John Quakes Profile picture
Mar 6 7 tweets 10 min read
#USA/#EU rely on #Russia's oil to meet 8%/27% of demand.😯 A ban on Russian oil means finding alternate sources to fill gap & moderate price rise.🎢 #USA & #EU also rely on #Russia for 20% of #Nuclear fuel supply.😱 A thread for U on banning that👇 .../2 wsj.com/articles/biden…
2) Majority of US/EU imports of #Russia's #uranium is in Enriched Uranium(EUP) with Russia having 43% of global enrichment capacity.🇷🇺 If US/EU (or Russia) were to ban imports then first impact, I think, would be steep price rise for EUP, enrichment SWU & UF6 enricher feed⬆️ ../3
3) A US/EU ban on #Russia's #uranium would require alternate enrichment plants in #USA & #EU to increase output ASAP.🏭 They've been in low demand, running with excess SWU capacity that's led to underfeeding & large secondary U supply⛏️ to lessen the #Nuclear fuel deficit.⚛️.../4
4) New skyrocketed demand for #SWU enrichment & #UF6 feed to those enrichment facilities would, imho, drive Up #SWU & #UF6 prices.💲⬆️ Enrichers can't quickly add more enrichment capacity so instead would flip from underfeeding to overfeeding of #UF6 to get more EUP per SWU. ../5
5) Overfeeding involves feeding more #UF6 #uranium into centrifuges than provided by #Nuclear fuel buyer, so enricher will need to go to Spot market & elsewhere to buy extra UF6 needed, if available, spiking higher prices for UF6 & for conversion of #U3O8 to produce UF6.💲⬆️../6
7) Rising demand for #Uranium conversion services to produce more #UF6 would likely hasten restart of the ConverDyn Metropolis conversion plant in #USA & ramping up of other #U3O8 conversion facilities in #France & #Canada that have been operating well below capacity.⬆️⛏️ .../8
8) Finally, at front-end of #Nuclear fuel cycle, spike in immediate demand for #UF6 & #U3O8 conversion would force buyers into the Spot #Uranium market to buy up as much #U3O8 feed as possible🛒🚛 as there's little time for writing term contracts.⌛️ U Price & U #stocks soar🚀🌜🔚

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More from @quakes99

Jan 15
1) With many #Uranium Explorers now actively drilling in #Canada's #AthabascaBasin⛏️ perhaps it's time⏳ for a thread on how to interpret drill data🗒️ coming soon in news releases.📰 Misunderstanding data can lead to missed opportunities💰 or unexpected losses.😟 Be ready!👨‍🏫.../2
2) #Uranium explorers drill rock core samples looking for signs of #U3O8 bearing ore.🧐 Rarely do they hit high-grade on first few attempts.😟 Geologists first look for visual signs in the core samples. Here's description from pre-discovery 2013 drilling at $NXE's Arrow👇 .../3
3) Visual inspection of core samples is just 1 of many steps taken to see if #uranium is found. Presence of radioactivity is best indicator☢️ so all cores are scanned with an instrument called a Hand-held Scintillometer to produce "Scint" CPS tables for each core interval.🗒️.../4
Read 11 tweets
Jan 1
Happy #Nuclear New Year!⚛️🥳 60-page #EU Taxonomy plan that includes Nuclear as qualifying for low-cost #CleanEnergy project financing 💰🌞 is available for download at this link:
👉 app.box.com/s/f7rgsninwhkf…

Fabulous news for #Uranium sector investors.🤠🐂
Main points 🧵 .../2
2) Covers construction and safe operation of new #Nuclear power plants for basically any function that helps to reduce CO2 emissions - generating electricity, industrial heat, district heating, producing hydrogen - as long as construction permit is issued by 2045 🌞🏗️⚛️ .../3
3) Existing EU #Nuclear fleet is also covered in the providing of low-cost financing for upgrades and modifications that will extend reactor operating life to maintain their contribution to climate mitigation, if authorized by 2040.🌞⚛️

