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Rob Ford
@robfordmancs
, 3 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Not sure why @Channel4News have become so fond of this "big angry crowd live from a big room" approach to covering Brexit, as it conveys nothing beyond that people are divided and v worked up, which we already know.
@Channel4News In some respects its worse than useless, because producers will seek a "balanced" audience for fear of being portrayed as biased one way or the other. So I suspect Brexit supporters are a higher share of this Brexit inbetweener shouty focus group than they are among young ppl
@Channel4News .@Femi_Sorry is good though
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Rob Ford
@robfordmancs
One of the most damaging zombie beliefs in the whole politics of Brexit debate is the "Lab needs to win/hold Leave seats and therefore needs to win/hold Leave votes". The second does *not* follow from the first.
For example, if a seat voted 52% Leave, and it is a Con-Lab marginal, then it is very likely that a *large majority* of Lab votes in that seat will come from Remain supporters (and a large majority of Con votes from Leave supporters)
It should be, but never is, obvious that "appeal more to Leave voters" is not the only strategy for winning/holding such a seat, nor will it usually or necessarily be the best one.
1. If you lose even one Remainer for each two Leavers gained, you're stuffed
Read 7 tweets
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Rob Ford
@robfordmancs
I haven’t seen this research (is it representative samples? Is it published?) can only speak re the polling I helped commission in Nov 18 which showed virtually no one thought this then.
I was surprised by this tbh. Possible views changed over summer but I’d like to see reliable data from earlier before drawing that conclusion
So I wouldn’t rule out people misperceiving no deal as Remain in the past (but haven’t seen representative polling one way or the other) but they clearly no longer do so (though they do have rather relaxed view of potential costs)
Read 3 tweets
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Rob Ford
@robfordmancs
Insightful stuff from Stephen as usual. People’s Vote campaign still haven’t figured out good message to win the referendum they campaign for. One problem imo is the one @hugorifkind identified today - Remainers have gone Conan and are more interested in venting than persuading
Imagine a horde of #fbpe types descending on the nations doorsteps to explain to joe public that he is a racist moron duped by Russians into blaming all his problems on the immigrants who keep this country running, who has now been given a golden opportunity to reverse his error.
Sound persuasive? No? Well that’s the jist of the message I hear from the most committed and active pro-Remain types nearly all the time. It doesn’t seem to trouble them that “my opponents are stupid” isn’t great for a campaign which requires winning over at least some of them.
Read 3 tweets

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Pete North
@PeteNorth303
1. For me it's really not worth getting worked up about the customs union in May's deal. My main objection to it is that it's overkill for the very little it actually solves. That, though, is no reason to reject the deal. #Brexit thread
2. Supposing we are part of a customs union, yes the EU can negotiate preferential access to UK markets in terms of tariffs. Technically the other country doesn't have to reciprocate, but in most cases they will - because there is more to trade than tariffs.
3. In international relations, reciprocality is the norm, and where we don't find it, they can, to coin a phrase, go to the "back of the queue". Being free of the single market means we can grant certain regulatory preferences if we so wish.
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Ryan Heath
@PoliticoRyan
#Brexit #thread
1/ If you don’t follow Brexit every day, here’s some advice. Let go of any illusions that this drama is about trade protocols, residency rights or the status of the Irish border. Brexit is the story of a proud former imperial power undergoing a mid-life crisis
2/ The rest of the world is left listening to Britain’s therapy session as they drone on about their ex-spouse, unable to see, admit or address their own flaws.
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Read 22 tweets
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Mark Scott
@markscott82
Morning campers, I’ll be live tweeting from the UK parliamentary hearing into @Facebook, misinformation and fake news today. Here’s what you need to know:
Lawmakers from nine countries are here in London to gripe about why Zuckerberg didn’t show up to speak to them. Expect a lot of that, plus Richard Allan, FB’s VP of “policy solutions,” to do a lot of apologizing
Nominally, this hearing is tied to @DamianCollins’ ongoing “fake news” investigation, which has led UK officials traveling to the US for hearings (on taxpayers £). But to be clear, they have no power to actually legislate
Read 43 tweets
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Tom Moriarty #FBPE
@Tommoriarty16
#brexit is a belief, a religion. There's no evidence to support it. It is just a blinkered faith. They believe what they want to believe. Their leaders are preachers, not politicians, & their reaction to doubting them is that of nothing less than a religious fundamentalist #FBPE
2. As such many will quite literally do this for some kind of reward in the next life or for a "cause" for their fellow followers. And when you read the words of some of their protagonists that is exactly what one sees.
3. And we must ask how it is possible so many have been converted to this religious extremism. In general it will the same as elsewhere, hardship, poverty, hate, a conditioned mind that is made to believe a specific group is the cause of their troubles.
Read 6 tweets
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Lesley Miller
@LesleyMillercyp
#Brexit 1
Cadbury moved factory 2 Poland 2011 with EU grant.
Ford Transit moved 2Turkey 2013 with EU grant.
Jaguar Land Rover recently agreed 2 build a new plant in Slovakia with EU grant, owned by Tata, same company who trashed our steel industry & emptied workers pension funds.
#Brexit 2
Peugeot closed its Ryton (was Rootes Group) plant and moved production to Slovakia with EU grant.
British Army's new Ajax fighting vehicles to be built in SPAIN using SWEDISH steel at the request of the EU to support jobs in Spain with EU grant, rather than Wales.
#Brexit 3
Dyson gone 2 Malaysia, with EU loan. Crown Closures, Bournemouth (Was METAL BOX), gone 2Poland with EU grant,employed 1,200.
M&S manufacturing gone 2far east with EU loan.
Hornby models gone. In fact all toys & models gone from UK along with patents all with EU grants
Read 28 tweets
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Steve Parks
@steveparks
Once again the @frontlineclub is packed with journalists, @Byline_Media folk, and TV cameras for the latest revelations in the Cambridge Analytica / Trump / Brexit saga from two whistleblowers.

Follow this thread for live-tweeting coverage, and forgive my typos...
... first thing to note is that security has been increased a level or two since last week’s gathering. Two checkpoints against the guest list, and a minder scanning the room.

We’re about to kick off...
... the focus of attention tonight is Shahmir Sanni, joined again by @chrisinsilico who was the focus last week. @carolecadwalla will be joining later when she’s filed at the @guardian
Chris is carrying a large ring binder of documents...
Read 49 tweets

Trending hashtags

#Brexit #NHS #PeoplesVote #StopBullying #Leave #EUCO #Leaver #MeToo #FBPE #ERASMUS #POTUSSchedule #Russia #Brexitcrisis #StopBrexitSaveBritain #POTUS #PeoplesVoteMarch #News #SOTU #TrumpClone #Conservatives #brexit #EU #Trump #Remain #bbcqt

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