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David Henig @DavidHenigUK
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
This is not necessarily Friday night reading, but we'll start now and keep pushing this as long as it takes. This is what we think are the 10 core trade facts about the UK / EU Withdrawal Agreement and future relationship... uktradeforum.net/2018/11/30/int…
It isn't completely straightforward because UK-EU trade isn't completely straightforward, but we've tried to make this as accessible as possible - and it is particularly aimed at those in politics and media who should know this stuff.
If you think we got anything wrong, please let us know, This is not a partisan initiative, but one to raise the level of debate. If we got it right, and you're a trade specialist, endorsements welcome. And obviously thanks to my co-signatories, great team effort
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Am bored of reading the conventional wisdom that the EU could not renegotiate Brexit, and to make this case will borrow the wisdom of one of our most experienced MEPs @RCorbettMEP - this is how it COULD happen (and why it probably won't)
There is no more important Brexit job for MPs in the coming two months than to build consensus - something those more astute than the PM realised some time ago. Future relationship talks with a split Parliament could not succeed.
(The @RCorbettMEP article extracted earlier - labourlist.org/2019/01/richar…)
Read 3 tweets
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The Government may have informally asked the EU about an Article 50 Extension - we presume not for any serious reason (no-deal prep, election, referendum) but in the vague hope this somehow helps the PM's deal pass Parliament
Under three months from leaving the EU by law and we have a Government without a plan.
It is not clear that the UK Government has learned anything about negotiating with the EU over the past two and a half years
Read 4 tweets
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A modest step forward by those MPs supporting a 'Norway' Brexit - they have a better name than Norway+, we now have Common Market 2.0, also breaking the unwritten Brexit rule that all proposals must be +++ d3n8a8pro7vhmx.cloudfront.net/stephenkinnock…
There's not much new here, but mention of our freedom to set agriculture rules doesn't sit well with commitments on the Irish border unless assuming Northern Ireland does not in fact have that freedom, and Irish Sea checks
Biggest problem for EEA supporters remains the opposition of both the Labour leadership and the referendum campaigners. Although a majority of MPs could probably live with an EEA solution it is hard to see us getting there
Read 3 tweets

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1/Thread on Irish border
It is frequently stated that the reason the UK has to sign up to the Backstop in the WA is because the UK is legally bound both through the Belfast Agreement & Dec 2017 EU/UK progress report to prevent any trade friction on the Island of Ireland.
2/I wanted to share some thoughts:
First, lets deal with often quoted argument that the Good Friday Agreement explicitly prohibits any trade friction on the island of Ireland. Here is the Agreement.
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
3/After reading it I find that there are ZERO mentions of the word friction in the document at all & only 1 use of the word trade - as part of the phrase “Trade Union”.
There are, however, 10 uses of the word border in the document.
Read 25 tweets
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1/ Watch @maikebohn on @euronews talking about the concerns of EU citizens in the UK, the language used against them and our main ask: ring-fencing of the #citizensrights part of the Withdrawal Agreement whatever Brexit we will get

Video 1/4
2/ @maikebohn calling out Theresa May's #queuejumper rhetoric and the fact that EU citizens are seen mainly as an economic commodity and not as people.
"That makes me really sad" she concludes

Video 2/4
3/ @maikebohn reflecting the worries of many EU citizens who are torn about whether they should stay. Worried about general discrimination, worried about how the Govt will implement the promises made, and what will be happening in case of a no deal Brexit to our rights

Video 3/4
Read 4 tweets
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How @DailyMailUK twisted the results of @Survation poll and created a nice little frontpage to support Theresa May with some beautiful YESes in red and some lovely supporting words, even though the front page does not actually reflects the results of the poll...
So, let's have a closer look at some of the questions asked and the ACTUAL answers of voters...
Q1. When UK Govt's negotiations over the terms of Britain's exit from #EU are complete, would you support or oppose holding a People's Vote - a referendum - asking the public their view?

- Support 48% 👈
- Oppose 34%
- Don't know 18%

Large margin 14% to support a #PeoplesVote!
Read 18 tweets
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Withdrawal Agreement Implementation White Paper being published soon - we will learn exactly how Government to get round self made conundrum of repealing the European Communities Act on 29 March 2019 and then immediately unrepealing it, in order EU law continues in transition
This issue of “automaticity” of EU law in the transition period obvious from around the time of PM’s Florence speech...
If the repeal of the 1972 Act is immediately unrepealed, as seems to me the only way it can be done, expect even more Brexiter anger....
chances of passing EU Withdrawal Agreement Implementation Bill?

- Unrepeal repeal of European Communities Act
- enshrine in law payment of at least £40bn settlement
- only political declaration on trade

wrote here internal Gov wargame saw it voted down: news.sky.com/story/sky-view…
Read 3 tweets
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1/ Last week the Immigration Minister @carolinenokes responded to the @LordsEUCom and some elements of Settled Status and application process are a bit clearer now.
2/ We have already tweeted about the @LordsEUCom response, who criticise some of the responses by @carolinenokes. This thread will focus on the positives of her letter
3/ this letter by @carolinenokes is a direct response to questions raised by the @LordsEUCom just after the UK/EU #citizensrights agreement on phase 1 of the Brexit negotiations.
Read 10 tweets

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