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, 3 tweets, 1 min read
OK.

This changes the whole arithmetic and procedure for tomorrow, if Speaker allows it to be voted on.

With Labour backing this will likely pass. So Johnson MUST ask for an extension. MPs will not be bounced into a decision.
I have also hence deleted my vote prediction tweets for tomorrow, because it is now highly likely that all of this will not actually come to a vote.

As Boles, Letwin and Hammond, P are backing the Amendment, it's odds on to pass.
Also note to #EUCO, @eucopresident, Macron, Merkel et al - that extension request is going to be coming!
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More from @jonworth see all

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Jon Worth
@jonworth
Using my time on the Eurostar to London for "Super Saturday" to make the latest #BrexitDiagram V30

This one covers the impact of the Letwin Amendment and how that impacts overall #Brexit outcomes

This is really important - as I explain in the thread
All the media focus has been on how MPs will vote on the Deal Johnson got in Brussels - and #VoteDownTheDeal

However something else - the Letwin Amendment - is actually more important to the outcome now
The Letwin Amendment means the UK has to request an #Article50 Extension *anyway*, buying time for the Commons and Lords to scrutinise the Deal

But other things - notably the vote on the Queen's Speech - happen during this period, and that poses problems for the Government
Read 7 tweets
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Jon Worth
@jonworth
I’m anti Brexit. I think this endeavour is foolish.

But doing it this way is extremely foolish. Whatever your view of Brexit.
First: there will be no impact assessment on the costs of this Deal available to MPs tomorrow

How can MPs make a judgment without that?
Second: the text of this Deal came out yesterday. Do MPs understand it? If they don’t, does anyone fully understand it yet?

- 63 pages Revised Protocol to the Withdrawal Agreement

- 26 pages Revised Political Declaration

- 3 pages Unilateral Declaration of Consent
Read 5 tweets
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Jon Worth
@jonworth
Myth building about Jeremy Corbyn

A thread
On Saturday 19 October - starting at 0930 - there is an extra session about the Brexit Deal in the House of Commons

On the same day at 1830 Jeremy Corbyn is due in Liverpool at a rally events.labour.org.uk/event/283916
This rally was announced when the idea of a Saturday session had been floated, but not confirmed

We have no evidence whatsoever to indicate that Corbyn will NOT be in the Commons
Read 19 tweets

Related threads

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Antonello Guerrera
@antoguerrera
BREAKING. European Parliament president Sassoli very disappointed with Boris Johnson after meeting him: “I am sad”
BREAKING. EU Parliament president Sassoli: “PM Johnson didnt provide any element that can be concretely considered in order to get a deal that can be rediscussed or carried through. You can draw your own conclusions”
BREAKING. EU Parliament president Sassoli: “PM Johnson hasn’t present proposals. Ideas are not enough at this point”
#brexit
Read 8 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
Government of national unity . . .

"Yes?"

No.
You keep going back round the same problems and they keep not changing from last time.
Because it's a stupid idea. It only sounds like a sensible idea because you've got no idea what a sensible idea sounds like.
Alright. Alright. What do you want it for? That's easy.
You want it to ask for an extension to Article 50 before we get kicked out on October 31st.
And what's wrong with the government you've got?
Read 6 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
It's all about real life politics. I love this scene. Political fisticuffs.
Johnson has gambled his political rep. on getting a deal with Europe, which he can't because everything he tries involves twatting the Good Friday Agreement
So all he's got is May's deal. But again, he booted Theresa May out of the job because of that. And this session of parliament has voted it down three times.
And since becoming prime minister he has publicly thrown it in the gutter.
It would be political suicide for him to pick up May's deal. He can't touch it. It's toxic. The ERG would slaughter him, and the opposition would show everyone look, look, Johnson has got no plan. Nothing. He's a hole in the air.
Read 6 tweets
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Staedtler
@Staedtler
We'll just keep going through it all.

After today, the earliest possible general election will be October 31st
Therefore, we can no longer fit an election before Brexit day
However, as nobody would dare leave Brexit to happen during a general election campaign, as soon as we're in a general election, Boris Johnson will ask for an extension.

Yes, he will. And if you don't know that, you shouldn't be a journalist
I can keep telling you every day not to get so excited by what you see in the news.
We can ask for an extension right up until the day we leave. And we can't leave any earlier than that.
Read 5 tweets
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StatisticusCollegium
@verumandverus
THREAD (#EP2019)

Polling Day is upon us & here is a thread showing why ALL #Brexiteers need to turn out & cast their precious vote for the @brexitparty_uk
See a graphic breakdown by region of how the main parties have betrayed us. On Thursday it’s time to say no more 1/14
Key:

Green is Good - Red is Bad

#BrexitWrecker is an MP who voted for a 2nd Ref &/or to Revoke A50 - All Remain parties are full of them #Labour is by far the worst offender

#BrexitInbetweener is an MP who voted for May’s WA more than once

#BrexitLegend True BeLeavers

2/14
#EastMidlands

Labour has 11 #BrexitWrecker MPs and should not be given your vote.

Vote for @zatzi @JonathanMEP @math_patten Tracy Knowles @DrAnnaBailey1

Vote for @brexitparty_uk

Vote for #Brexit

3/14
Read 14 tweets
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Brigid Fowler
@Brigid_Fowler
OK, I've caught up with Twitter again & there's both some v. interesting exchanges & still a fair bit of apparent wider public confusion re: the date UK leaves the EU, A50 #extension & the SI to change 'exit day'. So, in interests of end-of-the-week clarity, here's another go. 1/
The date UK leaves the EU is an intl matter. It's not determined by whatever UK domestic law may say.Changing 'exit day' in UK law doesn't change date UK leaves the EU. See posts this wk by @woodstockjag & @DomWalsh13 as well as me, & eg @ProfMarkElliott & @carlgardner on here 2/
UK & EU have now agreed that A50 period, at the end of which the departing state leaves the EU, will be later than 29/3. The only way the UK still leaves the EU on 29/3 is if UK gov, or EU, or both, renege on the agreement reached last night. 3/
Read 11 tweets

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#Peace #greed #speaking #Nantes #Labour #Labourantisemitism #reality #Margin #Bellecour #awareness #PeoplesVote #anger #Liverpool #Contents #BrexitWrecker #France #Brexit #EP2019 #LabourAntisemitism #GE2015 #rouen #Corbyn #ChampsElysees #royalty #mantra
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