As of 4 hours ago, the ADRIAN DARYA 1 has been heading east to KALAMATA, GREECE. That is her destination for the time being. #OOTT
Our analysis is she was NOT. Syria’s lifeline from Iran is via the Suez Canal. Over the past year, 17 million barrels arrived this way, 4 million of which during the 6 weeks she was detained in Gibraltar. #OOTT
Our analysis is she was due to perform STS (Ship-to-Ship) oil transfers within Syria’s (safe haven) waters towards clients within the Med Sea, most likely small amounts over a long period of time. Likely Europe.
- Syria acquired two smaller vessels (1 million and 350K barrel capacity respectively) a month ahead of her arrival.
- The offshore delivery point (SBM) in Baniyas is too shallow for GRACE 1.
- Suez is STILL the supply route
(We do not believe this to be the case because no buyer would want to touch this vessel right now. It is as good as radioactive. There are other vessels delivering in a cloaked manner.)
We'll be reporting & blocking Twitter accounts we suspect are misusing/misconstruing our research for the purpose of perpetuating lies, especially of political nature.
We are documenting a historic event.
400 tonnes isn't much though; ~4 days worth at full speed
1) SILVIA I (no visual confirmation if delivery to Baniyas was completed today)
2) STARK I (should be in Syria by now with 1MB aboard)
3) SARAK (will enter Suez soon with 1MB)
Our Live thread of the #AdrianDarya1 is now 2wks old!
We are doing this so that journalists & fellow researchers will have an accurate account of events thanks to the data. Also, to avoid repeating ourselves to the press.
Our answer: See thread.
- EVERY SINGLE ONE of these vessels used the Suez Canal to reach Syria from Iran.
- Iran has no need to ship all the way around Africa to reach Syria. Complete waste of time.
- Egypt does NOT block Iranian flags in the Suez Canal due to 1888 Convention of Constantinople.
- SANDRO & JASMINE are empty and act as local support for STS in Syria. STARK I is discharging. SAVIOR is fully laden & anchored.
- SILVIA I is idle & empty off Port Said, Egypt.
- SARAK went dark 5 hours ago off N. Cyprus.
Image captured by @planetlabs
What you're looking is a rapid animation of just two frames. The first clear frame is that of AD1 in Gibraltar on Aug 10, 2019 while the other is yesterday (Sept 5), mostly hidden under a cloud with exception to bridge. Just off Tartous port.
Direct url: zoom.earth/#view=34.91000…
#AdrianDarya1 sailed into Syrian waters and anchored off the Russian navy terminal in Tartous.
Has not discharged any oil from what we can see.
Iranian flags present: SARAK (1MB; anchored in Baniyas), JASMINE (empty Handymax)
Awaiting STARK I to reach Suez
This bit of “information” was brought to us. It is incorrect. There are no hoses visible as this is not even a delivery point. Shadow thickness hasn’t changed. Also, 2.1 million barrels doesn’t last 3 months. They need over 100K a day. Thx.
As Baniyas and Tartous are too shallow for direct delivery, the AD1 would have to STS with SANDRO (Syrian property), but if AD1 does STS with SARAK (once emptied), then both sail to Iran.
SILVIA I (1MB)
ARGO 1 (700K)
SILVIA I (1MB yes, a 2nd time)
SAVIOR (1MB, not discharged yet)
STARK I (1MB)
We'll let this tweet thread simmer a while until we see any significant movements.
There wasn’t enough time to discharge 2.1MB to other tankers
No unknown tankers in Syria
Oil would‘ve appeared in Syria’s storage + refineries
Seawater would corrode & contaminate compartments. Iran NEEDS tankers.
Copperfield is not captain!
(Sorry, we broke out of the thread earlier)
Sept 26th, 2019: The AD1 receives a visitor. That small vessel casts a tiny shadow over the AD1. This is yet another sign of that AD1 is still fully laden.
Sept 27: SAVIOR is still discharging in Baniyas. Refinery tanks are slowly filling.
SAVIOR has now come back online after nearly an entire month in Syria. The vessel has delivered its 1 million barrel cargo of Iranian crude oil to the Baniyas refinery after holding it for 5 months. She seems to be sailing back to the anchorage of Mersin, TR.