Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #LakeChad

Most recents (12)

Flash: Abubakar Shekau Reads BH ideology, Recites Nigeria's National Pledge in New Video.

The embattled leader of Jama'atu Ahlil-Sunnah Lid-Da'awati Wal-Jihad, otherwise known as Boko Haram appeared in a video robed in flowing white apparels whilst clutching an AK47 rifle ...
as he read a prepared speech in Arabic about the doctrines of Boko Haram. The factional leader of Boko Haram that have been weakened by an internal feud that led to the emergence of another faction in 2016 and persistent military campaign by the @NigerianArmy and the MNJTF ...
appeared to have impaired eyesight as he struggled to read his group's ideology in Arabic, while intermittently reciting Nigeria's National pledge in English, which he repeatedly said was an act of Shirk.
Read 5 tweets
The three major groups in Nigeria #BokoHaram (Shekau's JAS), #ISWAP and #Ansaru had their most active week of media releases this week. In addition to the highlight of their contents, I will also share my thoughts on where I think this decade-old insurgency is heading.

#Thread
1. Let me start with highlights from #BokoHaram Shekau's JAS. JAS acknowledged the Death of Man Chari Abū Sadīq al-Bāmāwī. He was the commander that issued the first protest against the deposition of Shekau by ISIS. He led the group as a commander & Imam. See Text 73 of BH Reader
2. Despite JAS schism with #ISWAP, the group still sees itself as part of ISIS which explains why the speeches of ISIS leaders (Adnani & Zarqawi) were frequently invoked in all their releases. #Ansaru is the only group in Nigeria as of now that make references to Al-Qaeda.
Read 17 tweets
Just In: Credible information reaching me now says, a faction(s) has emerged within #ISWAP. What is not, however, clear at this time is, which of the factions will receive the backing of #IS central and also claim the bulk of the fighting force within the group.
Interestingly, Abu Musab was the person that announced his own sack in an audio recording. Did he make the announcement under duress? Why haven't #IS central said anything yet about the leadership crisis in one of its most active Wilayat?
The coming weeks will definitely define the future of insurgency in the #LakeChad region and the wider implications for peace and security in #WestAfrica and the #Sahel region. Stay with me.
Read 3 tweets
THREAD!

