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Laura Kuenssberg @bbclaurak
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
1. In earlier flurry about leaked notes on Brexit grid - impt detail from Cabinet day might have got drowned out that might prove a big problem - several sources have told us Geoffrey Cox softened his position a bit, and appears signed up to need for a November deal
2. Sources suggest ministers were told they would get a summary of legal advice -but it's said Michael Gove, backed by others, still demanding they get the FULL legal advice before signing up to anything
3. Earlier today, No 10 indicated it would not be possible to separate out the legal and political elements of the govt's position - this might, just might, be a big accident waiting to happen, or perhaps an elegant way out for any brexiteers looking for one
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1. Open the notebook back up at the last page before Christmas in Westminster and it doesn't feel like there many new lines that need to be written
2. No 10 trying to eke out more reassurances on time line of backstop from EU, and find a way to make MPs feel they'll have more of a say
3. EU has no intention of major change to legal agreement that's been sweated over - nor do MPs show sign yet of swinging behind May's compromise deal in anything like the number it would take to give her a real shot at getting it thro next week
Read 6 tweets
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Meanwhile... Labour attempt to force vote on no confidence in PM pretty risk free for them - it isn't a way of actually forcing a vote that might collapse the govt, just embarrassing the PM and tying govt up in knots
Early indiciations are that ERG brexiteers would back the PM, but that could change - let's see what DUP decides
Ah... Sammy Wilson has just told us DUP won't back Labour if they manage to get their vote in the PM
Read 5 tweets
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A lot of echoes of morning after election when PM gave a speech that she could have given almost any day of the campaign - she said she had listened in that speech just there, but showed v little intent of changing v much at all
Of course her colleagues in govt relieved that she can try to carry on but it's a survival not success tonight - another big knock to the PM's credibility, and no solution at all to the gridlock in Parliament - she's survived, her brexit compromise can't in its current form
But the one uncertainty removed, she can't face another vote of confidence from her own party for a year - but that doesn't mean the govt can get through another period like this in Parliament
Read 5 tweets

Related threads

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SO. #Brexit boils down to how - or if - the UK can ever leave the dreaded Irish backstop.

There is talk of a "review mechanism". So what might that be? How might it work?

Some thoughts after chats with both sides + experts 1/Thread

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…
Let's start from the point of agreement.

Both sides say backstop is
a) necessary
b) temporary
c) should be superseded by future relationship

So there does need to be what one EU source calls an "unwinding" mechanism. /2
The problem (before we get to the detail of that mechanism) is that no-one can see what version of the Future Relationship can deliver on UK commitment to no return to a hard border in Ireland.

May's dual tariff or 'MaxFac' unicorns are dead. /3
Read 17 tweets
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Senior sources say UK prime minister May has secured private #Brexit concessions from Brussels that will allow her to keep the whole of Britain in a customs union, avoiding a hard border in Northern Ireland thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/r…
EU concession 1: The EU will write an all-UK customs deal into the legally binding withdrawal agreement so an EU-designed “backstop” treating Northern Ireland differently from the UK mainland is not required
EU concession 2: There will be an “exit clause” to convince Eurosceptics the UK will not be under the EU's customs regime for ever
Read 8 tweets
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#brexit, #language, #mathematics, #pseudoscience, #rhetoric, #style

Brand-new and remarkable: #today, in a speech before #industry-representatives, chancellor Angela #Merkel used an old-fashioned, and,I think, INAPPROPRIATE,mathematical term to describe the #Brexit discussions..
.. in the #UK.

On 20180925, 9:50 CET, (cf. bdi.eu/der-bdi/termin…), chancellor Merkel said the following: "Wesentlich hängt es natürlich auch davon ab, was Großbritannien denn wirklich möchte. Auch da ist ja die Diskussion nicht so ganz eineindeutig [sic],
und, das muss ich..
.. allerdings sagen: Man kann nicht zum Binnenmarkt gehören, wenn man in EINEM Teil nur zum Binnenmarkt gehören will, aber in drei ANDEREN Teilen nicht zum Binnenmarkt gehört, und da müssen wir verschiedene, äh, vernünftige Wege [ rest drowned out by applause ]."
..
Read 17 tweets
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1. Central to the crunch in #Brexit talks is that the ultras think the EU is over-egging the NI border situation and have unjustly rejected their ideas because of a political agenda to annex NI for Ireland. Which is bollocks...
2. It's really quite simple. The EU has controls on its outer frontiers because it has a system of rules to keep certain things out be they counterfeit airline spares of adulterated foods. It's a system, it's *their* system, and the want to keep it intact.
3. The UK has decided that it does not want to be inside of this system. If we didn't share a land border with the EU then that wouldn't be much of a problem. But we do. And it's a big problem...
Read 21 tweets
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Arron Banks, the businessman who bankrolled Nigel Farage’s LeaveEU campaign, had multiple meetings with high-ranking Russian officials in the run-up to the #Brexit referendum, contradicting his denials @carolecadwalla @peterjukes theguardian.com/politics/2018/…
"The documents raise urgent and troubling questions about Arron Banks' relationship with the Russian government"
#CambridgeAnalytica whistleblower @chrisinsilico confirms: "I have personally seen these emails/documents and informed both British and American intelligence about them months ago"
Read 14 tweets
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I'm currently at this #Brexit conference in Copenhagen, where the British ambassador and several #DExEU officials will be on panels with representatives of Danish trade and security. It'll be very interesting to see what's said, especially in light of May's recent Munich speech.
And now that I'm not desperately trying to keep up with livetweeting it, I shall turn my mess of self-retweets into a proper thread. #Brexit #BrexitDK
acknowledges #Brexit will have challenges; emphasises no naïveté regarding "land of milk and honey". Refreshing sense of pragmatism; we'll see how #DExEU and DK reps present it.

#BrexitDK
Read 55 tweets

Trending hashtags

#Brexit #ProjectFear #BrexitChaos #BrexitDeal #peoplesvote #codomain #BrexitRussia #remain #anyquestions #WithdrawalAgreement #Labour #today #GE2017 #ABTV #brexit #Brexiters #nobrexit #euco #FBPE #CambridgeAnalytica #Conservatives #CPC18 #StopBrexit #pseudoscience #brexitvoices

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