Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #nv04
Most recents (24)
2022 #Midterms Simulation: #ArtoftheGerrymander
A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)
To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter
A Republican House win will be built on gerrymanders (TX/GA/FL/TN/LA, etc.)
To illustrate the need for fair maps, I'm calculating the results using the 2022 votes, but if every state had a Democratic gerrymander. #ElectionTwitter
Methodology:
I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf
Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
I’ll apply the difference in Presidential margin to the House result. Thanks @davesredist @mikemathieu @vest_team + @DKElections @PoliticsWolf
Keen to see how my maps perform over the decade; tried to comply with state law if partisan intent were allowed to stand.
#ArtoftheGerrymander: #Alabama
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-…
Trump 62.0% - Biden 36.6%
Real delegation: 6R-1D
Gerrymandered: 5R-2D
Δ Share of D seats: 14% => 28%
Easy Democratic pick-up of a safe new African American seat.
davesredistricting.org/join/ff857256-…
Nevada election results update: Clark County has published an update, with about 12.3k ballots tabulated and reported in this batch.
I’ll have some updated numbers for the top-of-ticket races posted here soon.
I’ll have some updated numbers for the top-of-ticket races posted here soon.
In a new batch of 12.3k mail votes counted in Clark County, here are the #nvsen results:
- Cortez Masto received 7.5k votes (60.7 percent)
- Laxalt received 4.2k votes (34.1 percent)
This drops Laxalt’s statewide lead from nearly 17k to less than 14k, closer to 13.5k.
- Cortez Masto received 7.5k votes (60.7 percent)
- Laxalt received 4.2k votes (34.1 percent)
This drops Laxalt’s statewide lead from nearly 17k to less than 14k, closer to 13.5k.
In that batch of 12.3k mail votes counted in Clark County, here are the #nvgov results:
- Sisolak received 7.2k votes (58 percent)
- Lombardo received 4.4k votes (35 percent)
This drops Lombardo’s statewide lead from 35.4k to 32.6k.
- Sisolak received 7.2k votes (58 percent)
- Lombardo received 4.4k votes (35 percent)
This drops Lombardo’s statewide lead from 35.4k to 32.6k.
This is a spreadsheet of Cook Report races which I made based on currently reported results (9am Wed).
+1= Dem Victory
-1=GOP Victory
+0.5= Dem winning
-0.5 = GOP winning
Based on this, right now, I think the Dems hold onto the US House.
#Election2022
+1= Dem Victory
-1=GOP Victory
+0.5= Dem winning
-0.5 = GOP winning
Based on this, right now, I think the Dems hold onto the US House.
#Election2022
The DCCC is out with what is likely its final major buy before the election, dropping $8 million in 23 House races and adding the Biden +15% #NY04 to the board as targeted seat number 67.
(This is also the first direct independent expenditure spending by the DCCC to defend DCCC Chair Sean Patrick Maloney in #NY17).
The Democratic House Majority PAC goes up with $17.47 million in ads across 40 districts, including the first spending by any of the big four committees in Josh Harder's #CA09, bringing the number of targeted House seats to an even 60.
The @dccc's Tuesday night dump at 3 weeks out adds another $12.57M in spending across 25 races, bringing their general election expenditures to $64 million as the NRCC continues to hold back, logging less than $30 million in IEs.
The Democratic House Majority PAC's weekly independent expenditure dump adds another $9.08 million in 34 House races.
HMP has now spent $39.6 million in 42 targeted races.
HMP has now spent $39.6 million in 42 targeted races.
A pair of major filings from the @dccc and @NRCC within seconds of one another...the DCCC dropping $16.8 million in 33 races and the NRCC still holding back and deploying $5.59M in 9 races.
The DCCC's general election IE total is at $46.4M vs $19.5M for the NRCC.
The DCCC's general election IE total is at $46.4M vs $19.5M for the NRCC.
🧵𝑻𝑯𝑹𝑬𝑨𝑫: The Supreme Court lit 49 years of precedent on fire, creating the nightmare reality the Republican Party has worked so damn hard for.
Let's take a look at where we are and where the GOP will drag our country, kicking & screaming, if given more of an opportunity.
Let's take a look at where we are and where the GOP will drag our country, kicking & screaming, if given more of an opportunity.
