, 15 tweets, 7 min read
Crypto Daily 3@3 10.23 | SPECIAL EDITION: An Opinionated Recap of Zuck's Libra Testimony In Congress pscp.tv/w/cIDdvjE0Nzc1…
Here is what we're discussing:

1. What was different vs. the same in FB's narrative

2. What was different vs. the same in Congress' questions

3. The negotiation factors moving forward

4. Highlights

5. Predictions
1/ Same vs. Different in FB's narrative:

* Less: unbanked
* Same: Libra isn’t us; we’re a part of it
* More: We’ve worked hard to deserve this
* More: China is a threat
2/ Same vs. Different in Congress questions

* Same: skepticism around unbanked
* Same: Switzerland/basket skepticism
* More: Focus on diversity track record
* More: Asking about threat to USDglobal reserve status
* More: Political footballing
(What do I mean by 'more political footballing?' ...well...this...)

3/ The negotiating chips

* 1. FB will NOT move forward without regulatory approval
* 2. Changes already made (no investment dividends)
* 3. Basket of currencies (Could be 1:1 USD or could have imposed minimums)
* 4. KYC for all wallets
* 5. Switzerland vs US location
4/ Top moments.

My favorites: @WarrenDavidson saying "Hard to subpoena Satoshi" + once again, @PatrickMcHenry nails what's really underlying the tone:
@WarrenDavidson @PatrickMcHenry 5/ Finally, the most interesting thing: PREDICTIONS.

Prediction 1: the 'basket of currencies' approach is on the shakiest ground.

It's a major point of consternation and FB is already signaling that they're open to a different approach.
@WarrenDavidson @PatrickMcHenry Prediction 2: Congress will push for KYC on ALL Libra wallets, not just Calibra

I think the 'drug dealer money'/'terrorist money' FUD is still the most powerful and dangerous and I think Congress will lean on FB to lean on the Libra Association to guarantee KYC for ALL wallets.
@WarrenDavidson @PatrickMcHenry Prediction 3: We have NOT heard the last on Switzerland

A potential move from a basket to a 1:1 USD currency is all well and good, but if the signal people are worried about is 'innovation going abroad' - domiciling the thing elsewhere is going to be a MAJOR blocker.
@WarrenDavidson @PatrickMcHenry Prediction 4: Plan B

I believe that all the motivations FB has articulated for Libra is true. But I think in the back of some minds, there is a plan B of Libra as a sacrificial lamb that shows how well FB can play nice and change plans so seriously guys don't break us up.
@WarrenDavidson @PatrickMcHenry But, at the end of the day, who knows?

What's for sure is that this conversation is LIVE, it's HOT, and it is about way, way more than Libra.
@WarrenDavidson @PatrickMcHenry If you want, the full as-it-happened reactions, check out the thread.
@WarrenDavidson @PatrickMcHenry And, please please please, let me know the best threads and analysis you've seen! Share them below!
Podcast version available as well: plnk.to/nlw/e/10004546…
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