Klimabilanz 2021: Deutschlands THG #Emissionen steigen um 4,5% (+33 Mio t CO2) ➡️ #2030Klimaziel droht außer Reichweite zu geraten. Ursachen: deutlich mehr Kohlestrom, mehr Heizbedarf, teilerholte Wirtschaft, niedriger Erneuerbaren-Ausbau & Erzeugung. 1/11 Die Energiewende in Deutschland: Stand der Dinge 2021
Emissionen sinken für 2030-Ziel nicht schnell genug. Deutlich zu wenig #Klimaschutz bei #Gebäude & #Verkehr, mehr Emissionen in der #Energiewirtschaft. #Industrie nur wegen Coronaeffekten auf Zielpfad. Nur Erneuerbare + Energieeffizienz bringen nachhaltige THG-Einsparungen. 2/11
#Erneuerbare erzeugen 2021 236,7 TWh Strom (-5,4% vgl. mit 2020): ungünstigere Wetterlagen schwächen Produktion von regenerativem Strom + fehlender Erneuerbaren-Ausbau kann Minderproduktion nicht kompensieren. Hoher #Gaspreis lässt #Kohleverstromung wieder steigen. 3/11
Stärkster Erneuerbaren-Rückgang der Geschichte (-13 TWh regenerativer Strom). Vor allem ausbleibende Starkwinde senken die #Windstrom-Erzeugung (-14,4 TWh). #PV gelingt ein leichter Anstieg dank Zubaus (+0,4 TWh). 4/11
#Kohleverstromung feiert Comeback, erster Anstieg seit 8 Jahren➡️ 12,2% mehr #Emissionen beim Strom. Gründe: 1) Kohle übernimmt Gasanteile wegen hohem #Gaspreis, 2) #Fossile springen für EE ein und 3) mehr Strombedarf wegen wirtschaftlicher Teilerholung. 5/11
Erneuerbaren-Zubau verbessert sich kaum, Gesamtleistung Ende 2021: 137 GW (+10%). #PV belegt beim Zubau den ersten Platz, 3/4 entfallen auf PV, der Rest auf #Wind an Land. Für 2030-Ziel muss die #BuReg das Tempo beim EE-Zubau mind. verdreifachen & Hemmnisse abbauen. 6/11
Für das 80% Erneuerbaren-Ziel bis 2030 benötigt DE 544-600 TWh Erneuerbaren Strom. Die EE-Erzeugung muss sich innerhalb der nächsten 9 Jahre mind. verdreifachen. #PV-Ausbau-Offensive kann schon 2022 neue Dynamik schaffen. 7/11
Starke Preisanstiege für Energie an der Börse: Erdgaspreis x11, Steinkohlepreis: x4, Strompreis x9 & CO₂-Zertifikatspreis x3. Gründe u.a. kalter Jahresbeginn, höhere Nachfrage & geopolitische Lage. #Erneuerbare dämpfen die #Energiepreiskrise & begrenzen Preisanstieg. 8/11
2021 legt @BVerfG den akuten Handlungsbedarf offen. Noch nie war die Diskrepanz zw. Klimazielen und Emissionsentwicklung größer. Die neue #BuReg muss die #Energiewende mit wirkungsvollen Maßnahmen rasch beschleunigen ➡️ Deutsche #Klimapolitik ist nicht auf Kurs. 9/11
Die Publikation „Die Energiewende in Deutschland: Stand der Dinge 2021“ inklusive aller Grafiken und Hintergrundinformationen können Sie jetzt auf unserer Webseite downloaden. Hier geht’s lang: bit.ly/3G5b0oG 10/11
Nicht verpassen – am 11. Januar 2022 stellen unsere Kollegen @simongmueller, @fabianhein4 und Thorsten Lenck die Zahlen der Jahresauswertung 2021 genauer vor und ordnen diese ein. Jetzt digitale Teilnahme sichern und anmelden unter: bit.ly/34vI9fl 11/11

