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Jonathan Lis @jonlis1
, 3 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Um... did Andrea Leadsom just try to blackmail EU with no-deal? ‘It’s in their interests to amend backstop because legal default is no deal’. After 2 yrs of not budging they’re bound to respond to that! The delusion, exceptionalism and outright stupidity just never ends #r4today
Oh good, now Leadsom has doubled down by accusing the Speaker of bias. Any other earth you’d like to scorch? #r4today
This can’t be stressed enough. Leadsom discusses ‘legal default of no deal’ as though we have no choice. But ECJ has literally confirmed we can stop A50 process at any time. If we have no-deal it will be through open government sadism on its own people - nothing more. #r4today
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Labour Party policy is as follows:

1/ Reject this deal
2/ Try to secure general election
3/ Try to win election
4/ Try to renegotiate Brexit in government
5/ If 2, 3 or 4 doesn’t happen, support a referendum

Renegotiation won’t work, but it is policy. So is a people’s vote.
We can argue about this, but let’s also bear in mind that the government is currently spending billions of pounds preparing for a scenario which will cut off our food and medicine supply.
And, before you say ‘we crash out on 29 March’, Corbyn has explicitly ruled out supporting no-deal under any circumstances and has repeatedly called on May to extend Article 50. He will no-confidence gov before we reach edge of the abyss.
Read 3 tweets
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I know this looks disappointing, but hold tight. Corbyn can hardly promise to ‘stop Brexit’ when he’s already outlined preference for a general election so he can renegotiate it. If there is a GE manifesto with no Plan B for a referendum if he can’t renegotiate, *then* get angry
Because the truth is that he won’t be able to renegotiate much. Backstop has to stay in all circumstances. Customs union must still be worked through in transition period and we’ll never get a veto over our tariffs or EU’s trade policy, but will still have to follow them.
And if he wants to end free movement - a huge error - then that means we leave the single market with massive disruption at Dover and a border in Irish Sea. So realistically best Corbyn can do is to have ‘Norway Plus’ added to political declaration as a negotiating aspiration.
Read 4 tweets
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Corbyn spot on here. May is running down the clock and wasting money on an outcome she knows won’t happen, just to make her deal look like lesser of two evils. She is now driving Project Fear. Even by standards of British politics this is unparalleled cynicism #PMQs
Wow, there really is nothing more cringe-making than watching May bleat out rigidly rehearsed stale jokes. Also, did nobody suggest ‘they’re behind you’ might be an unwise line when 117 of her own MPs just tried to get rid of her? #PMQs
Have to do a double-take when PM answers a question about foreign policy. Seems impossible to remember a time when UK gov took a sustained interest in world affairs and wasn’t exclusively concerned with implementing a navel-gazing orgy of economic ruin and national self-harm
Read 3 tweets

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Eu já falei do velho que entrega presentes na calada da noite, e eu já falei de seu companheiro mais famoso, com seus chifres e cascos.
Mas o caso é que dependendo de qual velho estivermos falando, o companheiro sombrio (e as vezes não tão sombrio) vai ser alguém diferente.
Essa é a quinta #mithreadlogia de fim de ano e é sobre os outros companheiros do Père Noël, do Sinterklass, de São Nicolau, Mikulás ou Samichlaus que podem dar as caras durante suas visitas.
A Thread anterior, para quem não viu (é bem longa porque a figura exige)
Read 91 tweets
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EU no-deal plans: Our childish outburst has put us at their mercy politics.co.uk/blogs/2018/12/…
This is the full low-down on the EU's no-deal proposals, which are, for all intents and purposes, our own ones. They have proscribed how painful no-deal will be and none of our am-dram Children of Men bullshit will counter it.
Ultimately, they have closed off the very worst outcomes on aviation, haulage and agricultural exports. But they have done so in a way that - for obvious reasons - suits them, not us.
Read 8 tweets
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Andrea Leadsom says in today's Express that a Referendum would "damage the trust between people and Parliament."

What trust?
Yes, that would be the same Andrea Leadsom who told voters: "The European leader who tells Germany's BMW workers... that they can no longer sell tariff-free to the UK... will face disaster at their own ballot box. It is not an option."
Lie to the public if you must. There are plenty of politicians who do, after all. But, please, spare us the lectures about how you have the interests of democracy at heart.
Read 3 tweets
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How @DailyMailUK twisted the results of @Survation poll and created a nice little frontpage to support Theresa May with some beautiful YESes in red and some lovely supporting words, even though the front page does not actually reflects the results of the poll...
So, let's have a closer look at some of the questions asked and the ACTUAL answers of voters...
Q1. When UK Govt's negotiations over the terms of Britain's exit from #EU are complete, would you support or oppose holding a People's Vote - a referendum - asking the public their view?

- Support 48% 👈
- Oppose 34%
- Don't know 18%

Large margin 14% to support a #PeoplesVote!
Read 18 tweets
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"Trump has used Harley-Davidson as an example of a US business that is being harmed by trade barriers. Yet Harley has warned consistently against tariffs, saying they would negatively impact sales"

Harley, hit by tariffs, shifts some production overseas apnews.com/6c8942f7363743…
Important issue highlighted by @riotwomennn: are tariff exemptions determined by bribes?

Corker: "22,000 companies have asked for exemptions.There is no basis to deal with them. Are they going to grant these exclusions based on political contributions?"
Trump’s trade war with the European Union is going to cost Harley-Davidson as much as $100 million a year and force the manufacturer to shift production out of the U.S. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Read 232 tweets
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I’m at an @OpenEurope event at parliament where Jacob Rees-Mogg will be talking Brexit. As chair of the ERG his comments will be watched at No 10 for signs of backbench Brexity unrest.
Rees-Mogg declines to answer how many members the slightly shadowy European Research Group, home of many die-hard Brexit Tories, has. It has “supporters up and down the country”, he says coyly.
Rees-Mogg says UK is in a very strong negotiating position with EU due to a/ its payments to EU and b/ impact on Irish economy if there is no deal. UK should “ratchet up the pressure”, he says.
Read 10 tweets

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