, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Likely to be another confidence vote if gvt loses Meaningful Vote 3 this week

- would any factions in the Tory party or other abstainers vote differently to last time. Not yet clear they would
What *might* tip the dynamic is if a hardcore of brexiteers thought voting in Corbyn lobby was the only way of stopping a 2 year delay to brexit date

But we’re not at the point where this is the “only” way yet, and it’s not clear if and when this will happen
It’s probably the case that a large chunk of brexiteers would rather have a lengthy delay (and everything that goes with that - May’s daily degradation in such a scenario) than take this deal. Based on public Tory comments, a long delay v unstable

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