This is why and how #ClimateChange and war make an explosive mix in the #Sahel and #LakeChad.
For millions in Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Chad, Cameroon & Burkina war is a dreadful reality of life. And, as if that’s not enough, comes #ClimateChange, exacerbating tensions between communities, deepening poverty & inequalities, weakening & disrupting people’s means of survival
Temperatures in the #Sahel are rising 1,5 times faster than the global average. Rains are erratic, and rainy seasons shorter. @UN estimates that roughly 80% of the Sahel's farmland is degraded even as roughly 50 million people in the Sahel who depend on livestock compete for land
Read 7 tweets
In 2011, at a time #BokoHaram assassinates people that criticize them, as a reporter based in Maiduguri then, I penned a scathing article on the Islamic Faith of Boko Haram. I was asked to leave town, but I stayed back. salkida.com/tasking-the-ba
In this 2012 report I asked, how does operating and living in denial of the existence of a nightmare help society or advance national security? Sadly, not much has changed since then. #LakeChad salkida.com/reporting-terr
In 2015 I argued in this report that ‘Regional military cooperation must improve to defeat #BokoHaram.’ Four years later, we’ve not seen the leadership that unified the countries in the #LakeChad region working towards a common military target & objective. salkida.com/regional-milit
Read 4 tweets
At the ongoing #ASP2018, @FatuBensouda, Prosecutor of @IntlCrimCourt just released the rpt on Preliminary Examinations (PE), which addresses many countries, including #Nigeria.
file:///H:/Chidi/Documents/IJ/AFRICA-ICC/2018%20Preliminary%20Examination%20Report%20-%20English.pdf
In her Preliminary Examination rpt, @FatuBensouda reports that "from January to June 2018, over 1,300 ppl were killed" by farmer-herder violence in Adamawa, Benue, Nasarawa, Plateau & Taraba States "& about 300,000 persons were displaced."
#ASP2018
During the past yr, according to @FatuBensuouda, @IntlCrimCourt received allegations of new crimes by the #BokoHaram Insurgency, violations by Nigerian Security Forces (NSF) & "with respect to communal violence in #Nigeria's North Central & NE geographical zones"
#ASP2018
Read 13 tweets
The Nigerian government has shown unwillingness to use hindsight for the benefit of foresight to address the #BokoHaram/#ISWAP conflict. At every stop the insurgents seem more determined to kill than the government's determination to stop the killings.
The insurgents are no longer faceless as the previous Govt often said, their origins, locations and plans are known in the region. The civilian population of BH/ISWAP is more than the combatants. Therefore, Non military intervention is equally important as a military campaign.
Non military intervention does not mean dialogue with the insurgents, the prospects of a peace settlement in the #LakeChad is near impossible, at this stage. It is Nigerian govt that must dialogue with itself, to bring all its institutions to speed to complement the military.
Read 5 tweets
This is going to be a very long thread on #ISWAP, recent negotiations that went wrong and the controversial #BokoHaram ‘technical defeat’ bubble that was created to achieve political value rather than address the conflict indicators in the #LakeChad.
Apparently, Shekau has not recovered from the fallout of his extreme and tight fisted rule, which led to a split in 2016. Many may argue that the splinter group (ISWAP), is now as extreme as Shekau, but insiders disagree, that there is freedom of expression in ISWAP.
To many insiders, the execution of an overrated Mamman Nur and two aid workers would have been carried out by Shekau if he was faced with similar situations. It is also on record that Shekau has executed dozens of his associates and has been the largest beneficiary of ransom...
Read 26 tweets
#BokoHaram is adapting quickly, while #ISWAP is focused on re-branding. There's a sharp increase in recruits, especially by #ISWAP this year alone that outnumbered new recruits in 2017. Failure to stem recruitment is more grievous than the sporadic attacks, we are seeing today.
What is worrying abt the growing appeal for Jihadism in the #LakeChad is, the Govts are faced wth multiple crisis that limits their capacity to provide security. For many, the absence of governance and the promise of prosperity only in the hereafter is enough to be canon fodders.
The insurgents are still here. Most of the old guards are gone, but there's a new generation of ideologues, with a limited world view determined to fight on. They were born in violence, the only language they understand is violence. Only education can stop this tide. #LakeChad
Read 3 tweets
Growing up as a child between #Biu and #Maiduguri in the 80's and 90's left me with vivid memories. There were clear memories of affinity, of love, of trust, of sharing and good neighbourliness. #Maiduguri, to me, is the only place I want to retire to.

Thread
Today, the epitaph - home of peace, mock the state, its citizenry and govt. A crisis we all saw coming and I, in particular, wrote articles and reports in the New Sentinel and the Daily Trust, alerting the state of an impending threat to law and order, long before it occurred.
The official lines, then, was, the crisis "would fizzle out soon." Today, officials are pushing the same narrative. This is the wish of every well meaning citizen, but wishes are not horses. The evidence in Borno, especially rural areas, contrast sharply with official lines.
Read 14 tweets
There r multiple conflicts either in advanced stages or simmering across the #LakeChad & Bakasi regions in West & Central African regional belts. These include the #BokoHaram, #Herdsmen attacks, the unfolding separatist war in Cameroon and several other pockets of instability
The multiple conflicts should concern us all. The region cannot afford another war in addition to the lingering conflict over #climatechange and #BokoHaram. The consequences of escalating conflicts in these territories are dire. The regions are on the verge of an implosion.
There is also a growing interest of IS in escalating conflicts in the #Sahel and #LakeChad regions. Either out of ignorance or poor grasp of strategic regional issues, the various govts in the regions are steadily playing to bring to pass the expectations of these warmongers.
Read 3 tweets
1/ Politics and governance took centre stage this week, with the FG under fire for a slow response to floods in Benue,
2/ and Amnesty International serving a reminder, where none was needed, of the catastrophic human toll of Boko Haram’s insurgency.
3/ Finally on the reminder trail, Nigeria’s states have always had a thing for debt, and Nnamdi Kanu and IPOB are Nigerian after all.
Read 30 tweets

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