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Sam Lowe @SamuelMarcLowe
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
I have written a short piece on why those responsible for Economist for Free Trade's latest paper should be ashamed of themselves.

inews.co.uk/opinion/commen…
I shall be discussing this with one of the report’s authors on Sky News at around 19:30.
Well that was fun. Unfortunately we ended up briefly discussing oranges, for some reason, but what can you do?
Many thanks to @mpc_1968, who has kindly uploaded the debate to twitter. See the attached thread, if interested.

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I often find myself thinking about the claim that UK food prices will fall post-Brexit so long as the UK removes the existing EU tariffs on food imports (which can be quite high) either unilaterally or via new free trade agreements.

I'm sceptical, for a few reasons.
The first being that vast majority of our imported food comes from EU. Even if we unilaterally dropped tariffs on all imported food, we would still import a lot of food from the EU. EU food will be more expensive than now, if only because of new bureaucracy (ignoring tariffs).
Second, currency.

The IFS estimate that unilateral tariff removal could reduce household prices about 0.7–1.2%. This benefit has already been negated by a ~2% depreciation in sterling post-referendum.

ifs.org.uk/uploads/public…
Read 8 tweets
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Day 4 without a working boiler. I am starting to get cold.
Fair point.
Fixed! And I now have the number of a great gas engineer for any North Londoners in need. (Diagnosed and fixed it in 30 minutes compared to a 3 hour failed attempt by cowboys on NY eve).
Read 4 tweets
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Tariffs not biggest issue for British food exporters to EU, bigger issue is delays at the border and additional bureaucracy.

For example, milk for human consumption must enter EU via inspection post where 100% shipments subject to identity & doc checks; 50% physical inspection.
Because twitter, I’ve had a few “well that’s not a problem because we don’t export much milk” responses despite me saying it was just an example.

Here’s a product by product breakdown of checks and frequency UK products of animal origin would face if no deal.
The physical inspection rate can be reduced if the UK and EU reach an equivalence arrangement but this doesn’t remove need for document and identity checks nor for products to enter EU via a veterinary border inspection post. Anyway, it’s all in here: apha.defra.gov.uk/documents/bip/…
Read 3 tweets

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📅 Worth pointing out, for context:

💰The MoJ cut the prison budget between 2010 and 2015 by nearly £1bn

⚖️The #ProtectTheProtectors law makes no practical difference (see inews.co.uk/opinion/commen…)

⬇️Even with the new recruits, there are 15% fewer prison officers than in 2010.
If we’re really interested in prison achievements, let’s also add:

🚑 Serious assaults against prison staff have TRIPLED since 2010

🚑 Self-harming in prison has increased by 88% since 2010

👨‍🎓The number of prisoners completing accredited courses is down by 22% since 2015.
📈58% of our prisons are overcrowded.

❌ Sexual assaults in prison have tripled since 2012

📖 The number of English and maths qualifications achieved at level 1 or 2 (GCSE equivalent) has nearly halved since 2012.

☠️ 299 people died in custody in the year to March 2018.
Read 4 tweets
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Again.

Dear journalists - can you please drop the totally unhelpful and divisive reference to the 'War Cabinet' from your articles?

Thanks.

#Brexit #dontmentionthewar

@guardian @Telegraph @FXstreetNews @heraldscotland @Daily_Express @bpolitics @MailOnline
Why call it 'war cabinet' ?

theguardian.com/politics/2018/…
And here.
heraldscotland.com/news/16974803.…
Read 11 tweets
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#Khashoggi Case Thread: I am going to ‘pin’ this post to use it as an ‘Info Thread’ on the #Khashoggi Case. I am in #Turkey. I’ve been following the case closely and with access to sources & experts here. This is a very ‘sensitive’ criminal case due to ‘Diplomatic Booby Traps’!!!
The Evidence Obtained Outside Cameras will not show any evidence of ‘tempering’ but other than license plates of dozens of diplomatic cars (Many with tinted windows-large trunks) with related time stamp, drivers Info, model/year: Nothing.
#Turkish Intel-Investigative Bodies also have the list of all Diplomatic & Private Saudi & “other significant’ Planes in #Turkey for the period of ‘interest.’ Many of the Target airports have their own security cameras & related evidence.
Read 335 tweets
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1/ The #Saudi kidnapping of #Khashoggi reminds me of the kidnapping of #Hariri. It is meant to embarrass the other party, this time the gov of #Turkey, and provoke a diplomatic crisis. This is drug Cartel methods. It has no other goal than to assert power over the other.
2/ However, resorting to these methods to assert power in the political and international affairs sphere is always a sign of weakness and a sign of a power in crisis. #SaudiArabia
Read 216 tweets
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Last night, why did Nadine Dorries spread a nonsense story from 2008 by an Anne-Marie Waters supporter, who considers Tommy Robinson to be a "truth teller" (before deleting)...

It is worth noting it was about Muslims (1/?)
ICYMI: When Sadiq Khan talked about hate crime, Nadine Dorries had the audacity to ask him about grooming gangs. Now, what makes Sadiq Khan have any responsibility for grooming gangs?

Playing to far right tropes about Muslims is #Islamophobia (2/?)

ICYMI: Nadine Dorries was disappointed that Boris' de-humanising comments about Muslim women who wear the burqa being "bank robbers" and "letterboxes" , "didn't go further"
Read 11 tweets
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In addition to all the #Pride this weekend saw 3x mass events: London anti-Trump; Edinburgh anti-Trump plus around 200k at Durham Miners Gala. The point is now to unite these forces into a movement...
2/ People stuck in political tribes and structures often forget the transformative power of mass demonstrations. These mobilised Labour, Green, Libdems and SNP/Plaid - plus masses of working class people from the North of England...
3/ The first question is not "how does Labour capitalise on it" - though it should; it's how do we find ways of uniting progressive forces to defend democracy, press freedom and rule of law in the face of Trump/Brexit?
Read 10 tweets

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