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Almost the weekend, this is Friday's daily thread with all the news, views + analysis as #Russia attacks #Ukraine

It's Day 212 of the war

There's an update to the Ukraine fundraiser. We hope to get one of these alongside the winter clothing. If you can help, see my pinned tweet Image
As usual a link to yesterday's thread as a few of you tell me you like to check up on the news in one place.

Another fairly quiet day in terms of attacks and missiles, although just before Thursday ended, #Zaporizhzhia suffered a bad attack:

#Mobilization is still the big talking point in #Russia

This is a scene from #Makhachkala in the republic of #Dagestan. A big convoy of fresh convicts, sorry conscripts.

Woman can be heard wailing, knowing they may never see loved ones again.

#RussiansGoHome #StandWithUkraine
Read 39 tweets
I will be tweeting very much throughout evening because we watch history. I never have been so happy to watch #Russia in my life. I want my mother to have #SwanLake2. I am on balcony for different reason. It is not defiance now. It’s hope. But same supplies. 🥒💨🎵😂
When I say #RussianMobilization is nothing but more Russian failed ideas because they are collapsing. How they not see this coming? #Lithuania #Kaliningrad #RussiaIsATerroristState
Who this? @OscDomesticated
Read 8 tweets
Thread: 21 September 2022: Day 210 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
The former rector of the Moscow Aviation Institute, Anatoly Gerashchenko, had a "tragic accident" on Sept. 21, he "fell" - indeed, "flew" - down several flights of stairs and "received injuries incompatible with life".…
#Putin's delayed speech, delivered this morning, rambled through the war being necessary to stop #Ukraine having nukes, #NATO running Kiev's army and refusing peace, Novorossiya, neo-Nazis, and annexing the Donbas, to announce partial mobilisation.
Read 51 tweets

25 years old Finnish machine gunner Joni Björkbacka in #Ukraine fighting against #Russia`ns.

#Turpo #Säkpol #Finland Image
Joni have studied information & communication technologies & have his own company. He has been also elected as city councilor to #Rovaniemi (16th largest city in Finland) in 2021. His party was @persut. City is best known about #Santapark & #Santaclaus

#Turpo #Säkpol Image
@persut "Reasons for my departure were humanitarian. Killing of civilians & bystander casualties angered me, I wanted to go to support of weaker side fighting against an enemy that seemed superior in size. I wanted to put the training I received in Finnish army into practice." Image
Read 17 tweets
1/ The latest out of #Izyum has led to further investigations into Russian atrocities in #Ukraine. What is the American #Congress doing? A 🧵
2/ In my article for @TheWilsonCenter and @kennaninstitute, I examine how Congress is weighing options as Russia continues its unjust war in Ukraine:…
3/ Currently, #Estonia, #Latvia, #Lithuania, #Czechia, #Canada, #Ireland, and #Ukraine have accused #Russia of inciting genocide in Ukraine. This is consistent with the conclusions made by sone leading experts and scholars:…
Read 12 tweets
Thread: 14 September 2022: Day 203 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update notes the confirmation that #Russia is using #Iran's Shahed-136 drones, which have a range of 1,500 miles and were used in the attack on the MT MERCER STREET merchant tanker on 3 July 2021. Seems Moscow is using them for tactical strikes, not long-range.
Talk in #Georgia of opening a second front while #Russia is tied down in #Ukraine to liberate the occupied areas in Abkhazia and South Ossetia.

If you want to challenge for Russian-protected territories, now is the moment. (See also: #Azerbaijan.)
Read 59 tweets
Thread: 13 September 2022: Day 202 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia's 1st Guards Tank Army (1 GTA), "one of the most prestigious" units, operating under the Western Military District, "had not been fully reconstituted" before #Ukraine began the #Kharkiv counter-offensive; has now suffered further "heavy" losses. Image
#Russia "recently requested to purchase ammunition for its Uragan rocket artillery from #Tajikistan, along with shells for Pion howitzers and armored personnel carrier (APC) engines."…
Read 40 tweets

‘Caravan of Light’: Mass Movement From Turkey to Europe

More than 100,000 migrants are ready to leave Turkey for Europe.

For the past few days I spent infiltrating what appears to be an organised network of smuggler Telegram channels, and here is what I’ve learned:
Due to “unbearable racism” and lack of financial support, many migrants are attempting to cross from Turkey into Europe.

A handful of these Telegram channels which I subscribed to encourage and provide useful information.
One channel with more than 72k members provide directions and contacts of smugglers in Cyprus, Russia, Bulgaria, Greece, Germany, Austria, Italy and Lithuania who can help them get into those countries.

