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Steven Swinford
@Steven_Swinford
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
EXCLUSIVE

Remain ministers said PM must commit to securing Brexit deal within 2 weeks if she is to avoid resignations over no deal during conference call TONIGHT

A dozen ministers on call including Amber Rudd, Greg Clark, David Gauke & Caroline Nokes

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/…
Remain ministers indicated during conference all they will abstain or vote against Cooper amendment IF Theresa May commits to holding 2nd meaningful vote in fortnight

Thinking is it gives PM time to strike deal while still allowing time to extend Article 50
One Remain minister on call said: 'We are not accepting jam tomorrow, we need firm commitment to date for the 2nd meaningful vote. It would mean that Tuesday isn't D-Day'

It represents a temporary reprieve for the PM. But will it be enough to avoid defeat over Cooper amendment?
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More from @Steven_Swinford see all

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Steven Swinford
@Steven_Swinford
New:

Helen MacNamara, head of ethics at Cab Office, has written to EVERY spad asking them to submit their CV

It's being presented as an HR exercise to address issues around conditions & pay

But Spads fear something else is going on.

Is Govt gearing up for another election?
There is also a genuine issue around gender pay among spads which this could be going some way to address

@oliver_wright did a very good piece just before Xmas revealing that of 99 spads employed, only 25 are women and they get paid 5.7% less

thetimes.co.uk/article/downin…
Several current and former spads have been in touch to say that their pay and conditions are a complete mess

It's down to patronage luck as much as anything else - how much did your predecessor earn, is it a new role etc?

Sounds like Cab Office is trying to redress imbalances
Read 3 tweets
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Steven Swinford
@Steven_Swinford
New:

PM writes to Jeremy Corbyn paving way for more talks on his Brexit plans

In move that heightened Eurosceptic concerns, she has NOT explicitly ruled out his plan to keep UK in Customs Union

No 10 says it is 'nonsense' to suggest PM is open to CU

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/…
Here's Jacob Rees-Mogg on Theresa May's failure to explicitly rule out Customs Union in her letter to Jeremy Corbyn:

'As the 2017 Conservative manifesto promised to leave the Customs Union it would be more consistent for the Prime Minister simply to rule one out.'
In the letter, PM insists her deal 'provides for benefits of customs union' while enabling independent trade policy

She says CU membership would require us to be in Single Market & accept free movement - a breach of Labour's manifesto

Here’s the excerpt:
Read 4 tweets
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Steven Swinford
@Steven_Swinford
Exclusive:

Nicky Morgan, IDS & Owen Paterson warn PM that backstop is a 'monumental' issue that cannot be resolved with 'few cursory tweaks'

They say the PM appears to have "forgotten" fact her deal was defeated by 230 votes

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2019/…
Here's the killer line in the Morgan, Paterson and IDS op-ed:

'It is almost as if PM has forgotten the scale of the original Withdrawal Agreement’s defeat (by 230 votes) or how unacceptable the Backstop proposals remain to significant numbers of MPs on both sides of the House.'
It means the fragile truce between PM and Tory MPs is already on the brink of breaking.

'The backstop in anything like its present form is simply never going to pass the Commons,' Morgan, IDS & Paterson say.
Read 4 tweets

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Gavan Reilly
@gavreilly
#Brexit thread:

So. Tomorrow the House of Commons will vote on a series of possible amendments to Theresa May's 'Plan B' - or rather the 'plan of action to achieve a Plan B' - which itself officially reads as follows:
The amendment most likely to pass – and therefore the one on which most attention has been paid – is this one from Conservative party chairman Sir Graham Brady. It's effectively an instruction to go back and seek *some unstated other way* to avoid a hard border in Ireland:
Tonight, Theresa May has asked her backbenchers to vote in favour of this amendment. She is basically asking them to tie her hands, so that Brussels will clearly know what it would take to win the Commons' backing for any deal.
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Lord Snoutintrough #FBPE
@Rowland72James
#BREXIT craziness update so maybots deal is blown out of the water l. Similarly corbyns vote of no confidence fails and won't be backed by SNP and lib dems
Despite her #BREXIT deal being defeated by biggest margin a government has lost a vote ever maybot seeks concessions on backstop despite being told to bog off by the EU with no realistic hope of a different answer
Corbyn meanwhile refuses to talk #BREXIT without no deal being ruled out despite knowing she can't do this whilst maybot makes no concessions either.
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HawaiiDelilah™
@HawaiiDelilah
Brexit deal dead.
After this crushing defeat of May's Brexit deal, a loss by 230 votes, she will face a confidence vote brought by Corbyn & Labour. She's pretty sure she will survive that vote but there is no clear path forward. 2nd referendum? Election? #Brexit
"Theresa May has sustained the heaviest parliamentary defeat of any British prime minister in the democratic era after MPs rejected her Brexit deal by a resounding majority of 230." theguardian.com/politics/2019/…
Read 3 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
The EU is in watch and wait mode but this is some of the thinking going on behind the scenes ahead of tonight’s vote in parliament #Brexit 1
EU leaders have no Plan B up their sleeve(s). They will only BEGIN to start talking together about a What Next after tonight’s vote 2
The EU sees no point in the PM flying out here this week if the #Brexit deal suffers a huge defeat today in parliament. EU leaders have nothing ready to say to her 3
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
No10 says EU must decide if it will release a letter of assurances before the vote on Tuesday but EU sources tell me they are waiting for the go-ahead advice from Downing Street 1
The letter could have been released Saturday night ahead of No10 Sunday media blitz but wasn’t .. It could be released tonight or tomorrow ahead of vote .. OR EU/No10 may decide better not since 2
The EU letter will I’m told contain assurances/explanations of current deal and nothing new. The letter would come from Juncker/Tusk in Brussels and they can’t change the #Brexit deal without negotiation with and go ahead from 27 EU leaders 3
Read 20 tweets
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Ryan Heath
@PoliticoRyan
#Brexit #thread
1/ If you don’t follow Brexit every day, here’s some advice. Let go of any illusions that this drama is about trade protocols, residency rights or the status of the Irish border. Brexit is the story of a proud former imperial power undergoing a mid-life crisis
2/ The rest of the world is left listening to Britain’s therapy session as they drone on about their ex-spouse, unable to see, admit or address their own flaws.
3/ The promise of Brexit was that it would make Britain feel big again. “Britain is special,” the Brexiteers assured British voters, who cast their ballots accordingly. But Brexit has proven that for the first time in modern history, Britain is small.
Read 22 tweets

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