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Here are 5 things to watch for at the Trump-Kim summit, which begins tomorrow.
(Based on US briefings, recent speeches, press reports + public hints.)
Here are 5 things to watch for at the Trump-Kim summit, which begins tomorrow.
(Based on US briefings, recent speeches, press reports + public hints.)
1/ A definition of denuclearisation.
A stated goal for Vietnam talks. No agreement yet. US definition is eliminating weapons +means of production +means of delivery.
But ending production hurts civil nuclear + delivery means ditching ballistic missiles. Neither Pyongyang likes.
A stated goal for Vietnam talks. No agreement yet. US definition is eliminating weapons +means of production +means of delivery.
But ending production hurts civil nuclear + delivery means ditching ballistic missiles. Neither Pyongyang likes.
2/ Agreeing a ‘roadmap’
Currently there’s no timeframe for when N Korea must denuclearise and no regularity to talks.
Agreeing a schedule for future negotiations is seen by US as a way to bind Pyongyang into engagement.
(But announcing deadlines for hard action less likely)
Currently there’s no timeframe for when N Korea must denuclearise and no regularity to talks.
Agreeing a schedule for future negotiations is seen by US as a way to bind Pyongyang into engagement.
(But announcing deadlines for hard action less likely)
3/ Ending the Korean War
Seems easy win given fighting stopped 65 yrs ago. Plus shows progress in 1 of 4 agreements from Singapore summit (“build a lasting + stable peace”.)
But full peace treaty could undermine US troops in S Korea. Something less substantive may be announced.
Seems easy win given fighting stopped 65 yrs ago. Plus shows progress in 1 of 4 agreements from Singapore summit (“build a lasting + stable peace”.)
But full peace treaty could undermine US troops in S Korea. Something less substantive may be announced.
4/ US diplomats in Pyongyang
Another of the 4 Singapore summit agreements was to “establish new relations” between both countries.
Could US announce a permanent liaison office in N Korea? Official didn’t push back on suggestion in briefing. Would be proof things are thawing.
Another of the 4 Singapore summit agreements was to “establish new relations” between both countries.
Could US announce a permanent liaison office in N Korea? Official didn’t push back on suggestion in briefing. Would be proof things are thawing.
5/ Economic help for N Korea
US admin repeatedly says they won’t lift sanctions until denuclearisation. But, crucially, they don’t rule out other help before then.
The Trump gamble is Pyongyang’s ready to trade nukes for growth. Expect details on how US nay support the latter.
US admin repeatedly says they won’t lift sanctions until denuclearisation. But, crucially, they don’t rule out other help before then.
The Trump gamble is Pyongyang’s ready to trade nukes for growth. Expect details on how US nay support the latter.
