A wide, multi-dimensional (geographic, operational, intelligence, technological) campaign is waged in the Middle East, far beyond last night’s strike in Syria.
1/6
1/6
This is an Israeli-Iranian conflict in Syria, Iraq, and Lebanon (and Yemen and KSA?) with both significant Russian and American forces’ presence , and their discontent about the events. So far all remains under the threshold of war but a consistent escalation control is vital.
2/
2/
Impressive IDF Intel and AF capabilities last night. High quality RT intel along with a precise surgical operation prevented a significant attack on Israel. I would not want to be in Qassem Suleimani’s shoes this morning, after yet another operational failures Vs 🇮🇱 in Syria.
3/
3/
Israel’s decision to take responsibility 1) signal as warning to the enemy to avoid further escalation, 2) increases readiness of our forces for an Iranian response, and 3) serves political purposes by distracting from the deteriorating security situation in Gaza and the WB.
4/
4/
Maybe a more interesting incident took place in Beirut last night. Were Iranian drones prevented from taking off from the Beirut area? ?? The strategy of the two sides appears to be “cooling” the situation down to avoid full scale conflict.
5/6
5/6
But at the end of the day Nasrallah is an Iranian proxy, and it is possible that Suleimani will use him to settle the score.
6/6
6/6
