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John Rentoul
@JohnRentoul
, 4 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Interesting numbers of Tory MPs publicly backing candidates from @GuidoFawkes
Michael Gove 15
Dominic Raab 14
Jeremy Hunt 13
Boris Johnson 13
Sajid Javid 8
Matt Hancock 5
Esther McVey 5
Mark Harper 4
Andrea Leadsom 2
Liz Truss 2
docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d…
Not including
Steve Baker 1
James Cleverly 1
Because a candidate needs 2 nominations to stand (I assume they can't nominate themselves)
Michael Gove 16
(George Eustice)
@GuidoFawkes
Rival numbers from @ConHome (including candidate) Hunt 27, Johnson 19, Gove 13, Raab 13, Javid 10, McVey 4, Harper 4, Hancock 3 conservativehome.com/parliament/201…
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John Rentoul
@JohnRentoul
Final vote share, with changes from 2014 assuming the Brexit Party is Ukip's successor:
Brexit Party 32% +7
Lib Dem 20% +13
Labour 14% -11
Green 12% +4
Conservative 9% -15
SNP+PC 5% +1
ChangeUK 3% +3
Ukip 3% (27% last time, but Brexit+Ukip +7 w rounding)
bbc.co.uk/news/topics/cr…
And you know what that means? We have a winner of the sweepstake! The best guess was just 3 %age points out (+2 on Lab, -1 on Green)
Starting with an honourable mention for @John_S_Macleod – a total of 10 points out, but he entered on 1st day, 5 May, so did not have advantage of later opinion polls: Brexit 30%, Lab 15%, Con 10%, Lib Dem 18%, Green 8%, ChUK 3%
Read 5 tweets
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John Rentoul
@JohnRentoul
The Tories are doomed – but Farage didn’t do well enough to force a no-deal Brexit. Me on European elections independent.co.uk/voices/europea…
The Conservative Party and the Brexit Party have both failed. Labour didn’t do well either, but its setback may be temporary. – My assessment of the European elections
It was great night for the Tory party
Read 3 tweets
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John Rentoul
@JohnRentoul
If we assume the Brexit Party is Ukip's successor, the share and change figs are:
Brexit Party 31% +7
Lib Dem 21% +14
Labour 15% -11
Green 12% +4
Conservative 9% -15
ChangeUK 4% +4
bbc.co.uk/news/topics/cr…
And the 5 Remain parties (incl SNP and Plaid) on 40%, well ahead of Brexit plus Ukip on 35%
But then the Tories are clearly a Leave party so it should be 40% Remain, 44% Leave and 14% Don't Know
Read 9 tweets

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Fionna O'Leary #FBPE #FBIR 🔶
@fascinatorfun
Revealed: Expenses watchdog suspended official credit cards belonging to 377 MPs including Jeremy Corbyn, Boris Johnson and 9 CABINET MINISTERS!

Nearly 400 MPs! dailymail.co.uk/news/article-7…
2/. The watchdog tried to resist FOI applications but a judge ruled the disclosure WAS in the public interest.

Last year the expenses bill was £117.4million – equivalent to £180,000 per MP. This includes accommodation, travel, hotels, subsistence and staffing costs.
3/. “Nine MPs have had their card suspended more than ten times over the past three years, including prominent Tory backbencher Damian Collins and constitution minister Chloe Smith.”

MORE THAN 10 TIMES IN 3 YEARS! And they are supposed to run a country!
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Nick Boles MP
@NickBoles
One of the keys to unlocking a deal in a complex negotiation is understanding both parties’ different expectations about how the future may play out and devising a way that enables them both to keep what they perceive as valuable options open. 1/
Most Tory MPs cherish the dream of an independent trade policy in which the UK can negotiate its own trade deals and set its own tariffs. Any Brexit compromise needs to keep that dream alive if it is to win large numbers of Tory MPs’ votes. 2/
Most Labour MPs believe that the only way to preserve frictionless trade is to enter into a permanent customs union and negotiate a UK say on future trade deals. Any Brexit compromise needs to keep that prospect on the table if it is to win Labour votes. 3/
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Peter Walker
@peterwalker99
Wow! Latest register of MPs' interests shows Boris Johnson earned - *opens calculator* – £161,149 (and 74p) for just TWO speeches last month, one in London and one in Delhi.
Johnson also received yet another donation from Brexit-mad digger makers JCB, this time for £8,000.
In other MPs' interests news, Priti Patel (first pic) and Dominic Raab (second) are other Tory leadership hopefuls busy trousering extra money.
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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
No 10 source: process to elect new leader would begin after leaving EU [NB that would be May 22 if MV passed]
No 10 source: Timetable to elect new leader in hand of others - PM will stay during process.

This is about new leadership for phase 2.
Seems to me that PM is making it conditional on having to get through phase 1 that her general message it is
price she is prepared to pay and that the message of her team is that “this is national interest above personal interest”
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Chris Henry #JC4PM2019
@Socialist_Chris
THREAD

So, I've not been able to sleep tonight. I have a feeling it might be the prospect of Michael Gove as Prime Minister.

"Why would that be then Chris?"

Glad you asked.

#CabinetCoup #Gove #ToryCoup
So obviously we've had two years of intractable Maybot. And obvs, we're all sick of it. Her "speech" to the nation last week, delivered half an hour late, fell as flat as Boris's leadership bid in 2016. Presumably the Conservative Party will be looking for a new approach? Uh-huh.
From 2014. Horowitz, a self-professed Conservative interviews Gove.

"The truth of the matter is that as our time together slips by, I come to realise that I might as well be interviewing Stonehenge. Everything I throw at him bounces back."

spectator.co.uk/2014/03/the-di…
Read 37 tweets
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Nick Reeves #FinalSayForAll #FBPE
@nickreeves9876
1/ Thread on our new #Brexit Secretary Dominic Raab:
Raab was a member of a closed Facebook group that called for privatising healthcare and the return of workhouses for debtors
buzzfeed.com/alexspence/the…
#StopBrexit #FBPE
2/ Raab was one of a group of Tory MPs including Liz Truss & Priti Patel who described British workers as "among the worst idlers in the world" and called for the emulation of the work ethic (long unregulated hours) and low tax (for the rich) culture to be found in parts of Asia.
3/ Before the referendum Dominic Raab was one of the Tory MPs making it clear that there would be Tory calls for a 2nd referendum (a straight replay) in the event of a #Remain victory. He had the generosity to say that it shouldn't take place for at least 2 years.
Read 6 tweets

Trending hashtags

#NazaninZaghariRatcliffe #Gove #Cornwall #ToryCoup #Ridge #CabinetCoup #Brexit #DUP #Tory #bbcqt #marr #brexit #StopBrexit #Tories #BrexitInquiry #EU #FBPE #BrexitImpactReports #BrexitScammers #imagine #ToryConference #Conservative #Remain #JacobReesMogg #GetTheToriesOut
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