Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #iswap

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Just In: Credible information reaching me now says, a faction(s) has emerged within #ISWAP. What is not, however, clear at this time is, which of the factions will receive the backing of #IS central and also claim the bulk of the fighting force within the group.
Interestingly, Abu Musab was the person that announced his own sack in an audio recording. Did he make the announcement under duress? Why haven't #IS central said anything yet about the leadership crisis in one of its most active Wilayat?
The coming weeks will definitely define the future of insurgency in the #LakeChad region and the wider implications for peace and security in #WestAfrica and the #Sahel region. Stay with me.
Read 3 tweets
When @A_Salkida reported the leadership change in #ISWAP on March 4th, albeit the skepticism attributed to the report, I was CERTAIN the report was TRUE because of Salkida's antecedents. #ISWAP has released the audio in Hausa from their encrypted channel. Here is the translation
The 6 minutes 16 seconds audio translated below was released by #ISWAP. Abu Abdulla Idris can be confirmed as the same figure Mamman Nur mentioned in August 2016 as "Ba Idrissa who queried Shekau's flawed interpretation of Quranic exegesis" See Text 72 of The Boko Haram Reader.
[Islamic Introduction, Quranic&Hadith citations on Obedience to a Caliph]

"I am announcing to my mujahideen brothers, commanders, and leaders in the Islamic State West African Province that the commander of the believers has deposed Abū Musʿab al-Barnāwī as the Governor.
Read 13 tweets
@A_Salkida reported the appointment of Abu Abdullah Idrissa as the new Wali of #ISWAP and the relegation of Abu Mus`ab as Shura member. Observers have remained puzzled over the ideological implication of the change. Will the new leadership go the Nur's way or "more Takfiri" way?
1. Nur's way of jihadi revisionism is the last batch of intervention from the old cadres of the group who felt they have departed from their initial ideological program. The circumstances surrounding Nur's death suggest that the new leader will not follow the placatory approach.
2. It is unlikely that Abu Abdullah Idrissa will merge with Shekau. Although both ISWAP and JAS have shown that they can temporarily halt their hostility and fight against their "Greater Enemy", they are yet to resolve their ideological differences on "العذر بالجهل وقيام الحجة".
Read 10 tweets
1/ A carelessly incurred fine, effectively ignoring a surging ISWAP, the CCB’s sudden impotence, and a judicial bailout for an under fire ruling party, Nigeria has become the land where the unnecessary is king.
2/ The drama between @MobilePunch and @CCBNigeria represents the latest indication of the current administration’s selective commitment to the rule of law.
3/ The irony of @CCBNigeria who responded to a letter against CJN #Onnoghen - an official who is no favourite of @MBuhari - in a matter of hours while ignoring a legal request for information that could potentially tar @AsoRock’s leading lights is inescapable.
Read 20 tweets
(THREAD) #Nigeria: In this thread I will be posting all #ISWAP attack claims and everything connected to Nigerian Army's fight against the terrorists in northeastern part of the country. It will be better to have everything in one place. Stay tuned.
Here is part of my work about #ISIS in December. The number of ISWAP attacks reported by their media has doubled compared to November:
The map of #ISWAP control in Borno. The situation has changed since - Baga, Cross Kauwa and Kukawa have been recaptured by Nigerian Army:
Read 95 tweets
1/ The country’s profile got bleaker this week for a host of reasons - impetuous regulatory behaviour, refugees left out in the cold, a needless rise in public recurrent spending and an unshackled rogue police squad.
2/ Nothing illustrates #Nigeria’s dysfunction as much as the minimum wage palaver. The ₦27,000 ($75) or even ₦30,000 ($83) is not much – those that earn it will hover around the poverty line.
3/ The issue is that even such a wage is beyond the capacity of @AsoRock to pay, and for many small businesses as well, this will represent a massive upswing in cost. There is a disconnect between value creation by the workforce, and how much they earn.
Read 24 tweets
Nigerians in currently in serious contact with #ISWAP in Rann NE Nigeria. Battle began an hour ago
The Insurgents Monday night broke the Nigerian forces defenses in a stealth & precision attack, got to the town center and IDP camp.
The Nigerian ground and air forces are currently engaging the insurgents
Monday satellite and Drone images of the battle space Rann seen by us points to very poor situational awareness of the battalion and other security services on ground.
Read 4 tweets
#ISWAP eyes, perhaps set on Maiduguri, as this night attack by the group is ongoing in Auno, barely 24 kilometres to the city. The Nigerian Airforce is currently providing air support to ground troops.
Reports coming in from Auno indicate that #ISWAP fighters were pushed back after they suffered heavy casualties from the #Nigeriantroops, but the group’s capacity to carry out daily attacks on military targets across the region call for serious concern.
Each attack comes with new displacements into #Maiduguri. The new arrivals from Auno to the inundated city of Maiduguri said both the #Nigeriantroops and #ISWAP suffered casualties, just before they fled. #Tragic
Read 3 tweets
Just In: Nigerian Army in fierce battle with #ISWAP fighters as at 9:45pm in Damasak, the same location where a military helicopter crashed, killing all officers on board. As expected, #ISWAP attack the same location repeatedly, this has been the pattern of most attacks.
Update: Multiple sources said #Nigeriantroops successfully repelled an #ISWAP attack last night, killing scores of the attackers and burning down at least 5 of their trucks. ISWAP, curiously, has not issued a statement, apparently because they suffered defeat.
Update on Damasak: #ISWAP claimed in its bulletin released moments ago that, “more than 20 apostates (Nigerian Soldiers) were killed as a result of attack and IED blasts in Borno.”
Read 3 tweets
Nigerian Air Force strike in Seyoram against alleged BH targets as part of OP Lafiya Doyle with NAF Intelligence Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR). Location: @wikimapia (wikimapia.org/#lang=en&lat=1…). Video of strike: #Nigeria
BH Tech also seen destroyed in OP Lafiya Doyle video by NAF 11km SW of Baga along Kukawa Kauwa Border Rd (goo.gl/maps/gXG4nxf5G…). h/t to @africaken1 for ID of possible Nigeria Army-owned BM-21 GRAD MRLS 👇()
Surveillance footage shows NAF strikes on alleged ISWAP fighters at former fishing village in Doro Gowon fishing area, east Borno. Geolocated here: goo.gl/maps/KJGYaJUmu…. Note: attack was 4.5km N of Baga, which was attacked by militants on 27/12 reuters.com/article/us-nig…
Read 9 tweets
2018 began with some trepidation as #Nigeria's economy failed to take off, and familiar sounds of discontent began to surface.