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More from @AgoraEW

15 Dec 21
Our take on the @EU_Commission’s second part of the #Fitfor55 package aimed at re-designing the EU’s internal #gasmarket rules and governing a future European #hydrogen pipeline network. 1/12
1️⃣ gas market: The proposed revisions to the internal gas market rules do not address that Europe’s #climatetargets imply a rapidly shrinking market for #fossilgas use already this decade. 2/12
The need to scale down #fossilgas and replacement by #electrification and only partially by non-fossil gases must become the underlying narrative of the gas market rules. Here is why! 3/12
Read 12 tweets
18 Nov 21
Hydrogen is one lever for #climateneutrality in areas which are challenging to electrify. But where does #H2 research stand currently & what new findings are available? With our new impulse "12 Insights on #Hydrogen" we shed light on the subject. 🧵 👇 1/8 Image
Finding 1: By 2050, carbon-free #H2 provides 1/5 of world's final energy, mainly made from renewable electricity. H2 should first decarbonize industry, shipping, aviation + consolidate a #greenenergy system. H2 infrastructure should meet need of industry, ports & power grids. 2/8 Image
Finding 2: Financing #greenH2 in no-regret applications (industry, power, shipping, aviation) needs additional policy support since #carbonprice will remain insufficient over the next decade. No credible financing strategy for introducing green #H2 in #households. 3/8 Image
Read 8 tweets
3 Nov 21
Do you already know our #GlobalSteel Transformation Tracker? Our new online tool provides insights on the status quo of #steelproduction worldwide, to the necessary reinvestments, announcements of #greensteel production before 2030 and more. Ready for some insights? 👇 #COP26 1/7 Global Steel Transformation...
Where are the steel centres located? Are blast furnaces, integrated direct reduced iron or electric arc furnace used for production? Our interactive map with data from @GlobalEnergyMon/@caitlinswalec lets you explore steelmaking around the world. 2/7 Image
Our #GlobalSteel Transformation Tracker visualises the required reinvestments of a country’s #blastfurnace fleet from 2021-2050. That most of the blast furnaces will reach the end of its working life before 2030 is an opportunity to replace them with low-carbon technologies. 3/7 Image
Read 7 tweets
3 Nov 21
#COP26 & #GlobalSteel: Steel sector must invest in 2020s into climate-neutral technologies to meet emission reductions target + to get on a 1.5°C pathway. We examined the opportunities + challenges for a green asset transition of the steel sector in various countries. Thread👇1/6 Image
Finding 1: Before 2030, 71% of existing coal-based blast furnaces (1090 Mt) need reinvestment. Together with new investment in emerging markets (170 Mt), it must flow to low-carbon technologies to save jobs and align the sector with 1.5°C pathway. 2/6 Image
Finding 2: #GlobalSteelTransformation must start in 2020s: key low-carbon technologies can be deployed now. Green steelmaking capacity before 2030 ➡️ many projects in pipeline. Operators should switch to secondary steel production + DRI, coal-based may be a dead-end road. 3/6 Image
Read 6 tweets
5 Oct 21
With the #SofiaDeclaration, the 6 #WesternBalkans countries have committed to #climateneutrality in 2050. To achieve this, a #lignite phase-out for power production is needed, ideally by 2040. To support the debate, we have developed 6 pathways (THREAD). #EUGreenDeal 1/12 The Future of Lignite in the Western Balkans
Where do we stand today? WB-6 power markets consist almost exclusively of two generation technologies: #lignite and #hydro. The share of either source varies considerably between the countries. 2/12 The Future of Lignite in the Western Balkans
Finding 1: 90 % of #lignite power plants in the #westernbalkans was put into operation 30 or more years ago. 40 % of the capacities are older than 40 years. The power plant park is in urgent need of #modernisation. 3/12
Read 12 tweets
5 Oct 21
EU #CoalPhaseOut action plan: 16 EU Members States will be #coal free by 2025, remaining states must follow by 2030 for a cost-efficient #netzero pathway. 6 countries not yet committed to 2030. We identified a policy mix without new fuel lock-ins & minimum costs. Findings 👇1/9 Phasing out coal in the EU’s power system by 2030
Key Finding 1: The EU's 2030 climate target of -55 % requires a complete #coal phase-out in the power system by 2030. An EU-wide #CoalPhaseOut2030 saves 1 billion tons of CO2 compared to 40 % emissions reduction at little additional costs to consumers. 2/9
How will the EU coal phase-out by 2030 affect the price of #electricity? Consumers can expect a price increase of only 0.5 ct/kWh with a policy mix scenario - a figure that is dwarfed by the current increase in #powerprices driven by more costly #fossilgas. 3/9 Phasing out coal in the EU’s power system by 2030
Read 9 tweets

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