At least three vulnerable House Republicans & three @NRCC-endorsed challengers support 𝑗𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑑𝑜𝑐𝑡𝑜𝑟𝑠 𝑤ℎ𝑜 𝑝𝑒𝑟𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑚 𝑎𝑏𝑜𝑟𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 (including @BlackmanForAZ in #AZ02 who also 𝑠𝑢𝑝𝑝𝑜𝑟𝑡𝑠 𝑗𝑎𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑤𝑜𝑚𝑒𝑛 𝑤ℎ𝑜 𝑔𝑒𝑡 𝑎𝑏𝑜𝑟𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠).
The Nevada legislature unveiled a proposed congressional map today. Up and analyzed on @FiveThirtyEight: projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-…
@FiveThirtyEight This map redistributes the Dem vote currently in #NV01 to shore up #NV03 and #NV04. But another way of looking at it is that NV went from 1 safe 🔵 seat to 0.
#NV01: D+22 -> D+4
#NV03: R+5 -> D+2
#NV04 R+1 -> D+5
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-…
#NV01: D+22 -> D+4
#NV03: R+5 -> D+2
#NV04 R+1 -> D+5
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-…
This is kinda of the Dem version of Iowa's map. In neutral-to-blue environments, it should sustain a 3 🔵, 1 🔴 delegation. But in a red environment, it could easily be 4 🔴, 0 🔵. projects.fivethirtyeight.com/redistricting-…
Democrats’ Infrastructure Deal will provide a massive fix for our nation’s roads, bridges, ports, and so much more.
These are real, substantial wins for our communities — so here’s a snapshot on how a few will benefit: 🧵
These are real, substantial wins for our communities — so here’s a snapshot on how a few will benefit: 🧵
𝗖𝗢𝗡𝗡𝗘𝗖𝗧𝗜𝗖𝗨𝗧: Did you know 1 in 10 Connecticut households currently do not have internet?
Rep. @JahanaHayesCT helped deliver Dems’ Infrastructure deal to fix this. #CT05
courant.com/politics/hc-po…
Rep. @JahanaHayesCT helped deliver Dems’ Infrastructure deal to fix this. #CT05
courant.com/politics/hc-po…
𝗡𝗘𝗪 𝗛𝗔𝗠𝗣𝗦𝗛𝗜𝗥𝗘: Rep. @ChrisPappasNH helped secure $2,000,000,000 for NH to fix the 250 bridges and nearly 700 miles of highway in poor condition, providing safer commutes for NH communities. #NH01
thecentersquare.com/new_hampshire/…
thecentersquare.com/new_hampshire/…
NEVADA: Dems hold a 3D-1R lead in House seats and control redistricting here for the first time ever. But they'll need to shore up #NV03 and #NV04 in the Las Vegas suburbs, both of which they held by <5 pts in 2020.
An FYI - this hearing, which was scheduled to start at 10 a.m., appears to be going on, but the court has somehow muted itself on the video conferencing system so I have no idea what's being said. Lots of hand gestures from judge + attorney for Marchant fwiw
SOUND
Craig Mueller (attorney for @VoteJimMarchant) is asked by Judge Sturman how new election process would work & how voters in other counties would work if only Clark County re-votes
"It is not my desire to disenfranchise anybody"
"It is not my desire to disenfranchise anybody"
Link to livestream of Trump campaign/NV GOP press conference in Las Vegas this a.m. (via @8NewsNow)
8newsnow.com/news/president…
8newsnow.com/news/president…
If you're having troubles with the livestream Fox5 is also carrying the presser on Facebook Live: facebook.com/FOX5Vegas/vide…
Former AG @AdamLaxalt is kicking off press conference, says he "cares deeply about the rule of law and voter integrity."
Every state has big stakes on the ballot — it's just some are facing a perfect storm where so much that matters is competitive at once.
So I'm starting this ongoing thread of states, to encapsulate as many stakes as I can within 280 characters. (Let's do roughly one a day!)
So I'm starting this ongoing thread of states, to encapsulate as many stakes as I can within 280 characters. (Let's do roughly one a day!)
1️⃣ North Carolina really is it:
—Could decide WH
—Could decide U.S. Senate majority
—Ds may gain at least 2 House seats. More?
—Can Ds keep governorship (& veto power)?
—Can Ds pick-up a legislative chamber?
—3 Supreme Court seats!👀
—AG, LG (if Gov vacancy...), SoS competitive
—Could decide WH
—Could decide U.S. Senate majority
—Ds may gain at least 2 House seats. More?
—Can Ds keep governorship (& veto power)?
—Can Ds pick-up a legislative chamber?
—3 Supreme Court seats!👀
—AG, LG (if Gov vacancy...), SoS competitive
2️⃣ Montana is up there too:
—Could decide Senate majority!
