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Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
We have become a nation divided by Brexit, in a way that regular politics never did. According to a new survey, only 6% of people don't identify with either Remain or Leave. Another take-away: only 4% interpret "no deal" as the status quo.
ukandeu.ac.uk/new-report-rev…
Another fascinating insight: only 20% of people place immigration as a core concern, down from 45% before the referendum. So Tories banging on about controlling the movement of people really are playing to the right of the party, and beyond.
But perhaps the most important thing, in the context of a second vote, is "New information about Brexit is interpreted in ways that reinforce pre-existing views." In other words, the battle to win hearts and minds will be even harder than many may anticipate.
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More from @uk_domain_names see all

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Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
I'm not even bothering to argue with idiot Leavers who say things like "your list of Brexit consequences is biased" or "project fear" or "but it can't be Brexit because we haven't left yet". Block. Block. Block. No time to waste on those who demonstrably don't want to listen.
And here's that list again, if you're a normal, open-minded person with your own reasons for voting Leave.
Honestly, I don't care if you change your mind or not. I really don't. But I do care that you should be as informed as possible about the realities of Brexit. If you still want to Leave, what can I do? *Nothing*. But at least you won't be surprised at the consequences when we do!
Read 3 tweets
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Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
Bottom line on why WTO terms are a non-starter...
In 2017, UK exported £613.4bn in goods and services to WTO members. Of that, just £101.2bn went to countries that don't have any form of preferential or non-MFN trade in any goods or services with the EU-28
theyworkforyou.com/wrans/?id=2019…
Got that? 99.3% of our total exports of goods and services went to WTO members. But only 16.4% went to WTO members that didn't have better trade arrangements layered on top of WTO.

So yes, all our trade is with WTO members. But very little of it is on WTO terms.
Once that's really sunk in, properly, you'd better read this to learn the rest of the truth about WTO.
Read 3 tweets
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Edwin Hayward
@uk_domain_names
24H(ish) in Brexit
- Theresa May's plan B turned out to be plan A, but LOUDER
- £65 fee for EU citizen registrations waived
- EU confirmed *there will have to be a hard Irish border* under no deal situation
- Dyson moving legal HQ to Singapore
- Sony Europe moving legal HQ to NL
- Steve Barclay MP boasted that "Ending free movement from the EU is one of the big wins we've scored in our #Brexit deal"
- Head of civil service said Government will *never* be fully ready for Brexit
- P&O changing the flags of UK-registered vessels to Cyprus
- Pharmaceutical firm Novo Nordisk increasing insulin stock from 7 to 18 weeks
- Jacob Rees-Mogg said Nigel Farage should be welcomed back into the Conservatives
- Chief executive of Bentley said they're stockpiling parts
- Pets at Home said it was stockpiling, including cat food
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

Profile picture
Matthew Goodwin
@GoodwinMJ
New - it's still a coin toss

"Imagine there was referendum tomorrow. Should the UK remain a member of EU or leave?"

Remain 51%
Leave 49%

Leavers 92% "Leave"
Remainers 90% "Remain"
Conservatives 68% "Leave"
Labour 68% "Remain"

Survation Jan 11
"When negotiations are complete, would you support or oppose holding a People's Vote -a referendum- asking public their view?"

Support 46%
Oppose 34%
Don't know 20%

Leavers 58% "oppose"
Remainers 71% "support"
Cons 54% "oppose"
Lab 59% "support"

Survation Jan 11 #Brexit
"MPs are to vote on government Brexit withdrawal agreement next week. How would you like MPs to vote?"

For deal 36%
Against 40%
Don't know 23%

Leavers (46% For, 39% against, 15% dk)
Remainers (34% for, 48% against, 19% dk)

Survation Jan 11
Read 6 tweets
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Pete North
@PeteNorth303
1. There was only ever one coherent reason to remain in the EU and that was to stop it becoming the monster it very obviously wants to become. For a time that was a valid basis for being in the EU, but in many respects it didn't work because it went ahead with fiscal union anyway
2. What the UK proved is that we could, to a point, control the pace, but not the destination, and when the EU goes ahead with something, even without us, being in its gravitational orbit we tend to get sucked along with it. To a point that much won't change even after Brexit.
3. We really dodged the bullet by not joining the Euro which would have been a catastrophe for the UK but now the Euro is established, the functioning of the EU and the running of it is increasingly none of our business. We're not in the fast lane of the EU and we dont need to be
Read 23 tweets
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Anthony Painter
@anthonypainter
New @theRSAorg publication out today. Ideas for a 21st Century Enlightenment. It is accompanied by a survey that shows deep pessimism about the future and a strong desire to reach beyond #Brexit thersa.org/discover/publi…
75% see #brexit as distracting from other pressing issues - both remain and leave supporters agree. People do trust experts. But they want a greater voice and say themselves. Only 21% think Britain will be better in 2030 than today. And yet, we don't despair.
We propose a new way forward on education - @JulianAstle and @LauraJPartridge explore what education for enlightenment looks like - mission-led by teachers, parents, and communities. thersa.org/discover/educa… #edutwitter #education
Read 8 tweets
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Lord Snoutintrough #FBPE
@Rowland72James
#brexit seems to be all about feeling over fact and this is especially true of the ReesMogg ERG faction of the Tory right.
I never bought the line that #brexit is about Democracy because most of the Tory right had zero enthusiasm for improving democracy in the UK few of them care about unelected house of lords the unfair FPTP electoral system or transparency on the contrary
Most of the Tory right are interested only in constitutional changes that suit them and if anything strive to be as little democratically accountable as possible.
Read 23 tweets
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Pete North
@PeteNorth303
#Brexit Thread: a list of 20 random reasons why I voted to leave the EU

1. The impossibility of meaningful treaty reform. We cannot edit the supranationalist DNA of the EU
2. The exclusion of the public from decisions relating to further integration. See Treaty of Lisbon.
3. The way in which the EU will seek homogenisation and integration for its own sake and for that of EU ideology over practical necessity.
Read 22 tweets
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Pete North
@PeteNorth303
#Brexit as a concept is increasingly drifting from having anything whatsoever to do with the mechanics of leaving the EU. It is now primarily a culture war and both sides will totally ignore the details except for when they are temporarily convenient.
The consequence of this is that our future relationship with the EU will be just as readily ignored as our activities as a member. They said Brexit would make us isolated, self absorbed and insular but it seems that was always the case and there are no signs of that changing.
As ever the details will be delegated to officials and civil servants while our establishment politics drifts further into its cycle of decline, unable to usefully influence external events making us entirely passive and reactive to events rather than self-interestedly engaged.
Read 17 tweets

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