In the political space, questions mounted about whether the coalition that brought @MBuhari to power 3 years earlier would hold firm.

It didn't.
Meanwhile, the year, 2018, would go down as the year when @AsoRock's claims about having a lid on security issues were revealed to be mostly empty.
The year began with an escalation of #PastoralConflict, with tit-for-tat killings across 5 states, and a tepid reaction from @AsoRock.

This culminated in the unsightly scenario of one of #Nigeria's most prominent citizens asking his tribesmen to defend themselves.
Read 25 tweets
The Nigerian government has shown unwillingness to use hindsight for the benefit of foresight to address the #BokoHaram/#ISWAP conflict. At every stop the insurgents seem more determined to kill than the government's determination to stop the killings.
The insurgents are no longer faceless as the previous Govt often said, their origins, locations and plans are known in the region. The civilian population of BH/ISWAP is more than the combatants. Therefore, Non military intervention is equally important as a military campaign.
Non military intervention does not mean dialogue with the insurgents, the prospects of a peace settlement in the #LakeChad is near impossible, at this stage. It is Nigerian govt that must dialogue with itself, to bring all its institutions to speed to complement the military.
Read 5 tweets
Is the military carrying out reprisal attacks, last Friday, village traders in Kasuwan Gamma in Magumeri LGA claimed that soldiers burnt down a market with everything in it, because #BokoHaram also make use of the market, said a local vigilante. This shld be further investigated.
According to the Vigilante, the villagers are distressed by the loss of their valuables, as it is their sole means of livelihood. Many villagers are, increasingly, avoiding coming between the military and BH, as they are invariably at the receiving end, said the Vigilante.
At a time like this, military/civilian relations should be at its best, not lowest, the military can't afford to lose local support, at a time #ISWAP is reportedly supporting poor communities to win them over. The military must not lose the non combat aspect of this war.
Read 3 tweets
Apologies, quite busy.
Briefly; A large number of X-rays with superior firepower launched simultaneous attacks on Nigerian Army encampments in Maitele & Mainok Sunday night. The units BTR2 & T72s were not operational. Force protection was poor, no patrols to dominate the area &
dirt-parts, units low on supplies, tactical comms with reinforcements teams was poor which led to multiple ambush by #ISWAP of these teams, no Air support/ Arty support.
Over a hundred soldiers unaccounted for out of 370+.
This is the 2nd worse casualty nos after the July 14 #ISWAP attack at Nigerian Army FoB in at Kiki where I mentioned over 200 Soldiers died in one fell swoop.

5 APC's/Tanks with several Guntrucks & equipments were looted.
Read 6 tweets
#ISWAP in Al-Naba news confirmed that it carried out attacks on a military base in Metele, on 18th and a second one on 19th/20th, when the military went to collect the fallen comrades. In all, the terror group claimed to have killed 100 soldiers.

THREAD
What is most alarming is, #IS weekly infographic on its operations (persons killed and injured etc.) in Al-Naba weekly magazine in Arabic. The week of 15 to 21st November, #ISWAP was clearly the 1st in the world in all of #IS Wilaya for the number of dead and wounded.
On the infographic 2nd is Iraq, 3rd is Sham, 4th is Khorasan, 5th, East Asia, 6th is Sinai. The rating varies, depending on the attacks in the week. But it is now clear that ISWAP has a growing strategic partnership beyond media collaboration with #ISIS. Are we still in doubt?
Read 5 tweets
In a week where the North East got yet another military commander, we got a better look at overburdened infrastructure.