—Open Gov race. Would be GOP's first win since 2000, likely give them trifecta. And it's Gianforte on the ballot.
—Open SoS & AG races
—An open, tight House race
—An intriguing Supreme Court race
—Gun control referendum
—Could decide Senate majority!
—Open Gov race. Would be GOP's first win since 2000, likely give them trifecta. And it's Gianforte on the ballot.
—Open SoS & AG races
—An open, tight House race
—An intriguing Supreme Court race
—Gun control referendum
We started looking at the followers of the GOP House/Senate candidates being amplified by #Mighty200+ retweet rooms, and lo and behold #NV04 candidate @LisaSongSutton has thousands of batch-created followers.
cc: @ZellaQuixote
cc: @ZellaQuixote
The batch-created accounts following @LisaSongSutton are part of a larger network consisting of (at least) 39430 dormant accounts created in batches in late 2014 and early 2015. All have similar numbers of tweets/likes/followers/followees and tweeted via Twitter Web Client.
This botnet reuses profile pics on multiple accounts, featuring a total of 3086 unique profile pics across 39430 accounts. The most common non-default image is used on 97 accounts.
Improved Dave's #Redistricting App brings me joy! (Gratefully anticipating post-2020). @davesredist @mikemathieu #ElectionTwitter 1/27
@PoliticsWolf @ecaliberseven @DKElections @JMilesColeman @SenhorRaposa @Center4Politics @Redistrict @fairvote @jbview
gardow.com/davebradlee/re…
@PoliticsWolf @ecaliberseven @DKElections @JMilesColeman @SenhorRaposa @Center4Politics @Redistrict @fairvote @jbview
gardow.com/davebradlee/re…
Tested it out with this new KY map. Based on 2016-2019 results, intrigued how it would do in 2020. The #KY04 (R+7 PVI) seems more competitive than the real #KY06 (R+9), with the movement in the Cincinnati and Lexington suburbs. 2/27 davesredistricting.org/join/d389d8e2-…
However, I also did a bunch of Democratic gerrymanders after 2012 redistricting to compare with the real Republican ones. Thought I’d review how my designs performed in light of 2016. The contrast shows just how much of a difference partisan control makes (spoiler: a lot). 3/27
.#ComplicitCongress THREAD:
ALL Dem House Reps who enable Trump by NOT supporting #ImpeachmentInquiry.
Alphabetical by state. Plz RT & call them.
ALL Dem House Reps who enable Trump by NOT supporting #ImpeachmentInquiry.
Alphabetical by state. Plz RT & call them.
#ComplicitCongress
A minority of Dem House Reps DON’T support #Impeachment Inquiry:
#AL07 @RepTerriSewell
#AZ01 @TomOhalleran
#CO07 @RepPerlmutter
#CT01 @RepJohnLarson
#CT02 @RepJoeCourtney
#CT03 @RosaDeLauro
#CT05 @RepJahanaHayes
#FL05 @RepAlLawsonJr
#FL07 @RepStephMurphy
A minority of Dem House Reps DON’T support #Impeachment Inquiry:
#AL07 @RepTerriSewell
#AZ01 @TomOhalleran
#CO07 @RepPerlmutter
#CT01 @RepJohnLarson
#CT02 @RepJoeCourtney
#CT03 @RosaDeLauro
#CT05 @RepJahanaHayes
#FL05 @RepAlLawsonJr
#FL07 @RepStephMurphy
#ComplicitCongress
A minority of Dem House Reps DON’T support #Impeachment Inquiry:
#FL13 @RepCharlieCrist
#FL14 @USRepKCastor
#FL20 @RepHastingsFL
#FL21 @RepLoisFrankel
#FL23 @DWSTweets
#FL24 @RepWilson
#FL27 @RepShalala
A minority of Dem House Reps DON’T support #Impeachment Inquiry:
#FL13 @RepCharlieCrist
#FL14 @USRepKCastor
#FL20 @RepHastingsFL
#FL21 @RepLoisFrankel
#FL23 @DWSTweets
#FL24 @RepWilson
#FL27 @RepShalala
Call & tell these AL & AZ Reps to STOP enabling Trump & being AGAINST @HouseJudiciary #IMPEACHMENT inquiry;
#AL07 @RepTerriSewell 202-225-2665
Arizona
#AZ01 @TomOhalleran 202-225-3361
#AL07 @RepTerriSewell 202-225-2665
Arizona
#AZ01 @TomOhalleran 202-225-3361
Call & tell these California Reps to STOP enabling Trump by being AGAINST @HouseJudiciary #IMPEACHMENT inquiry:
#CA05 @RepThompson 202-225-3311
#CA07 @RepBera 202-225-5716
#CA09 @RepMcNerney 202-225-1947
#CA10 @RepJoshHarder 202-225-4540
#CA12 @SpeakerPelosi 202-225-4965
#CA05 @RepThompson 202-225-3311
#CA07 @RepBera 202-225-5716
#CA09 @RepMcNerney 202-225-1947
#CA10 @RepJoshHarder 202-225-4540
#CA12 @SpeakerPelosi 202-225-4965
Call & tell these California Reps to STOP enabling Trump & being AGAINST @HouseJudiciary #IMPEACHMENT inquiry:
#CA16 @RepJimCosta 202-225-3341
#CA18 @RepAnnaEshoo 202-225-8104
#CA20 @RepJimmyPanetta 202-225-2861
#CA21 @RepTJCox 202-225-4695
#CA16 @RepJimCosta 202-225-3341
#CA18 @RepAnnaEshoo 202-225-8104
#CA20 @RepJimmyPanetta 202-225-2861
#CA21 @RepTJCox 202-225-4695
CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them: Do your job!
