It's Friday afternoon, the football is done for the day, who wants a quick tweetstorm on *some hot new polling data on the tax bill*???
(America, is obviously the answer. So let's do this.) 1/
(America, is obviously the answer. So let's do this.) 1/
Per new (and ongoing, monthly) @SurveyMonkey / NYT polls, there are really two ways to look at the politics of the Trump tax cuts right now. First, they don't seem to move a lot of voters into the GOP column: Support has stalled just under 50%, and they're underwater w/ indys.
@SurveyMonkey But we also see in this month's data that the law appears to have done something important to Republicans: It's made them feel better about the economy. 
@SurveyMonkey We can't say for sure, but it looks like the law coincides with a surge of Republicans saying they're better off now than a year ago, economically. If you were a GOP base voter who doesn't love Trump and/or this Congress, that might be a reason to turn out in November.
@SurveyMonkey This next one is kinda wild.
@SurveyMonkey A plurality of Republicans say the tax cuts will *reduce* the federal budget deficit.
Barely 1 in 5 say they will add to the deficit.
*Most independent analyses conclude the cuts will add at least $1 trillion to deficits over 10 yrs, after accounting for add'l econ growth.
Barely 1 in 5 say they will add to the deficit.
*Most independent analyses conclude the cuts will add at least $1 trillion to deficits over 10 yrs, after accounting for add'l econ growth.
@SurveyMonkey Basically no one claims the cuts will reduce the deficit outside of Trump admin officials. But Republican voters are most likely to take their word for it.
@SurveyMonkey There are other new and interesting findings that @bencasselman and I write up, including the number of Democrats who give Trump credit for the economy's performance. Read all about it! nytimes.com/2018/06/15/bus…