.../4
Read 6 tweets
Dec 5, 2021
U may feel sucker-punched🥊 or prayers answered😇 or got stopped out🤨 by broad market downturn that hammered #Uranium #mining #stocks🔨 but we still have a #U3O8 supply deficit⏬⛏️ vs surging #CarbonFree #Nuclear demand⚛️⏫ with fundamentals stronger than they've ever been!🏋️‍♂️👇
Regardless of where share prices of #Uranium #stocks may be🤿 there's still a growing fleet of #Nuclear reactors demanding far more #U3O8 fuel than is being mined🔀⛏️ with #China #India #UK #France #Canada & other nations planning to build many more.🏗️⚛️⏫
In just the past few months we've seen a major shift towards embracing #CarbonFree #Nuclear #energy🤗⚛️ as once again key to achieving global #NetZero emissions goals🌞 reducing air pollution🏭☠️ & decarbonizing industry in electrifying 'everything'⚡️🔌🌏
Read 6 tweets
Nov 28, 2021
1/13) #Uranium #mining #stocks are blessed with increasingly bullish fundamentals🤠🐂 as surging demand for #CarbonFree #Nuclear #energy for #NetZero🌞⚛️🏗️⬆️ collides with a sustained #U3O8 supply deficit.💥⛏️⬇️ Here's a thread 4U that explores the Uranium #investing thesis💰🧵👇
2) #Uranium #mining #stocks are famous⭐️ for delivering investors extraordinary life-altering returns😎🍹🏝️ when they enter a boom cycle⤴️ after a long painful bear market for #Nuclear fuel😩 when supply/demand fundamentals shift🌊 as they have now in a strong bull market🤠🐂../3
3) #Uranium is a cyclical commodity🔃 that goes through boom & bust cycles based on supply vs demand imbalances⚖️ magnified to extremes🌜 by supply security fears😟 as there is no substitute fuel for #nuclear reactors⚠️ so fear can lead to panic buying by nuclear utilities🛒.../4
Read 13 tweets
Oct 30, 2021
1) Cantor Fitzgerald reaffirms their Buy Rating with US$32/C$40 Price Target🎯 for Cameco $CCJ $CCO as #Uranium Sentiment Continues to Improve 🤠🐂 with term U prices heading higher⬆️ & offers up their key takeaways🥡 from Q3 Results Conference Call👨‍💻 #Nuclear #mining #ESG🏄‍♂️ ...2
2) "macro setup for #Uranium, and by extension Cameco, is exceptional"😃 as "some urgency" towards long-term contracting returns😟as #SPUT in thin Spot market is killing carry trade⚰️ & Q3 Long-Term #U3O8 price is Up $10 +28%⬆️ but still "early innings" in contracting cycle⚾️...3
3) Cantor provides their view on @Sprott Physical #Uranium Trust as its Spot #U3O8 purchases are "permanently sequestered."🔒 Cameco is not interested in launching its own U fund as Kazatomprom is doing with ANU Energy & world's largest U mine restart is a mid-decade event😲.../4
Read 4 tweets
Oct 3, 2021
1/13 #Uranium #mining #stocks are blessed😇 with incredibly bullish fundamentals🤠🐂 as surging demand for #CarbonFree #Nuclear #energy⚛️🏗️⬆️ for #NetZero🌞 collides💥 with a sustained #U3O8 supply deficit.⛏️⬇️ Here's a thread 4U that explores the Uranium #investing thesis 💰🧵👇 Image
2) #Uranium #mining #stocks are famous⭐️ for delivering investors extraordinary life-altering returns😎🍹🏝️ when they enter a boom cycle⤴️ after a long painful bear market for #Nuclear fuel😩 when supply/demand fundamentals shift🌊 as they have now in a strong bull market🤠🐂../3 ImageImageImageImage
3) #Uranium is a cyclical commodity🔃 that goes through boom & bust cycles based on supply vs demand imbalances⚖️ magnified to extremes🌜 by supply security fears😟 as there is no substitute fuel for #nuclear reactors⚠️ which can lead to panic buying by nuclear utilities🛒 .../4 Image
Read 13 tweets

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