They also provide information about how to apply for asylum and destroy IDs.
Read 7 tweets
The Grand Duchy of #Lithuania, united with #Poland in 1386 under the rule of the Jagiellons. In July, 1514, a Muscovite army took Smoleńsk. In response, a great 🇵🇱-🇱🇹 force marched out from the region of Wilna to reconquer the city #PolishHistory #history #RussiaIsATerroristState
There were about 35,000 soldiers, consisting of 15,000 🇱🇹 general levy, 17,000 mercenary 🇵🇱 cavalry & infantry w/large artillery & 3,000 volunteer cavalry consisting of 🇵🇱 magnates. The Muscovite forces, twice as numerous, were constituted in traditional fashion. @CraigM_Regan
🇷🇺 Czeladnin decided to give battle near Orsha, in the place where Dnieper bends southward. In a first line, over a front of about three kilometers he deployed his detachment of the vanguard, which reached the river bank with its right wing; behind these stood. @LanguageIearner
Read 6 tweets
#Ukraine: Latest updates from #UkraineWar: 1. A lot happening in #Kherson and #Kharkiv regions. Videos/pics suggest UA forces are gaining ground & making substantial progress. Suggestion UA has acquired so much equipment that Russia is now UA’s biggest supplier! #tweet100
#Ukraine: 2. As we await confirmation from UA General Command, UK intel says heavy fighting has taken place in the last 24 hours nr #Kharkiv, #Donbas & #Kherson regions. Russia facing threats over 500 km which will test their operational ability, as earlier in the war. #tweet100
#Ukraine: 3. Claimed that UA forces have wiped out a Russian Special Rapid Response Unit at #Balakleya , #Kharkiv region
and many Russian prisoners taken elsewhere, including a lieutenant colonel. Reports some Russian units surrounded. #tweet100
Read 15 tweets
Wednesday 7 September.
Day 196 of #Russia's war on #Ukraine.
This is the start of the daily thread with news updated throughout the day.

If you want to catch up on yesterday's happenings, click here:


Who likes Wednesday to start with a record?

Looking at #Ukraine's estimates for #Russia's losses, I think the 460 illegal invaders they "liquidated" in the last 24 hours is an all-time high - I'm sure this war's stat-man @ragnarbjartur can confirm.

All first 4 totals above avg
#Ukraine officials have said the figures for RU losses do NOT include Private Military Contractors

Of course #Russia loves to pass death sentences for mercenaries but hires its own.
But 40% of RU PMCs in #Kharkiv region are dead/injured according to Kyiv…
Read 72 tweets
Welcome to Friday's daily thread on #Russia's unprovoked war.

It's Day 184 of #Ukraine's fight for survival against the full invasion. All the news, all day in one place.

Thanks to BB for buying me a coffee this morning, you can too - see my profile!
First, I know a few people like to see what they missed from the night before, lost in the mass of Tweets!

Here's the start of yesterday's thread, scroll down to see what you missed.

The good news is Friday has begun fairly quietly. This is in line with the general trend of fewer missiles being fired by #Russia, likely indicating some "rationing" of diminishing stocks.

They won't run out soon, but cannot replace as quickly as they were firing.
Read 38 tweets
Let’s translate @mfa_russia’s doublespeak.

“Thanks to the Soviet-German non-aggression pact, the independent countries of central and eastern Europe were divvied up between the two powers, & hundreds of thousands of lives were lost or destroyed.” /1
In its effort to portray the Nazi-Soviet Non-Aggression Pact as just another neutrality pact among many others in Europe at the time, Russia’s MFA deliberately manipulates history by “forgetting” to mention the treaty’s secret protocols. /2…
It’s not as though the MFA doesn’t know about the protocols: although the USSR later denied their existence protocols (until Gorbachev acknowledged them in 1989), the #Kremlin actually displayed them along with the rest of the treaty in 2019. /3…
Read 18 tweets
Thread: 22 August 2022: Day 180 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update focuses on the problems #Russia is having mobilising and motivating its "auxiliary forces", i.e. the #Ukrainians in the occupied territories like the Donbas. Moscow is trying terror and inducement (money), but the forces remain unreliable for offensives.
Thread on the "Wagner" unit, an instrument of #Russia's state, often wrongly referred to as a "mercenary" outfit.
Read 36 tweets
Thread: 20 August 2022: Day 178 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: "only minimal changes" along the front line in the Donbas over "the last week", after some minor #Russian advances in early August. #Ukraine moving on Kherson, increasingly frequent strikes behind the lines in the south are "stressing Russian logistics".
Credit to #France's President Macron for this: strongly preparing the French population for a rough winter, necessary to defend their security and values.
Read 38 tweets
TIA Exclusive: Chief Minister of India’s National Capital #ArvindKejriwal is found to have #gulf and #western connections that manages his party’s various social media pages.

YouTube Link:

#ArvindKejriwal #AAP #Facebook
Official Page of #AAP supremo @ArvindKejriwal is found to be handled from a #Gulf Country #Qatar and #USA, which may lead to a security breach as the leader is involved in intricate politics. Image
Several top leaders of #AamAadmiParty are seen to be following the same trend. #Punjab Cabinet Minister for Info & PR, Housing @AroraAmanSunam has #Facebook page admin from #Canada, where supporters of #Khalistanimovement are at peak. Image
Read 6 tweets
#Extradition is emerging as the next frontier of #Taiwan’s outreach to #Europe. My new piece analyzes the status and content of six agreements on legal cooperation between Taiwan and European countries.

