This is wrong—as (a) there are many people Manafort can agree to give up who are not Trump, (b) we are relying on Team Trump to inform us accurately and in a timely way as to when any JDA expired (or did not), and (c) they have every impetus to *not* announce any such expiration.
2/ The moment Team Trump announces the Trump-Manafort JDA has ended, it's as good as confirming NBC's January reporting that Manafort *can*, in fact, sink Trump—as Trump was telling friends by phone, per NBC. So thinking we'd get this news immediately from Trump is faulty logic.
3/ But there's another key point: Mueller already has Manafort slated for prison and can re-try his Virginia cases if this agreement doesn't cover those. So if Manafort offers up a *lateral* suspect—especially one who might then give up Trump—*that* would be worth it for Mueller.
