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I'd be surprised if Tories don't ultimately support LibDem/SNP move. Polling looks good for @BorisJohnson - party & personal. Pre Brexit election is favoured by Johnson's aides. Will allow Tories to run on a "We'll finish the job" platform; mix in some "people ve parliament" 1/3
While picking off Labour leave seats in the North & Midlands & keeping soft Tory votes in the South (as BJ will run on a deal platform). Yes, there's risk of amendments. But macro arguments for Tories to support LibDem/SNP coalition on this much stronger 2/3
Puts @jeremycorbyn in a real bind; personally favours an early vote but won't be able to deliver (at least 100) his MPs. Labour justification is cliff edge on Jan 31 or Dec 2020 but real reason is party & personal approval polling looks abysmal for Corbyn 3/3
& to add: Lab strongly wants a post-Brexit election fought primarily on domestic issues
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Mujtaba Rahman
@Mij_Europe
Minority Labour Govt cd struggle to win Commons approval for its radical but controversial plan for free broadband & part nationalisation of BT. Lib Dem sources say party would oppose as throwback to 1970s 1/3
Meanwhile, Sir Ed Davey, Lib Dem deputy leader, confirms our view that party would judge minority Labour admin on vote by vote basis - no coalition or confidence & supply agreement 2/3
Clear sign that despite election attacks on @jeremycorbyn, Lib Dems would keep him in power to secure Brexit referendum 3/3
Read 3 tweets
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Mujtaba Rahman
@Mij_Europe
.@BorisJohnson first major speech of campaign shows he is reprising Tories’ 2015 election campaign, which portrayed Labour’s Ed Miliband in the pocket of SNP leader Alex Salmond in hung parliament 1/3
Today Boris shrugged off his former minister David Gauke’s plea for people to vote Lib Dem by warning repeatedly that anything other than Tory vote would mean a “technicolour coalition of chaos” of @jeremycorbyn and @NicolaSturgeon 2/3
In 2015, Labour thought the attacks wouldn’t hurt them. After David Cameron won a majority, Labour admitted they did 3/3
Read 3 tweets
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Mujtaba Rahman
@Mij_Europe
So @Nigel_Farage has blinked first in his battle with @BorisJohnson. Concedes a Leave alliance without PM asking for one. Brexit Party will not compete 317 seats won by Tories in 2017 but will fight Labour & other parties in remaining seats. Boost for Boris 1/3
Reduces chances of minority Labour Govt & 2nd Ref. If he wins, Boris will be under strong pressure from Farage not to extend transition beyond Dec 2020 & to get Canada FTA with no alignment; these pledges were figleafs allowing Farage to scrap plan to field 600 candidates 2/3
But one caveat: Brexit Party could still stand in Lab-held marginals which backed Leave in 2016 referendum 3/3
Read 3 tweets

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⚢🌸Sakura No Seirei🌸🏳️‍⚧️
@SakuraNoSeirei
Good morning and welcome to yet another #Brexit thread

Have just woken up this morning to see that the Government in the Lords backed down at 01:30 and agreed to give the #BennBill time to go through all stages in the Lords

So I'm going to grab a coffee and try to find...

1/n
the business for today for both Houses

2/n
And indeed, today's the day that the Lords starts on the #BennBill

No firm commitment on timing just yet but I will hopefully be here to cover it live

3/n
lordsbusiness.parliament.uk
Read 125 tweets
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⚢⚧🌸Sakura No Seirei🌸
@SakuraNoSeirei
#Brexit news for today:

Nigel Adams, Minister for Wales, and Governement whip has resigned the #Cabinet over #TheresaMay's way forward.

1/n
You can hear #TheresaMay's reaction from here

2/n
So the splitting of the #ToryParty continues. Where will it end? And can we expect resignations from #Labour if #Corbyn is seen as giving up too much to #TheresaMay during the discussions tonight.

3/n
Read 92 tweets
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Ben Kelly
@TheScepticIsle
Support for ‘no deal’ Brexit is the pinnacle of Leave's descent into zealotry. The end result of refusing to plan

Like Trump, 'no deal' advocates have flooded the debate with “alternative facts”
It won't end well

THREAD! PLEASE RETWEET!

#Brexit #WTOBrexit #NoDealBrexit #SOS
The increased support for a ‘no deal’ Brexit is the ultimate failure of the Leave movement. It’s the inevitable consequence of the refusal to grasp details, come to terms with complexity & coalesce around a plan. Compromise can be frustrating. So instead they will have a tantrum.
Some Brexiteers advocated sensible solutions. The EFTA/EEA solution gained a lot of traction in the years before the ref. Even Farage had promoted it & countless others. See Farage below from 2011 essentially making the ‘Liberal Leave’ case!
Read 55 tweets
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tony nog #FBPE
@tony_nog
1) There is one reason why remainers have "bashed Corbyn" and its this

Because its always been obvious that Labour represented a large & growing Remain group, and that Corbyn was pro #Brexit, working against that Remain attitude

It's not rocket science
theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
2) Corbyn "Remainers" have continously reinterpreted Corbyn's words, projected their beliefs onto him, pressed on "the long game", stated "he's just following policy", said "he hasn't the numbers" and generally gone through hoops to avoid the obvious truth - Corbyn is a brexiter
3) instead of making statements like "#FBPE is a Corbyn bashing cult" it would be more honest to recognise that Corbyn is against his party & membership on #Brexit, the biggest issue of the age, and always has been. And this is a disgrace

Defending him on this is also a disgrace
Read 5 tweets
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Lesley Miller
@LesleyMillercyp
#Brexit 1
Cadbury moved factory 2 Poland 2011 with EU grant.
Ford Transit moved 2Turkey 2013 with EU grant.
Jaguar Land Rover recently agreed 2 build a new plant in Slovakia with EU grant, owned by Tata, same company who trashed our steel industry & emptied workers pension funds.
#Brexit 2
Peugeot closed its Ryton (was Rootes Group) plant and moved production to Slovakia with EU grant.
British Army's new Ajax fighting vehicles to be built in SPAIN using SWEDISH steel at the request of the EU to support jobs in Spain with EU grant, rather than Wales.
#Brexit 3
Dyson gone 2 Malaysia, with EU loan. Crown Closures, Bournemouth (Was METAL BOX), gone 2Poland with EU grant,employed 1,200.
M&S manufacturing gone 2far east with EU loan.
Hornby models gone. In fact all toys & models gone from UK along with patents all with EU grants
Read 28 tweets

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