analysis by @BorensteinS & Bushnell (2015) argues restructuring did not lower retail prices and was mostly driven by “pursuit of quasi-rents”.
3/n. In a very recent paper, Ken Rose et al (2021) confirm that retail prices have increased in restructured states relative to traditional states, after controlling for a series of other variables...
1/n. Who can be opposed to "energy democracy", right?
When writing my 2018 @ccpa article on the Ontario, Canada electricity reforms, I wanted to explore whether the now-revoked Green Energy Act (GEA) had "democratized" electricity supply.
2/n. Cost side of GEA ledger is known (+prices, +budgets, etc.), but could we add "democracy" to benefits side?
Gov't promoted GEA based on Germany, where 50% RE contracts are co-ops+.
In prepping for @Dr_Keefer episode, looked for updated Ontario %
3/3. Data hard to come by; in 2018 I estimated 5% RE contracts were coops.
New PhD calculates only 3.3%, stating "GEEA turned out to be a failure on energy democracy front, continuing...corporate welfare"
So no, the GEA did not "democratize" the grid... tspace.library.utoronto.ca/handle/1807/10…
1/N: My previous 9-country #COVID19 age-based case analysis was "static" due to data limitations, etc.
In this thread I present a dynamic analysis of case rates for high-risk age groups since the beginning of the pandemic in #Italy, #Spain, #Germany, #Canada & #Chile
Thread...
2/N: Focus is on 60+ age groups because, due to higher CFRs, these account for 90-95% of all fatalities
To reduce fatalities in current AND future #COVID19 waves, it is critical to understand case dynamics & whether "real" and generalized and if so, what are possible drivers?
3/N: @AndreasShrugged beat me to presenting dynamic analysis for #Germany & started interesting discussion, which can now be generalized based on 4+ countries
F3 presents same data differently (distinct periods, excl <60), with same results - an increase in cases for 80+ group
F1 shows % of national pop in each of three high-risk age groups:
1) IT/ES/FR/DE are higher risk, with IT highest risk 2) CN/KR/CL are lower risk 3) US/CA have medium risk
3/N: F2 shows % national confirmed cases by high-risk age groups
Testing regimes affects # & distribution of cases, especially in initial phases; with that caveat: F2 is consistent with lower current CFRs in CN/KR/DE & higher in IT/ES/FR. CFRs in US/CA/CL still evolving....