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Quick THREAD: 1. See my new @monkeycageblog piece on how autocrats can thrive within the EU. Part of an amazing collection edited by @bartbonikowski & @dziblatt.
washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/…
2. @bartbonikowski summarizes the contributions here: washingtonpost.com/politics/2019/…
3. My piece presents the central argument of my forthcoming @jepp_journal article on "The European Union's Authoritarian Equilibrium" papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…, which I did a detailed thread on recently, here:
4. In short, I show how three factors- political protection of autocrats through the EU's half-baked party system, subsidizing of autocrats through unconditional EU funding, & weakening of opposition forces through intra-EU migration - help autocrats endure within the EU. END.
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More from @rdanielkelemen see all

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R. Daniel Kelemen
@rdanielkelemen
1. With @EUCouncil #GAC finally debating #Article7 procedure about democratic backsliding in Hungary, time for thread about my forthcoming @jepp_journal article on why EU tolerates autocratic member states: "The European Union's Authoritarian Equilibrium" papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
2. Building on my earlier work & drawing on literature on 'subnational authoritarianism', the new paper explores why the EU, which professes a commitment to liberal democracy, has allowed some member governments to backslide toward competitive authoritarianism.
3. I argue EU has become trapped in an “authoritarian equilibrium” underpinned by 3 factors. 1st, (as I've written before) EU’s half-baked system of party politics & ingrained reluctance to interfere in domestic politics of members shield national autocrats from EU intervention
Read 23 tweets
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R. Daniel Kelemen
@rdanielkelemen
1.Setting the record straight on #EUTopJobs & why #Spitzenkandidaten @ManfredWeber @TimmermansEU and @vestager were blocked for @EU_Commission President. Lots of spin out there that needs to be countered, so here is a THREAD. 👇
2. Today some @florianeder & @zoyashef wrote of Weber & Timmermans being blocked by an "alliance consisting of the Visegrád 4, Italy and the French Republic." Similarly @ManfredWeber tried to claim he was the victim of a "Macron-Orban axis" This is wrong.
3. @ManfredWeber was blocked already 2 weeks ago by Socialists & Liberals in European Parliament- including by Macron's people: politico.eu/article/libera… One key reason Orbán was deemed unacceptable (incl by Macron) was his long-record of enabling the authoritarian Orbán regime.
Read 17 tweets
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R. Daniel Kelemen
@rdanielkelemen
Inspired by this great thread by @CatherineDVries , I'll offer my own thread with some predictions about EU politics for 2019 - recognizing many of the same tensions as Prof. De Vries, but perhaps a bit more optimistic. 1/20
Populists (particularly on far right) will make gains in 2019 European Parliament elections, but they will remain in minority (and remain divided), so mainstream parties will still be able to run EU institutions. In short, the center will hold. 2/20
The elections are likely to be followed by shakeup in Europarties. In part, this will be a byproduct of Brexit: in particular exit of UKIP will likely break up @EFDgroup & exit of Tories will threaten @ecrgroup. In any case, there will be a big shakeup of groups on the right 3/20
Read 20 tweets

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Marc Owen Jones
@marcowenjones
[#Thread on #Algeria] 1/ @Redasbox got in touch to ask if I could have a look at some unusual tweeting in Algeria. I analysed around 20,000 tweets from around 5,769 unique accounts. What I found, was alarming, and clear evidence of a disinformation campaign. Read on #Algerie
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JM Rieger
@RiegerReport
New York Times report from May on Biden, Ukraine and Burisma Holdings:

"No evidence has surfaced that the former vice president intentionally tried to help his son by pressing for the prosecutor general’s dismissal.”

nytimes.com/2019/05/01/us/…
NYT - Hunter Biden was warned by associates who had experience in Ukraine to stay away from Mykola Zlochevsky, the owner of Burisma Holdings, who had worked in the government of former Ukrainian president Viktor Yanukovych.

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cyberobserver
@OSINTResearcher
This is a #Thread about one of the many trolls who is targeting #Native and #Indigenous @Twitter accounts.

The account #@Blondi65003273 is interacting with #NativeAmericans by #JustAskingQuestions

Nothing obviously provocative.

#NativeTwitter
One of Blondi’s followers is another account that claims to be #Native #Ojibwe
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Karol 🌿
@karolcummins
💣Espionage💣

The servers at TT & Alfa Bank, Spectrum Health & Heartland PS, were communicating via DNS look ups, sharing packet data.

‘GOP, Trump & Rick Gates are reportedly directly implicated in espionage against the US 2016 primary/Pres elex via help from a foreign power.’
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💣Espionage3💣

Initially Psy-Group offered a social media manipulation campaign which included fake social media profiles that would attack Ted Cruz and discredit him the eyes of GOP Party delegates, who was at the time Trump’s main competitor for the GOP nomination.
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Tacit Subtext
@TSubtext
Thread: 'quiet accomplishments' of Trump admin. Very little major legislation - but it doesn't mean they're not accomplishing their agenda.
Feb. 28 bill blocked SSA from reporting mentally impaired recipients to nat. background-check dB. #GunControlNow washingtonpost.com/investigations…
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