Thread. #Iran last night attacked with rockets some US bases in #Iraq to react to #QassemSoleimani killing. Apparently, and luckily, there are no reported casualties. On January 3rd commenting the #Soleimani’s killing on @MiddleEastEye middleeasteye.net/news/qassem-so… I wrote: (1)
“In the following days, we will see violent protests and rockets launched at American targets, but the real Iranian reaction may take different forms and timelines from those dictated by western media and political needs.” I also added (2)
”It is plausible that Iran will initially target America's allies, punishing them for their alignment with the US, before turning its attention back to "the great Satan" only after seeing who Trump’s challenger will be in the November presidential election.” Now #IRGC is (4)
Threatening US’s allies, Israel and UAE, if Washington will retaliate against this Iranian attack. The Iranian move seems to have two precise scope: A) Simply marking the fact that the killing of Soleimani has not deterred Iran as the US hoped, just the opposite, apparently; (5)
B) Create tension between the US and its allies in the region. The ball is now back into the American court. Again, the real Iranian reaction to Soleimani’s killing “will slowly wear out. But over a long time, with acts that will often be imperceptible to us...”. Stay tuned (END)