#CA05 @RepThompson 202-225-3311
#CA07 @RepBera 202-225-5716
#CA09 @RepMcNerney 202-225-1947
#CA10 @RepJoshHarder 202-225-4540
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them: Do your job!
#CA05 @RepThompson 202-225-3311
#CA07 @RepBera 202-225-5716
#CA09 @RepMcNerney 202-225-1947
#CA10 @RepJoshHarder 202-225-4540
CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them: Do your job!
#CA12 @SpeakerPelosi 202-225-4965
#CA16 @RepJimCosta 202-225-3341
#CA17 @RepRoKhanna 202-225-2631
#CA18 @RepAnnaEshoo 202-225-8104
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them: Do your job!
#CA12 @SpeakerPelosi 202-225-4965
#CA16 @RepJimCosta 202-225-3341
#CA17 @RepRoKhanna 202-225-2631
#CA18 @RepAnnaEshoo 202-225-8104
CALIFORNIA;
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them:Do your job!
#CA19 @RepZoeLofgren 202-225-3072
#CA20 @RepJimmyPanetta 202-225-2861
#CA21 @RepTJCox 202-225-4695
#CA24 @RepCarbajal 202-225-3601
Of your 46 Dem House Reps, 22 are afraid of #ImpeachmentInquiry. The only thing to fear is fear itself. Call & tell them:Do your job!
#CA19 @RepZoeLofgren 202-225-3072
#CA20 @RepJimmyPanetta 202-225-2861
#CA21 @RepTJCox 202-225-4695
#CA24 @RepCarbajal 202-225-3601
Dear Dem @HouseJudiciary members;
@RepJerryNadler NY, @JacksonLeeTX18, @RepCohen TN, @RepHankJohnson GA; Experts say @SpeakerPelosi’s flat wrong. Think for yourself.
“Democrats Against Impeachment Invite Autocracy and a Loss in 2020”
truthout.org/articles/democ…
@RepJerryNadler NY, @JacksonLeeTX18, @RepCohen TN, @RepHankJohnson GA; Experts say @SpeakerPelosi’s flat wrong. Think for yourself.
“Democrats Against Impeachment Invite Autocracy and a Loss in 2020”
truthout.org/articles/democ…
Dear Dem @HouseJudiciary members;
@RepTedDeutch FL, @RepKarenBass CA, @RepZoeLofgren CA, @RepRichmond LA; Experts say @SpeakerPelosi’s flat wrong. Think for yourself.
“Democrats Against Impeachment Invite Autocracy and a Loss in 2020”
truthout.org/articles/democ…
@RepTedDeutch FL, @RepKarenBass CA, @RepZoeLofgren CA, @RepRichmond LA; Experts say @SpeakerPelosi’s flat wrong. Think for yourself.
“Democrats Against Impeachment Invite Autocracy and a Loss in 2020”
truthout.org/articles/democ…
Dear Dem @HouseJudiciary members;
@RepJeffries NY, @RepCicilline RI, @RepSwalwell CA, @TedLieu CA, @RepRaskin MD;
Experts say @SpeakerPelosi is flat wrong. Think for yourself.
