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.@BorisJohnson says he wants a new deal - but that if negotiations with EU fail, UK will leave with no deal. What are EU27 thinking? New blog for @instituteforgov (and short thread):
1. Odds of no deal have risen: but threat won't change EU27 minds. No deal always been on table & EU27 feel relatively prepared (though more problematic for Ireland).
2. Trust: EU27 leaders open to further talks, but waiting to see (i) what new options UK gov puts on table and (ii) whether new PM is as "hardline" behind closed doors as he is in front of the camera. EU27 think there may be more nuance to PM's comments than ppl think.
3. Reassurance: EU27 want to make sure that changes are a price worth paying; and that PM can get deal through Parliament.
4. October crunch point: EU27 expect things to kick off in Autumn. All options possible: no deal, tweaked deal and even extension if a general election (or even 2nd ref?!) is called to overcome the deadlock. END.
5. Do give it a read!: instituteforgovernment.org.uk/blog/eu-wont-a…
