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Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
MPs freely admit that Theresa May's deal satisfies nobody. It leaves us poorer and diminished in the world, and subject to EU rules for years with no say over them. There is very little support for it in Parliament, or in the country.
So if we're going to make people extremely unhappy anyway, why not go for a deal that will deliver immediate economic growth, boost the pound, give reassurance to businesses, and let the Goverment focus on all the critical issues it has been neglecting for years, such as the NHS,
mental health, homelessness, schooling and all the myriad of other things it has kicked under the carpet time and time again?

Why not remain?
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More from @uk_domain_names see all

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Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
Completely idle speculation, but I wonder what would happen if say 325 Tories, Labour, LibDems and SNP got together and formed a grouping meant to create a Government of National Unity, but without including either TM or JC? Since no party has a majority in the HOC that would
seem at first glance to be as legitimate as both TM's government and JC's opposition. In other words, although it's never been done before of course, is there anything explicit to prevent third party attempts during the 14 days after a lost vote of no confidence?
Because at the moment there are plenty of people on both sides of the house who have more in common with each other on Brexit (the ONLY issue that matters right this second) than they do with either of their own front benches.
Read 4 tweets
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Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
Ok, so Theresa May's almost certainly going to win the vote of no confidence, but even if she didn't it's not an automatic recipe for a GE.

There's a 14 day period in which the Government can try and reclaim the confidence of the House. That would seem virtually impossible, but
Brexit creates so many "firsts" it just might happen.

What if TM went over Jeremy Corbyn's head to Labour back benchers with this package:
- no deal immediately off the table
- A50 extension
- permanent custom's union
- guaranteed people's vote
- place at negotiating table
It would have to be in some legally binding form, if such were possible. I wonder if that carrot would be enough to persuade them that backing her in a new confidence vote (no limit to the number that can be held in the 14 days) is more likely to give them a Brexit they can live
Read 4 tweets
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Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
Time for a brief chat about an 8% hit to GDP, which is what is forecast under a no deal scenario.

You might think "Hmm, that means I will lose 8% of my income". Sounds bad, for sure, but potentially "survivable" (to use Liam Fox's expression from yesterday).
But it doesn't work like that. The pain's not evenly distributed. What happens in practice is some firms weather the storm just fine, maybe because they're in industries that aren't affected to the changing situation, aren't connected to the EU even at one- or two- removes, etc.
Other firms take a massive hit. The downturn of 2008/2009 represented about a 4% drop in GDP, and saw millions of people out of work and thousands and thousands of businesses go bankrupt. So imagine what twice that damage would look like.
Read 10 tweets

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Phil Greaves
@PhilGreaves01
So, the 'deal' is exactly what we expected: remain by 'stealth'. Britain will remain subject to EU austerity, ECJ, privitisation of public assets via 'competitive' regulations, the NHS, mass unemployment, etc. Which is precisely what May & Co voted for.
Its exactly what Corbyn himself voted for, remain. And the "whole country" doesn't have the same interests, the workers interests are diametrically opposed to the exploiters, both EU & the British variety. But Corbyn will never admit that.

All going as expected, May's Govt on its last legs, press in fits of 'chaotic' fury, cue the arrival of Corbyn the Messiah to save the day, ie: the status quo, 2nd ref, full remain.

Read 63 tweets
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Sibel Edmonds
@sibeledmonds
#Khashoggi Case Thread: I am going to ‘pin’ this post to use it as an ‘Info Thread’ on the #Khashoggi Case. I am in #Turkey. I’ve been following the case closely and with access to sources & experts here. This is a very ‘sensitive’ criminal case due to ‘Diplomatic Booby Traps’!!!
The Evidence Obtained Outside Cameras will not show any evidence of ‘tempering’ but other than license plates of dozens of diplomatic cars (Many with tinted windows-large trunks) with related time stamp, drivers Info, model/year: Nothing.
#Turkish Intel-Investigative Bodies also have the list of all Diplomatic & Private Saudi & “other significant’ Planes in #Turkey for the period of ‘interest.’ Many of the Target airports have their own security cameras & related evidence.
Read 335 tweets
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pippocamminadritto
@guado77
Tria non potrebbe mai lavorare con @POTUS 😂😂😂
#TriaExit #Mef cosa?
Sta diventando stucchevole..tanto 1,6/2/2,5 la sostanza non cambia...se arriva la contrazione economica seria come preambolo di recessione...vi travolge ...senza se e senza ma...
PUPAZZI 👺💩👏

#ITALY'S LEAGUE ECONOMICS ADVISOR SAYS ANY TALK OF THE COUNTRY'S EURO EXIT IS OUT OF DISCUSSION
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Penny Midas Rollo
@PennyMidasRollo
001/ [article content in this tweet series 001-180 reproduced with permission from Martin Howe QC of Lawyers for Britain @lawyers4britain]
#quote "Leaving the EU on WTO terms: pulling down the barriers to world trade
Introduction: why prices will FALL after Brexit, not rise" /002
002/ #quote "Over the past couple of weeks, the media have been full of lurid scare stories about what will happen if the UK leaves the EU on WTO terms, because negotiations with the EU do not result in a withdrawal agreement." /003
#tariffs #NoDeal #Brexit #WTO #ProjectFear #shortages #food #medicines
003/ #quote "One of the most ridiculous and UNJUSTIFIED of these absurd scare stories is that it will lead to higher prices, and even shortages, of foods and medicines." /004
Read 180 tweets
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Stuart Budd #PeoplesVote 🇬🇧🇪🇺❄️
@StuartBudd1
Unite Members:

57% backed #PeoplesVote
24% leave voters backed #PeoplesVote

West Midlands car workers:
“Only now have voters started to see through the initial referendum campaigns and truly understand the implications & costs of leaving the EU."

theguardian.com/politics/2018/…
Unite union:

"open to the possibility of a vote on any deal the Tories come back with"

"members fears that the Tories' in-fighting and destructive red lines will bring ruin to their jobs and communities"

Unite Statement:
unitebrexitcheck.org/unite-policy-c…

#PeoplesVote
Great speech by Julie Ward MEP on why she marched with #WomenForEurope for a #PeoplesVote

Women and the young will be the most affected by #Brexit



#PeoplesVote
#StopBrexit
#FBPE
Read 50 tweets
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Lovecraftian Danskin
@InnuendoStudios
It's been a hot minute, but it's time.

I've made some room to properly get into The Reactionary Mind by Corey Robin.

#IanLivetweetsHisResearch
The first chapter begins with a T.S. Eliot quote arguing that, in the end, you can't judge a party by what it says its aims are; a party will reveal what it's trying to accomplish by its actions.

Sometimes the party itself isn't sure what it's doing.
Robin then begins with his view of history as being full of unequal power relations and the tensions that arise between them.

Man-woman, worker-employer, government-governed.
Read 357 tweets

Trending hashtags

#PAMFAM #RulesofEngagement #Erdoğan #China #MFN #SingleMarket #economy #SIGINT #Assad #Brexit #CustomsUnion #Yemen #WATON #external #FFS #BinLaden #drinks #Bezos #AEI #NYT #FBPE #consumers #production #TeamPatriot #imports

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