As I head to leafy Bookham for my first talk on Brexit of the year, it's worth considering whether there's anything new to say, post #GE2019
1/
1/
Largely, the case for change has yet to be made
Yes, there's finally someone with enough institutional power to make choices stick, but no clear sign about what those choices might be
2/
Yes, there's finally someone with enough institutional power to make choices stick, but no clear sign about what those choices might be
2/
'Get Brexit done' is almost as good a slogan as 'Take back control', but it means almost as little
The suspicion remains that the UK's strategy will centred on getting Brexit out of the headlines, rather than pursuing a particular substantive outcome
3/
The suspicion remains that the UK's strategy will centred on getting Brexit out of the headlines, rather than pursuing a particular substantive outcome
3/
That's not totally unreasonable, given the past few years, but recent history should also highlight not 'not banging on about Europe' has had a tendency to bite the protagonists on the arse
4/
4/
So maybe the main thing this year will be seeing whether the 'ignoring problems' approach can withstand the wall of Brexit-ry that's on its way
5/
5/
And the central factor in that is the great British public
Framed in terms of Hirschman's Exit, Voice & Loyalty, the tension is between Voice and the unspoken 4th option of Apathy
I leave you to decide how that might play out
6/
Framed in terms of Hirschman's Exit, Voice & Loyalty, the tension is between Voice and the unspoken 4th option of Apathy
I leave you to decide how that might play out
6/
in sum: I've only change one slide in my PPT...
