Few checks in Dover is still too many checks for UK infrastructure to cope. The Home Office also doesn't have the infrastructure in place to manage skills-based migration schemes dealing with additional 100 000s of EU citizens.
The UK will eventually capitulate over FoM.
The UK will eventually capitulate over FoM.
May can either start preparing ground now for big concessions on Freedom of Movement in a few months or make concessions suddenly in an atmosphere of panic and humiliation.
She manoeuvred herself into a position that maximises the UK's position of weakness in relation to the EU
She manoeuvred herself into a position that maximises the UK's position of weakness in relation to the EU
There is this constant debate about UK voter preferences. But in a crisis situation in which the weaker side in a negotiation has made no preparation for major structural change the preferences of the weaker side's voters are likely to be marginal to the final outcome.
UK analysts can throw around as many scenarios as they like, but if the British state does not have infrastructure in place to cope with even minor changes when it comes to migration and trade now or in 2021 then the UK government is in no position to change anything at all
There is a telling difference in perception between analysts and academics from EU27 countries and those from the UK when it comes to Brexit. 1/2
UK colleagues look at the febrile state of British politics and focus on outcomes that can reflect voter preferences.
EU27 colleagues look at the asymmetry of power and ponder how the UK's capitulation to reality should be managed.
2/2
EU27 colleagues look at the asymmetry of power and ponder how the UK's capitulation to reality should be managed.
2/2
