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Under Art. 1, Sec. 6 of the U.S. Constitution, the votes of political pundits count 500 times more than the votes of laypersons, so this could turn out to be a big problem for Biden.
If you're a pundit and can't figure out why real, actual people like Biden, you're not good at your job. He talks about the middle class a lot, he talks about Trump a lot, he represents the continuation of the very popular (among Ds) President Obama, and people think he can win.
Oh, and by the way: Biden's policy positions are pretty close to those of the average Democratic likely voter, if you look at polls and so forth.
