Kyle Orton Profile picture
May 14 37 tweets 24 min read
Thread: 14 May 2022: Day 80 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
It might not be completely finished yet—#Russia still has positions in the area—but as of 13 May #Ukraine has clearly defeated the Russians around #Kharkiv, and the complete eviction of Russian troops retreating toward the border is only a matter of time.
Reports that #Israel will send Blue Spear anti-ship missiles to #Ukraine (via Estonia)
#Russia's RAO Nordic "suspended" electricity supplies to #Finland overnight. This accounts for 10% of Finnish electrical supplies. Helsinki is unphased by this: says #Sweden will make up the short-fall; there will be no blackouts. novayagazeta.eu/articles/2022/…
A helpful test case suggesting that #Ukraine's figures on #Russia's casualties are basically reliable
Looks like #Russia is setting up to annex the South Ossetia zone of #Georgia that they occupy
Interesting straw in the wind. Time will tell, ofc, but it seems unlikely #Russia can switch to a defensive/consolidation posture. The trendline is #Ukraine pushing back Russian gains since Feb. 24 and building up to challenge what Moscow had from 2014
Another of #Russia's soldiers involved in keeping Asad's criminal regime in #Syria alive has been killed in #Ukraine
#Russian troops drawn from remoter regions in the Far East and Archangel complain they were fed into a meat grinder in Luhansk, in eastern #Ukraine, and even the survivors did not get proper support
Background on the conflicted story of #Israel sending anti-ship missiles to #Ukraine through #Estonia.
An unfortunate reality. "Bucha" has become a totemic name as the first zone where the extent of #Russia's criminal behaviour could be seen in the occupied areas of #Ukraine, but every bit of evidence we has says this is a norm, not an exception.
#Ukraine's Army confirmed late on 13 May that Ternova, about two miles from the #Russian border northeast of #Kharkiv, had been recaptured. The Ukrainians retook the town on 10-11 May, but this is official confirmation.
#Finland's President spoke to #Putin earlier today, with no reported shenanigans from the Russian ruler
#Russia's Deputy Foreign Minister Oleksandr Grushko says the #EU will be finished if it admits #Ukraine because ... reasons. And also "nukes, nukes, nukes" (maybe, to the Baltics). t.me/kommersant/317…
#Ukraine's President Zelensky met today with a delegation of #Republican Senators: minority leader Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, Susan Collins of Maine, John Barrasso of Wyoming, and John Cornyn of Texas. Zelensky thanks them for their "leadership in helping us in our struggle".
Volunteers from #Russia refused to fight in #Ukraine and returned home
An unsubtle message from #Estonia to #France's President Macron to understand that Putin just isn't that into him
Ground level confirmation that as far as #Russia is concerned around #Kharkiv, the fat lady is clearing her throat
The Russian Orthodox Church, like all Russian institutions, is in a weird place right now
#Russia's active measures have decisively flopped over #Ukraine and honestly do not expect this one to go any differently. Moscow's tradecraft was poor and Five Eyes did the rest to ensure only those who want to believe can believe what Moscow puts out.
Great report from #Dnipro, the largest centre of #Jewish life in #Ukraine, where the rabbis and other leaders are working to support their own and the wider population in the face of #Russian air attacks and the barrage of lies about "denazification". rollingstone.com/politics/polit…
#pt: Rabbi Meyr Stambler in Dnipro: "I always thought that democracy was about a better life. Now I see it’s about the right to choose. … That’s something … we, here in Ukraine, give our lives [for]. This is truly a people's war … a war for Justice. For me, this is God's war."
#Turkey is trying to extract, some would say extort, a commitment from #Sweden in particular and #Finland to "stop allowing #PKK activities, organisations, individuals and other presence" in exchange for Ankara supporting their #NATO accession. reuters.com/world/exclusiv…
Thread from territories #Ukraine has retaken from the #Russian invaders around #Kharkiv
#Finland and the #Baltics were accused of being hysterical over #Russia for decades. All change now, of course.
#Ukraine's commentator at #Eurovision is in a bomb shelter. So that happening.
Powerful explosions reported in Chornobaivka, Kherson, a zone of #Ukraine that #Russia is hoping soon to annex.
Putin propagandist Vladimir Solovyov: "Who says that Russophobia is not a type of Nazism? ... Can't a Jew also be a Russophobe? ... The phenomomenal Russophobia, prevelant in the world today, is that not the new type of Nazism?" [In fact, it is not]

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More from @KyleWOrton

May 16
Leaked documents show that in one county of a quarter-million people, Konasheher, in southern Xinjiang, nearly 5% of the Uyghur Muslim population has been imprisoned by #CCP for "terrorism" and "extremism" charges. The rate is 30 times the norm in #China. abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireS…
#pt: Pure notably Stalinism: China sets "arrest quotas for local police [in the Muslim areas], in some cases resulting in the men from entire villages being rounded up and whole families uprooted ... [C]amp detainees were forced to confess their 'crimes' in group sham trials"
#pt: "Although China makes legal records easily accessible otherwise, almost 90% of criminal records in Xinjiang are not public."
Read 6 tweets
May 16
Thread: 16 May 2022: Day 82 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Israel denies the reports that it had agreed to send Blue Spear anti-ship missiles to #Ukraine via Estonia jpost.com/international/…
#France's President Macron has ideas about how to approach #Russia that were self-evidently dangerous to European security half-a-decade ago.
Read 15 tweets
May 15
Thread: 15 May 2022: Day 81 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Britain and #Finland deepening relations ahead of Helsinki's accession to #NATO
About an hour ago, #Finland's President Sauli Niinisto and Prime Minister Sanna Marin held a press conference formally announcing the country will submit its application to join #NATO, explaining [as is self-evident] that this was a direct result of Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Image
Read 18 tweets
May 13
One of the defensive responses to #Germany's policy on #Ukraine has been: "Look at how many refugees we have taken". God bless those who shelter refugees. The problem with this as a policy metric, though, is that it doesn't register success, but very nearly the opposite.
Should say: in conversation with someone from #Britain, this is usually a not-so-subtle counter-attack on our policy in this area, and there is a point. But it doesn't alter the fact: taking refugees from #Ukraine is not a measure of how this is going.
Taking in refugees is something that has to be done when a country has been devastated - or during the process of that happening. Most people who flee would like to go home; many #Syrians certainly would, and the fact so many cannot is a measure of our failure since 2011.
Read 5 tweets
May 13
Thread: 13 May 2022: Day 79 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
The BBC doing in #Russia the kind of journalism its "impartiality" doctrine often keeps it from doing at home
- Russian airstrikes in the south, inc Mariupol, but hesitant beyond that in bad weather
- Ukrainian airstrikes on Russian-held zones
- Russian force around Izyum showing signs of strain
- Ukraine pushing back in Mykolaiv
- Some explosions north of Kherson
Read 23 tweets
May 12
Protais Mpiranya, the most-wanted war criminal in Africa, leader of #Rwanda's presidential guard during the genocide, has been found, buried in Zimbabwe under a false name. He has been there since 2006 courtesy of a tuberculosis-induced heart attack. ft.com/content/1cbe90…
Protais Mpiranya fled into Cameroon and then the Congo, where he fought against Kagame's Rwanda after it invaded in 1996 to uproot the genocidaire encampments like Goma, and fought under Mugabe's sponsorship during the African World War (1998-2003).
With Mpiranya's death confirmed, there are now five of #Rwanda's genocidaires who are wanted by the UN Tribunal, though their prosecutions would take place in Rwanda itself:

1) Fulgence Kayishema, a Judicial Police Inspector from Kibuye
Read 6 tweets

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