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Ahmad Salkida @A_Salkida
, 4 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
This is not a capture. Nearly every village or town ISWAP attacked has a military facility. Meanwhile, as attention has shifted to #ISWAP, #Bokoharam may recuperate, this was how ISWAP became what they are and the factions have given up killing themselves. Read between the lines.
The insurgents no longer have the resources to capture and hold new territories. They are more secure in the limited areas they held and maintained from start. They are using the raining season to build up arms before the dry season, when air and ground troops are hard-hitting.
The insurgents have no doubt embraced the global jihad movements and are now regarded as important players, with growing ties, but the war strategy is local, to confront it requires street knowledge, which internationals don't know about and the govt seems to ignore at its peril.
The pattern of attacks is predictable, one can almost tell, where may be next, especially if you are following this conflict as closely as some of us do. What is the short and long term strategy of #ISWAP and the #Shekau group? We MUST get answers in order to save our own lives.
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