Thread by @SamuelMarrache

🌹How #TacticalVoting for @UKLabour can cost the Tories 54 (!) seats based on @YouGov MRP Poll.

All seats below have the nearest People’s Vote parties at least 23% below Labour (except 4 highlighted below).

Labour votes could prevent a Tory majority and a Tory Brexit/No Deal

I’ll list these constituencies & the Labour MP standing in each of them & in brackets show the current vote % compared to the Tories, and how that would change if the pro PV voters voted Labour. As @OwenJones84 has highlighted, splitting the vote here could lead to a Tory MP.

Tactically Voting 🌹 Result +6 seats:

Bassetlaw @MorrisonKeir (-6 to +1) ✅
Bedford @YasinForBedford (-1 to +14) ✅
Blackpool S @GordonMarsden (-6 to +2) ✅
Bolsover Dennis Skinner (-4 to +3) ✅
Bury N @JamesFrith (0 to +7) ✅
Bury South @Lucy4BurySouth (-3 to +7) ✅

Tactically Voting 🌹 Result +11 seats:

Chipping Barnet @EmmaWhysall (0 to +17) ✅
Colne Valley @Thelma_WalkerMP (-5 to +5) ✅
Crewe and Nantwich @LauraSmithMP (-4 to +7) ✅
Dagenham and Rainham @JonCruddas_1 (-2 to +8) ✅
Darlington @JennyChapman (-2 to +6) ✅

Tactically Voting 🌹 Result +17 seats:

Derby North @tonytinley (-8 to +4) ✅
Dewsbury @paulasheriff (-1 to +8) ✅
Don Valley @carolineflintMP (-8 to +2) ✅
Dudley N @melaniedudley19 (-7 to 0) ✅
Great Grimsby @OnnMel (-5 to +2) ✅
Harrow East @Pam4HarrowEast (-9 to +3) ✅

Tactically Voting 🌹 Result +23 seats:

Hastings & Rye @PeterchowneyHR (-10 to 0) ✅
Hendon @DavidPintoD (-3 to +13) ✅
High Peak @RuthGeorge6 (0 to +11) ✅
Hyndburn @grahamJones_MP (-4 to +3) ✅
Ipswich @sandyofipswich (-4 to +6) ✅
Keighley @KeighleyLabour (-1 to +5) ✅

Tactically Voting 🌹 Result +28 seats:

Loughborough @stuart4lboro (-7 to +4) ✅
Milton Keynes North @CharlynnePullen (-5 to +7) ✅
Norwich North @LabKarenDavis (-9 to +4) ✅
Penistone and Stocksbridge @FrancyneJohnson (-9 to +2) ✅
Peterborough @LisaForbes_ (-4 to +5) ✅

Tactically Voting 🌹 Result +32 seats:

Putney @CllrFleur (-4 to +23) ✅ 🌹to 🔶 difference +11
Reading West @RachelEden (-9 to +4) ✅
Rother Valley @soph_wilson (-7 to +2) ✅
Ruschliffe @cheryl_pidgeon (-15 to +7) ✅ 🌹 to 🔶 difference +8

Tactically Voting 🌹 Result +36 seats:

Scunthorpe @voteNicDakin (-2 to +6) ✅
Southport @LizSavagelabour (-15 to +8) ✅ 🌹 to 🔶 difference +8
Stockton South @PaulWilliamsLAB (-6 to 0) ✅
Stoke-On-Trent Central @gareth_snell (-1 to +8) ✅

Tactically Voting 🌹 Result +40 seats:

Stock-On-Trent North @RuthSmeeth (-5 to +3) ✅
Stroud @DavidEDrew (-4 to +3) ✅
Truro and Falmouth @Jen4TruroAndFal (-13 to +5) ✅ 🌹 to 🔶 difference +18
Warrington South @FaisalRashidMP (-4 to +5) ✅

Tactically Voting 🌹 Result +44 seats:

Warwick and Leamington @MattWestern (-3 to +12) ✅
Weaver Vale @MikeAmesburyMP (0 to +11) ✅
West Bromwich East @ibrahim_dogus (-1 to +9) ✅
West Bromwich West James Cunningham (-3 to +6) ✅

Tactically Voting 🌹 Result +49 seats:

Wolverhampton North East @EmmaReynoldsMP (-4 to +4) ✅
Wolverhampton South West @Eleanor_SmithMP (-6 to +1) ✅
Workington @SueHayman1 (-1 to +7) ✅
Delyn @DavidHansonMP (0 to +8) ✅
Alyn and Deeside @MarkTamiMP (0 to +9) ✅

Tactically Voting 🌹 Result +54 seats:

Wrexham @MaryWimbury (-4 to +8) ✅
Aberconwy @Emily4Aberconwy (-6 to +7) ✅
Vale of Clwyd @Chris_RuaneMP (-2 to +7) ✅
Clwyd South @susanelanjones (-2 to +8) ✅
Preseli Pembrokeshire @Philippa4Pembs (-7 to +2) ✅

#TacticalVoting in these constituencies where neither the Lib Dems, Greens, Plaid C or SNP stand a chance of winning could realistically stop a Tory majority.

What’s more, Labour have promised a referendum on Brexit something which is a priority for LD, Gr etc. voters #GE2019

Hope to do another thread on where Labour is marginally ahead and requires votes to be safe, & also a tactical voting thread on Lib Dems, Plaid & SNP. For now though, the above is a fairly realistic list of where voters MUST #tacticalvote Labour to avoid a Conservative majority.

@OwenJones84 @HackedOffHugh @davidschneider @derekjames150 @campbellclaret @peoplesvote_uk @acgrayling @TheProgAlliance @Labour4EU