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Robert Peston
@Peston
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
The point is that @DLidington was some cabinet ministers’ answer to the question “what do we do if MPs in indicative votes go for a soft Brexit that Theresa May will refuse to negotiate with the EU?” They hoped he - as someone trusted by Labour - would take over for a few...
weeks to broker that compromise with Brussels. Maybe it will still come to that, in preference to the chaos of a snap general election. But truthfully with so many ministers and Tory MPs preferring an election to a soft Brexit, the cabinet probably won’t have the luxury...
of appointing a temporary caretaker PM.
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Robert Peston
@Peston
Commons chatter is that in promising Tory Brexiters that if they vote for her deal their dreams come true and they get @BorisJohnson or @DominicRaab as next PM, @theresa_may has given new incentive to Labour's soft Brexiters and Tory Remainers not to vote for her deal, because...
if Johnson or Raab is in charge of negotiations on future relationship with EU, which are more important some would say than the divorce talks, that relationship will be uber Brexity. So in wooing one important constituency to get her deal over the line, she has alienated...
another important constituency. I am still very unclear how she gets her deal over the line
Read 3 tweets
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Robert Peston
@Peston
So Downing Street source confirms that the leadership election will begin on 22 May, if MPs support the prime minister's deal in third meaningful vote and Brexit happens on that timetable. It is a commitment that there will be "new leadership for phase two" of negotiations...
with the EU, as per what @BorisJohnson demanded to secure his support for her Brexit. I said on Sunday night she would do this, based on conversations with sources, but truthfully I didn't really believe it.
In terms of mechanics, she stays as leader and PM till new leader is in place. So @theresa_may will presumably still be PM till circa July. Also, no guidance available at all about when she would stand down if her deal is not ratified by MPs - which still looks very likely...
Read 6 tweets
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Robert Peston
@Peston
I am told cabinet secretary Mark Sedwill and attorney general Geoffrey Cox informed Cabinet that if at the end of the Letwin process MPs pass a motion mandating the PM to pursue a new route through the Brexit mess - perhaps a referendum, or membership...
of the customs union, or some other softer future relationship with the EU - the PM and government would be in breach of the ministerial code and the law if they failed to follow MP's instructions. I'll put out a blog on this in a bit. But this matters because it dispels...
impression created by PM, and certainly believed by many Brexiter MPs, that she would be at liberty to ignore the results of the Letwin scheme. Which means that if she brings back her deal for a meaningful vote on Friday, which is her current plan, that may be the last time...
Read 5 tweets

Related threads

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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
EU watching Westminster closely this week but not rushing to any
conclusions. Here is some of the key thinking in European capitals on
the main #Brexit issues of the day: /1
On Labour/second referendum: Corbyn seen in Europe as convinced
eurosceptic so EU is sceptical of his backing a second referendum. EU
has watched #Brexit turmoil long enough to see huge complications in
holding the vote and realise many leave voters have changed their
mind. /2
Of course EU would still rather UK stayed but Europe's leaders don't
see this as realistically on the cards right now. Most realistic,
considering turmoil in Westminster, says EU council President Tusk:
would be to extend article 50 leaving process. /3
Read 11 tweets
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Alexandrine Kántor
@Alexa_Kantor
Theresa May's machiavelic plans have to stop.

If she really believes her negotiations are that Strong and Stable, she should stop this embarrassing political circus and openly go for her No-Deal #Brexit plan, instead of sneakily engineering it.

We know that's your plan. 1/10
When she decided to put forward her support to #BradyAmendment, she knew it would be rejected by the EU negotiators.
It was even said yesterday before she decided to support it.
But it is a sneaky way to put forward a No-Deal #Brexit and later putting the blame on the EU. 2/10
The #Backstop was negotiated BY the UK to comply with UK's red lines:
✔ No hard border (#GoodFridayAgreement)
❌ No customs unions
❌ No single market
❌ No freedom of movement
The EU wanted a soft #Brexit. So no Backstop. 3/10
Read 12 tweets
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Devutopia #SocSocM
@D_Raval
Beware! Much smoke and mirrors from No.10 and the media on May's latest #Brexit "breakthrough". To use her own phrase "nothing has changed". The real deal, the Withdrawal agreement is STILL botched. This Thread on why May's deal is still flawed...
(Thread 1/6)
The Withdrawal Agreement, the deal that made Cabinet ministers resign and that no one supports is the 'real' deal. That is, it is what is legally enforceable, it's what both parties, the UK and the EU have said WILL happen...
(2/6)
The Political Agreement, the deal that is in the news now is an aspirational document. It is both parties HOPE may happen, eg they hope there will some magical new solution to the NI border issue, they hope workers rights will be protected. It's NOT legally enforceable..
(3/6)
Read 7 tweets
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
EU diplomats shrug at what they view as U.K. hysteria over Canada+ or Chequers #Brexit debate. The EU says the choice was never the UK’s alone 1
EU viewsChequers as a U.K. government position. Not an end in itself. Brussels aim: to navigate between Chequers and EU red lines.. 2
Accusation I often hear in Brussels is that U.K. Brexit negotiators are fine wordsmiths but that there’s often little meaning behind the words 3
Read 19 tweets
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Lesley Miller
@LesleyMillercyp
#Brexit 1
Cadbury moved factory 2 Poland 2011 with EU grant.
Ford Transit moved 2Turkey 2013 with EU grant.
Jaguar Land Rover recently agreed 2 build a new plant in Slovakia with EU grant, owned by Tata, same company who trashed our steel industry & emptied workers pension funds.
#Brexit 2
Peugeot closed its Ryton (was Rootes Group) plant and moved production to Slovakia with EU grant.
British Army's new Ajax fighting vehicles to be built in SPAIN using SWEDISH steel at the request of the EU to support jobs in Spain with EU grant, rather than Wales.
#Brexit 3
Dyson gone 2 Malaysia, with EU loan. Crown Closures, Bournemouth (Was METAL BOX), gone 2Poland with EU grant,employed 1,200.
M&S manufacturing gone 2far east with EU loan.
Hornby models gone. In fact all toys & models gone from UK along with patents all with EU grants
Read 28 tweets
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tony nog #FBPE
@tony_nog
#Brexit
1) Thread - All Brexits are bad and what we voted for
It's often said by brexiters that "it's not all about economics"
However, the *actual* Leave campaign was almost wholly about economic arguments

With the leak of this 2-8% report those arguments are now trashed
2) We seem to have forgotten this however economics played a huge part in the Vote Leave campaign, making up over 2/3rds of the primary arguements. The clear message was we would at the least be no worse off and at best much better off. 4 of the 6 below state this clearly
3) & the fact is voters believed we would be no worse off. People prioritized immigration certainly, but against a backdrop of there being no consequences from Brexit - few are prepared to actually pay for ending FoM
Read 36 tweets

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