, 7 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
One of the most damaging zombie beliefs in the whole politics of Brexit debate is the "Lab needs to win/hold Leave seats and therefore needs to win/hold Leave votes". The second does *not* follow from the first.
For example, if a seat voted 52% Leave, and it is a Con-Lab marginal, then it is very likely that a *large majority* of Lab votes in that seat will come from Remain supporters (and a large majority of Con votes from Leave supporters)
It should be, but never is, obvious that "appeal more to Leave voters" is not the only strategy for winning/holding such a seat, nor will it usually or necessarily be the best one.
1. If you lose even one Remainer for each two Leavers gained, you're stuffed
2. There will still be other Remainers available to appeal to, and they may be an easier "get" as their broader politics more aligned with Lab currently
3. What about the people who didn't vote in 2016?
4. What about the ppl who didn't vote in 2017?
And that's before we get into the business of "Remain" and "Leave" not being unitary identities etched in stone for all time in June 2016, but broad and heterogenous coalitions of voters with a range of views about where to go on Brexit (and on other issues) - views which change
For example, both Leave and Remain voters are much less concerned now about immigration and its control, so appeals to *either* group don't need to focus on this so much, but try telling that to the "how will this play in Mansfield?" crowd.
Then of course there is also the rather obvious yet often forgotten truth that the EU referendum isn't the only thing motivating voters. If it was, then May would have won a lot more leave voting Lab seats in June 2017.
Missing some Tweet in this thread?
You can try to force a refresh.

Like this thread? Get email updates or save it to PDF!

Subscribe to Rob Ford
Profile picture

Get real-time email alerts when new unrolls are available from this author!

This content may be removed anytime!

Twitter may remove this content at anytime, convert it as a PDF, save and print for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video

1) Follow Thread Reader App on Twitter so you can easily mention us!

2) Go to a Twitter thread (series of Tweets by the same owner) and mention us with a keyword "unroll" @threadreaderapp unroll

You can practice here first or read more on our help page!

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just three indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member and get exclusive features!

Premium member ($3.00/month or $30.00/year)

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!