Check it out at @CEIAS_eu #CEETaiwanCenter:…

🧵 1/7 Image
In criminal matters cooperation and extraditions, agreements that were signed with #Poland and #Slovakia can serve as models for engaging other #EU member states. 2/7
Among the 6 existing agreements, these two are the only broad-scope legal cooperation agreements, that include even extraditions, as the most visible and politically sensitive area of cooperation. 3/7
Read 7 tweets
🧵 1/51

This thread has very revealing data showing that mRNA-vaccinations create majority of the covid cases. Largest covid waves come always after the booster rounds. Not before. AFTER.

🧵 2/51

Isn't it weird coincidence that the EU suffered the most largest covid wave right after the boosting started?

Ofcourse this can be coincidence but with
what possibility the very same thing happened also in every EU memeber country? Keep reading...

#EU #COVID Image
🧵3/51 - Norway.

#Norway #COVID19 #CovidVaccine #Facts Image
Read 55 tweets
Thread: 28 July 2022: Day 155 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: "#Ukraine's counter-offensive in Kherson is gathering momentum", with a bridgehead established south of the Inhulets River. Ukraine has used HIMARS to damage the bridges in and out of Kherson, leading Russia's 49th Army to look "highly vulnerable".
Congress has been briefed that #Russia has suffered 75,000 casualties (killed and wounded) in #Ukraine
Read 36 tweets
A few observations on #Latvia's and #Lithuania's respective declarations of intervention in the #ICJ's #Ukraine v #Russia case, under article 63 of the ICJ Statute and on the basis of them being parties to the Genocide Convention. 1/15🪡
While art 63 of the Statute enshrines the right to intervene, art 82 of the ICJ's Rules stipulates the form and content of a declaration to intervene. Art 83 thus compelled the two states to address important issues of procedure and substance which arise in the case. 2/
While the declarations of the two neighbouring states were submitted just a day apart and are supportive of Ukraine's case, they are quite different in their form, place emphasis on different issues and at times make different arguments (though not really contradictory). 3/
Read 15 tweets
Only Poles believe that their war is also going on in Ukraine. The rest of Europe is not aware of what it is dealing with
- Kasparov…..
...of all countries in Europe, only a few - #Poland, #Lithuania, #Latvia, #Estonia and #Finland - know "what and with whom they are dealing with" because of their historical past, but only Poles believe that their war is also going on in #Ukraine - says Kasparov
It is worth simply remembering that for eight years, starting with the annexation of #Crimea and until February 24, when the #Russian Federation decided to completely destroy #Ukrainian statehood, #Europe did practically nothing. As, however, and #America.
Read 6 tweets
Thread: 11 July 2022: Day 138 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia continues shelling the Donbas, but the territorial advances are incremental and the strain of sustaining combat operations is exacerbating all the problems in the Army, especially personnel. #Ukraine is pressuring the Russian line in Kherson.
#India and #Iran are working on a shorter trade route, the International North-South Transportation Corridor (INSTC), to avoid the #Russia sanctions.…
Read 52 tweets
#Estonia #Latvia #Lithuania #Moldova & #Finland should demolish all 5 foot tracks & make new railwaylines in #EU standards.

Track gauge is military policy. As you can see in #Ukraine it's bad thing to have same track gauge as #Russia

#Turpo #Säkpol
#Estonia #Latvia & #Lithuania don't even need west to east railwaylines. They need railwayline from #Poland to #Finland & connecting lines to their ports.

#Turpo #Säkpol
If you have ever think about why #Spain don't have standard tracks in their railways the reason is that mid 1800's #Napoleon was still the thing. Hitler of that century.

Railwaylines are still the main way to move military stuff on land. Especially in #Russia.

#Turpo #Säkpol
Read 4 tweets
1/ #SunTzu is credited for the phrase “Appear weak when you are strong, and strong when you are weak”. This phrase makes sense in warfare. Lets try to analyze the Russian invasion of #Ukraine in this context. Hopefully, this will shed light on the inner workings of the conflict.
2/ At this point, it is no secret that #Russia performance in the #war is mediocre. It failed to conquer Ukraine, a much smaller and less populated country. Moreover, Russia even failed to encircle #Kyiv and #Kharkiv. There is no way to hide this, the Russian armed forces suck.
3/ At the same time, Russian saber rattling is on an all-time high. Russian propagandist threaten to attack #NATO countries. For example, #Lithuania and #Poland in the #Suwalki gap and the #US in #Alaska. “Appear strong when you are weak.” #Putin propagandists know their #SunTzu.
Read 18 tweets

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