1/ Aaargh the new Brexit stuff for today wasn't over yet. The EU Commission has published three more sets of "future relationship" slides - on land transport, "mobility" (ie immigration) and goods regulation. Some thoughts. ec.europa.eu/commission/bre…
2 The mobility (immigration) slides essentially match what I wrote on this issue in December: eulawanalysis.blogspot.co.uk/2017/12/beyond…
But let's look at some points.
But let's look at some points.
3 Useful summary of areas where EU law sets rules (mostly minimum standards) on legal migration of non-EU citizens, and where national law applies.
(Nb Denmark and Ireland opt out)
(Nb Denmark and Ireland opt out)
4 Comparison of EU and UK rules on admission of non-EU citizens. As you can see the EU rules don't amount to free movement of non-EU citizens. Of course some people move but it's harder than under EU free movement law rules. 
5 The "but British citizens have always easily moved to the EU" line is what I call one of the "1973 reset" tropes. More here from my comments on the recent Boris Johnson speech - eulawanalysis.blogspot.co.uk/2018/02/lions-… 
6 Another "1973 reset" trope is the "trade is all about tariffs" assumption. Well that *was* more true then, but not now.
I'll admit there was some good TV in 1973 though.
I'll admit there was some good TV in 1973 though.
7 The slides summarise the WTO rules on movement of service providers - known as "GATS Mode 4" in trade geekology. Covers some issues but more fiddly for those moving than free movement of people. 
8 Free trade deals (like the one the UK government is aiming for) go further than GATS - but not much compared to the single market.
Here's a handy comparison. It doesn't exactly scream out "Brits will be able to move just as easily".
Here's a handy comparison. It doesn't exactly scream out "Brits will be able to move just as easily".
9 Useful comparison between the EEA (Norway model), Swiss, Turkish and FTA models - and FTAs compared to GATS.
(The autocorrect is dying to say GAYS. Paging Dr Freud!)
(The autocorrect is dying to say GAYS. Paging Dr Freud!)
10 Also some useful detail in the slides on tourist visa issues (covered in my blog post, along with border issues) and social security.
Not clear if the EU27 would contemplate some special immigration relationship with the UK. Anyway the UK view on that is unknown.
Not clear if the EU27 would contemplate some special immigration relationship with the UK. Anyway the UK view on that is unknown.
11 Now the goods regulation and trade slides.
We start with a reminder of the EU negotiating guidelines, and the Barnier Steps of Doom.
We start with a reminder of the EU negotiating guidelines, and the Barnier Steps of Doom.
12 Useful comparison between the single market and free trade deal content. 
13 The UK suggestion of a "three baskets" approach to regulations and trade (from the Florence speech) is specifically rejected. 🦄🦄🦄 
14 The slides make much of mutual recognition of regulation - the core of the David Davis speech (and a standard trope of Dan Hannan).
But they think mutual recognition means "do what the hell you like". The EU say it means "comply with EU rules".
But they think mutual recognition means "do what the hell you like". The EU say it means "comply with EU rules".
15 The slides go on to detail what this means for the car, chemicals and agri food industries.
Summary
Summary
16 That's enough! My children are eating each other.
But one final point: today's report from the pro-Brexit economists was modelled on the assumption that the UK obtained its negotiating objectives on the regulation and trade issue. /end
But one final point: today's report from the pro-Brexit economists was modelled on the assumption that the UK obtained its negotiating objectives on the regulation and trade issue. /end
