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Jasmin Mujanović @JasminMuj
, 6 tweets, 3 min read Read on Twitter
I've been warning about this for months. This is both a huge diplomatic coup for the extremist nationalist #Vucic govt in Belgrade and a catastrophic development for the #Balkans, if it becomes official US policy. Fantasies of territory swaps are a countdown to violence.
This has been floated in earnest since last year (as I warned in text below for @aminterest), and has been a long-time fantasy of the Vucic (and Dodik) govts. In Trump, a weakened Merkel, and post-Brexit UK, they think they've finally found an audience.…
For all the diplomats, attaches, policy ppl who I know follow me, **please** listen: there is **zero** possibility of any kind of territory swap in the Balkans w/o war. That has been the one constant since the 19th century. You are being lied to by whoever tells you otherwise.
Partitions do not work. They haven't worked in Bosnia, they won't work in Iraq or Syria (as I warned here w @DenisonBe), they won't work in Kosovo. Your new idealized maps, as in the 90s, will become blueprints for new rounds of ethnic cleansing.…
The entire conclusion of my book, and much of the rest of the text as well, goes into even greater detail about why such nationalist fantasies i. cement authoritarian regimes & ii. perpetuate violence. You will undo whatever peace & stability has been accomplished in last 25 yrs.
I will personally make time to write, brief, speak to, lecture, explain, illustrate for whatever govt or its reps that is considering this policy exactly why this would be a mistake of genuinely world-historic proportions. My email is on my site. Seriously.
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