First let’s talk about the real problem, which is twofold:
💠A significant percentage of voters—knowing who Trump is—approve of him, and
💠Trump is being shielded by a major political party and a well-oiled propaganda machine.
I began assembling this list as reported in reliable news sources: russia-investigation-summary.com/crimes/
Check it out.
Each time news of one of Trump’s crimes broke, I watched the polls.
projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval…
This was just after Michael Flynn pleaded guilty. lawfareblog.com/michael-flynn-…
Papadopolous had already pleaded guilty in Oct. 2017.
People were waking up to the Trump-Russia debacle.
But then Trump's support went back up. The propaganda machine, aided by the shenanigans of GOP leaders, neutralized & undermined the facts.
1st: Nixon didn’t have Fox and right wing media. John Dean said that Nixon might have survived if he’d had Fox. politico.com/magazine/story…. In fact, right wing media was born as a way to save future Nixons.
The shift of the two parties creating our current levels of polarization was not complete until Reagan. What do I mean? See 👇
It went back and forth a few times.
I'll keep posting. Please change "tomorrow" in your minds to the proper date.
I love twitter. If make I make a mistake I find out within 90 seconds!
It’s also possible that it won’t. It's possible that public opinion has hardened.
Public opinion doesn’t matter in an autocracy.
This is why I say the problem is not Trump.
42% support is low enough for 2020 to be a bloodbath, but not low enough to remove from office.
Actually the drafters of the Constitution considered the possibility of a president elected who was beholden to foreign influence.
Without all that obstruction from the president and GOP, the truth would have come out immediately. Instead the GOP undermined the investigation and shoved its agenda through.
Fantasy? Not if the GOP cared more about truth than power.
The problem is the GOP and a well-oiled propaganda machine. Let's keep that in mind.
If it doesn’t, we may have to accept the cold hard truth: 42% of the population approves of Trump even though they know full well who and what he is.
The consolation: 42% is a long way from a majority.
End/
I can argue it either way.
Argument for: Most people don't actually know the full truth.His support dipped as low as 36.5% once. Why not again?
There are too many variables.
It's possible that public hearings will move the needle.
It's also possible that they will not. It's possible that public opinion has hardened.
The problem . . .
Unforeseen events happen.
Believing something WILL happen can lead to disillusionment and apathy if it doesn't.
Setting up unreasonable expectations is dangerous.
I used to think. . .
Now I'm down to "likely" move the needle.
Future predictions are guesswork. Reasonable minds can differ when it comes to predicting the future.
russia-investigation-summary.com/crimes/
We need to prepare ourselves for either possibility. The needle may move. The needle may not.