Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Jul 21 7 tweets 6 min read
"#Iran is threatening the other countries as much as it is threatening the State of #Israel" Israeli Defense Minister Benny Gantz tells #AspenSecurity

"Iran is a global challenge. You can see it in #Venezeula. You can see it in South #Africa, in South America... #Nigeria"
#Israel-#Ukraine - "Israel is definitely on the Western side. Israel is definitely on the #Ukrainian side" per DefMin Gantz

"We are supporting it in all the diplomatic measures. We are supporting it w/all the humanitarian aid...We have opened a field hospital"
Why not more for #Ukraine? "We do have our operational considerations" per #Israel's Gantz

"We are sharing an aerial border w/the #Russia|ns above #Syria ... so we have other calculus that we have to take into mind"
#Russia "They are not threatening us directly" per #Israel's Gantz "But we have to make sure we have a dialogue connection w/them. We have to deconflict ourselves w/them"
"#Iran for the past 4 decades has been acting w/impunity" #Bahrain Undersecretary for Political Affairs Abdulla Al Khalifa tells #AspenSecurity

Asked about preemptive military action vs #Tehran, "dealing with it diplomatically would be a priority" he says
#Iran's ongoing development of its nuclear program "would affect obviously its neighbors in a very dramatic manner" per #Bahrain's Khalifa

Adds its "fair enough" to characterize Bahrain's potential participation in preemptive military action as an ambiguous maybe
"There's a limitation to what #Bahrain can do or to what anyone can do to support the #Palestinians if they do not support themselves" per Khalifa

"We would have to see a united national Palestinian front for them to know exactly what they want" he says

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More from @jseldin

Jul 22
NEW: #Ukraine unleashing "very precise, very accurate" targeting of #Russia , per senior defense official

"They're paying a high price" official says of #Russia, saying its forces suffering "low morale"
On the new $170 million drawdown/aid package -"The capabilities in this package are going to be useful on the battlefield immediately" per senior US defense official

That include the #Himars, more artillery ammo
580 #PhoenixGhost drones that will be procured - "steady deliveries" will begin in August, per senior US defense official
Read 23 tweets
Jul 22
NEW: #Ukraine-"It was the assessment of the American intelligence community...#Russia would be significantly more capable & significantly more successful on the battlefield" White House Nat'l Security Adviser @JakeSullivan46 tells #AspenSecurity
"In fact, #Russia was not able to acheive the basic strategic objectives that Pres. #Putin set out" per @JakeSullivan46

#Ukraine "won the battle of #Kyiv, they beat Russia back from #Kharkiv, they stopped Russia from being able to make a bum's rush to #Odesa"
"Now we're in a circumstance where #Russia is facing significant difficulties constituting th kind of force necessary for them to achieve the objectives which have not fundamentally changed" per @JakeSullivan46
Read 13 tweets
Jul 22
BREAKING: US announces new, $270 million security package for #Ukraine, per @WHNSC's John Kirby

Includes 4 more #HIMARS "which the #Ukrainians have been using very effectively", 36k rounds of artillery ammo, some anti-armor systems

Also includes 580 #PhoenixGhost drones
"We'll have more packages of aid [for #Ukraine] to announce in the weeks and months to come" per @WHNSC's John Kirby
White House praises grain deal signed Friday but cautions "success of course is going to depend on #Russia's compliance w/the agreement" per @WHNSC's John Kirby
Read 6 tweets
Jul 22
"We used to always talk about super powers & I think we now live in a world where we need to talk about cyber powers" @Microsoft President & Vice Chair @BradSmi tells #AspenSecurity

"2 of the great #cyber powers in the world are #Russia & #China..."
"The United States is the strongest #cyber power of all" per @Microsoft's @BradSmi

"But what we're fundamentally seeing is #Ukraine in particular is Russia use its very sophisticated cyber capabilities to do 3 things..."
"One is support an invasion, including w/destructive cyber attacks" per @Microsoft's @BradSmi

"The 2nd is do what the #Russian gvt does year-in, year-out, which is very broad-based espionage & hacking, both of gvt & pvt sector"
Read 10 tweets
Jul 22
#Drone threat to the US - "We [US] have to think abt whether or not humans will remain in the kill chain bcs some of our adversaries have decided they will not & that the targeting will be done much quicker" House Intel Comm.'s @RepJasonCrow tells #AspenSecurity
Threat to US from drones-"How do we stop those drones before they ever launch?" asks @USSOCOM Commander Gen. Richard Clarke tells #AspenSecurity

"The cost for entry...is very very low" he says, adding there also needs to be discussion of norms for use of drones
#Chemcial-#Biological threat to US significant, even from non-state actors - "It's pretty simple to do" per @USSOCOM's Gen Clarke
Read 15 tweets
Jul 21
NEW: 15,000 #Russia|n soldiers killed in #Ukraine - estimate given by @CIA Dir William Burns Wednesday - "probably a conservative estimate" #Britain's @ChiefMI6 Richard Moore tells #AspenSecurity
NEW: #Russia in #Ukraine: "I think they're about to run out of steam" per @ChiefMI6

"Our assessment is that the Russians will increasingly find it difficult to supply manpower, materiel over the next few weeks"
Inevitable #Russia|n pause - "That will give #Ukrainians the ability to strike back" per @ChiefMI6
Read 20 tweets

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