“Democrats Against Impeachment Invite Autocracy and a Loss in 2020”
truthout.org/articles/democ…
@RepJeffries NY, @RepCicilline RI, @RepSwalwell CA, @TedLieu CA, @RepRaskin MD;
Experts say @SpeakerPelosi is flat wrong. Think for yourself.
“Democrats Against Impeachment Invite Autocracy and a Loss in 2020”
truthout.org/articles/democ…
💯 days ago this week, a newly elected class of diverse and energetic Democrats was sworn into the U.S. House, unified by a commitment to getting real results for their constituents back home. #100DaysForThePeople
cards.twitter.com/cards/8qk3a/76…
cards.twitter.com/cards/8qk3a/76…
In this short period of time, House Democrats have been busy making good on their campaign promises to tackle the rising cost of premiums and prescription drugs, and to protect the millions of Americans with pre-existing conditions.
Here’s a recap 👇
Here’s a recap 👇
In #MI08, Rep. @ElissaSlotkin is working hard to make health care more affordable and to protect people with pre-existing conditions.
fox2detroit.com/news/local-new…
fox2detroit.com/news/local-new…
#116th New Congress convenes soon!
43 HOUSE SEATS FLIPPED BLUE! 🌊🌊🌊 #BlueWave2018
(*Net of 40) 64 New Democratic Members in the HOUSE!
with @TeamPelosi leading the way
What do they stand for?
⤵️THREAD of ALL New Blue Congressfolk⤵️
w/ graphic, campaign website links & Twitter
43 HOUSE SEATS FLIPPED BLUE! 🌊🌊🌊 #BlueWave2018
(*Net of 40) 64 New Democratic Members in the HOUSE!
with @TeamPelosi leading the way
What do they stand for?
⤵️THREAD of ALL New Blue Congressfolk⤵️
w/ graphic, campaign website links & Twitter
Arizona #AZ02 #116thCongress
Representative Ann Kirkpatrick
kirkpatrickforcongress.com/issues/
@Ann_Kirkpatrick
"Proud lifelong Arizonan, former prosecutor & congresswoman, independent voice for working Arizona families."
THREAD
Representative Ann Kirkpatrick
kirkpatrickforcongress.com/issues/
@Ann_Kirkpatrick
"Proud lifelong Arizonan, former prosecutor & congresswoman, independent voice for working Arizona families."
THREAD
Arizona #AZ09 #AZ9 #116thCongress
Representative Greg Stanton
Former Phoenix Mayor, Former Phoenix City Councilman & Attorney
stantonforarizona.com/issues
@gregstantonaz
Instagram.com/gregstantonaz
facebook.com/gregstantonaz
THREAD
Representative Greg Stanton
Former Phoenix Mayor, Former Phoenix City Councilman & Attorney
stantonforarizona.com/issues
@gregstantonaz
Instagram.com/gregstantonaz
facebook.com/gregstantonaz
THREAD
Hey #Nevada! #Midterms2018
Here’s a THREAD of Voting Info links & All Democratic Candidates with photos & websites. PLUS Voter Info Links.
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018!
Early Voting OCTOBER 20- NOVEMBER 2
Request Absentee Ballot by October
#NV01 #NV02 #NV03 #NV04
#VoteBlueNV
Here’s a THREAD of Voting Info links & All Democratic Candidates with photos & websites. PLUS Voter Info Links.
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018!
Early Voting OCTOBER 20- NOVEMBER 2
Request Absentee Ballot by October
#NV01 #NV02 #NV03 #NV04
#VoteBlueNV
Democratic Candidate for #Nevada #NV01
Dina Titus, Incumbent
dinatitus.com
@dinatitus
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018
Early Voting Oct 20- Nov 2
Apply for Absentee Ballot by October 30
#Midterms2018 #VoteBlueNV
Dina Titus, Incumbent
dinatitus.com
@dinatitus
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018
Early Voting Oct 20- Nov 2
Apply for Absentee Ballot by October 30
#Midterms2018 #VoteBlueNV
Democratic Candidate for #Nevada #NV02
Clint Koble
clintkoble.nationbuilder.com
@clintkoble
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018
Early Voting Oct 20- Nov 2
Apply for Absentee Ballot by October 30
#Midterms2018 #VoteBlueNV
vs GOP Mark Amodei (R)
Clint Koble
clintkoble.nationbuilder.com
@clintkoble
VOTE NOVEMBER 6, 2018
Early Voting Oct 20- Nov 2
Apply for Absentee Ballot by October 30
#Midterms2018 #VoteBlueNV
vs GOP Mark Amodei (R)