Elsewhere, as MTN gears up to enter the banks’ turf, concern over Nigeria's food import practices conjures a picture of a recently painted but creaking house.
The @MTNGroup's announcement is a positive for #Nigeria's economy as it substantiates previous comments by MTN that it has no plans to exit Nigeria despite its spat with @cenbank over alleged illegal fund repatriation.
The announcement ties into @MTNGroup’s strategy to become the biggest provider of mobile financial services in #Africa.

The telecoms-led drive to provide mobile money services will introduce a new interesting chapter in #Nigeria’s financial services sector.
Read 21 tweets
This is going to be a very long thread on #ISWAP, recent negotiations that went wrong and the controversial #BokoHaram ‘technical defeat’ bubble that was created to achieve political value rather than address the conflict indicators in the #LakeChad.
Apparently, Shekau has not recovered from the fallout of his extreme and tight fisted rule, which led to a split in 2016. Many may argue that the splinter group (ISWAP), is now as extreme as Shekau, but insiders disagree, that there is freedom of expression in ISWAP.
To many insiders, the execution of an overrated Mamman Nur and two aid workers would have been carried out by Shekau if he was faced with similar situations. It is also on record that Shekau has executed dozens of his associates and has been the largest beneficiary of ransom...
Read 26 tweets
This is not a capture. Nearly every village or town ISWAP attacked has a military facility. Meanwhile, as attention has shifted to #ISWAP, #Bokoharam may recuperate, this was how ISWAP became what they are and the factions have given up killing themselves. Read between the lines.
The insurgents no longer have the resources to capture and hold new territories. They are more secure in the limited areas they held and maintained from start. They are using the raining season to build up arms before the dry season, when air and ground troops are hard-hitting.
The insurgents have no doubt embraced the global jihad movements and are now regarded as important players, with growing ties, but the war strategy is local, to confront it requires street knowledge, which internationals don't know about and the govt seems to ignore at its peril.
Read 4 tweets
On the evening of 7/9/18, fighters loyal to ISWAP raised their flag over #Gudumbali, HQ of Guzamala LGA, #Borno.

Soldiers and policemen in town abandoned their positions, and in some instances discarded their uniforms as they sought to escape the advancing terrorists.
What was striking was the speed with which @HQNigerianArmy lost control of Gudumbali, a strategic town that lies on the road between Damasak and Monguno.

This attack was less than a week after 145 Battalion was attacked in Zari, 51km away, leading to the loss of 48 soldiers.
Belatedly, @HQNigerianArmy launched a counter-attack to retake #Gudumbali on the evening of 8/9/18.

As of the time of writing this report, the operation is still ongoing with fighting having spread as far as Kukawa, 43km away.
Read 17 tweets
There is a silent emergency on a long standing human rights violations and abuse in Northeast #Nigeria, where, even security officials estimated the number of those detained or executed for the crime of guilt by association to over THREE THOUSAND in the past 8 to 9 years.
THREAD
Hundreds of young men and some women were picked up after a suspected terrorist calls them even once. It doesn't matter what the call is all about or who the caller is to the recipient. The implication can be dreadful to those involved and their families.
Idris Ali was arrested by the DSS in 2013 and remained in custody till date. His 'crime,' a childhood friend of his, got his number and placed a call to him, and because the caller was being trailed by officials, Ali and brother were arrested remained in custody since then.
Read 19 tweets
#BokoHaram is adapting quickly, while #ISWAP is focused on re-branding. There's a sharp increase in recruits, especially by #ISWAP this year alone that outnumbered new recruits in 2017. Failure to stem recruitment is more grievous than the sporadic attacks, we are seeing today.
What is worrying abt the growing appeal for Jihadism in the #LakeChad is, the Govts are faced wth multiple crisis that limits their capacity to provide security. For many, the absence of governance and the promise of prosperity only in the hereafter is enough to be canon fodders.
The insurgents are still here. Most of the old guards are gone, but there's a new generation of ideologues, with a limited world view determined to fight on. They were born in violence, the only language they understand is violence. Only education can stop this tide. #LakeChad
Read 3 tweets
Growing up as a child between #Biu and #Maiduguri in the 80's and 90's left me with vivid memories. There were clear memories of affinity, of love, of trust, of sharing and good neighbourliness. #Maiduguri, to me, is the only place I want to retire to.

Thread
Today, the epitaph - home of peace, mock the state, its citizenry and govt. A crisis we all saw coming and I, in particular, wrote articles and reports in the New Sentinel and the Daily Trust, alerting the state of an impending threat to law and order, long before it occurred.
The official lines, then, was, the crisis "would fizzle out soon." Today, officials are pushing the same narrative. This is the wish of every well meaning citizen, but wishes are not horses. The evidence in Borno, especially rural areas, contrast sharply with official lines.
Read 14 tweets

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