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It's out! The new @UKandEU offering available FOR FREE here ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/upl… This is a photo of the cover, which allows me to tag loads of people who'd rather I didn't.... 1/25
So. What have we got to say? @MeredithCrowle1 points out the future UK-EU relationship will entail a series of trade-offs: more alignment with EU regulations and standards = more trade but less control. 2/25
Next, @HusseinHKassim argues that despite both sides’ stated desire for close relationship, not sure what the negots can deliver. Not clear how far the UK has grasped implications of being a 3rd country nor how far EU is prep to give the UK a special third country deal. 3/25
For @ProfTimLang in an ideal post-Brexit world, better prod and consump would improve health, regen the envir and provide decent work. While things not perfect now, supermarket shelves are full. Restructuring will be complicated and conseqs of getting it wrong are immense.4/25
Next, @CharlieBEU Brexit means poss to devel policies to accomm environ concerns. More flexibility to have more environmentally effective polices than CAP and CFP. But danger of environ governance gap if steps not taken to replace role of ECJ, Cn and Eur Envir Agency 5/25
Then @jdportes says immig will be an area to expect dramatic change post Brexit. Gov has important decisions to make: Will high qualif individuals be able to arrive without job offer? Where to set a salary threshold? Implementing a new system will pose enormous challenge. 6/25
Because he’s a machine, @jdportes again economy. Sceptical about a Brexit boom, but should be more chance for gov to devel policies to address some of the econ probs we face. Brexit may be a reset moment for new policies to address structural issues neglected in the past. 7/25
Next, @dgbailey explains triple whammy for car indus – Chinese demand ⬇️demand for diesel ⬇️and Brexit uncertainty. Brexit has already hit output and invest. Bare bones trade deal will have signif impact . Not just about customs but also regulations 8/25
Then @drsarah_hall - finan servs largely in SE so no passporting might imply rebalancing. But loss of tax rev may constrain gov going forward. Even a deal on financial services does not imply an end to uncertainty. Equivalence can be ended by EU with 30 days’ notice 9/25
Then @SamuelMarcLowe argues that by prioritising regul auton, gov has accepted that trading services between the EU and UK will be more difficult. FTA could offer some benefits but only marginal. UK services exporters will need to adjust their business models accordingly. 10/25
Turning to @r_ortegaargiles @CityREDI) on ‘left behind’ places - poor local employment opps, low wages and investment, poor health and low qual of life. ‘Geography of discontent’, shown in marked shifts in electoral preferences. Challenges may be exacerbated by Brexit. 11/25
Now @RGWhitman on fp. In some areas the EU is already acting in areas where the UK had previously exercised its veto. Danger that sec coop will suffer not least as EU unwilling to alter the way it works with third countries for the sake of the UK - cf Galileo. 12/25
Then @CSBarnard24 says post-Brexit period will also be demanding for the courts in terms of the vol and complexity of the Brexit-related litigation. Enquiry into judicial review will form the first part of the review into constitutional issues promised by Tory manifesto. 13/25
And now @jillongovt Many civil servants have found the decisiveness of the Johnson cabinet a relief after three years of division. Gov however has civil service’s shortcomings in its sights. Real risk is adding a big reform agenda onto already massive 2020 to do list. 14/25
Then @DNDeacon media should stop treating Brexit as political drama. Editors must use specialisms from beyond the parl lobby to qn credibility rather than the partisan nature of claims makers within the debate. Will also require a more nuanced approach to impartiality. 15/25
Moving onto devo, @McEwen_Nicola says SNP’s electoral success reflects contin strength of feeling about Scotland’s constit future. Supp for indep at historic high. But not yet the settled will, and there is no inevitability that it will become so. 16/25
On NI, @hayward_katy says restoration of devolved administration was welcome. But new exec will have work cut out navigating Brexit and ensuring implem of the NI protocol is consistent with the pledges made in new Decade Agreement. 17/25
Then @DanielWinc and @Jaclarner say Wales faces challenges. Qn facing admin is how to get more say for the province going forward. Brexit will put further pressure on UK’s changing Union. Wales has fewer cards to play than Scot or NI and will have to adapt and change. 18/25
On England, @ailsa_henderson @RWynJones say awareness of the need to rebalance the economy in favour of the ‘left behinds’ and ‘the North’ has rarely been higher. Yet policy solutions involving radical changes in governance arrangements currently appear beyond the pale. 19/25
And another by @DanielWinc -the Union faces pressures for change: some due to Brexit, others intrinsic to UK territorial politics. Ever changing devo settlement will change more. 20/25
Moving onto politics and pub op, @whatukthinks looks at pulibc opiunino about the trade-off UK faces between maximising its freedom to make its own decisions versus maximising its ease of access to the EU single market. You can read it if you want to know what it says. 21/25
Now @p_surridge says Tory elec coalition more divided on econ than on social issues. If the government were to move a little to the left on economics, the danger for Labour of diagnosing their fragmentation primarily in terms of the social dimension will be even greater. 22/25
Then @ProfTimBale raises prospect of Tory divisions on whether to extend transition. But PM may hold coaltion together. Labour needs to realise it has to be more than a union-based pressure group for the poor, public sector and the ‘woke’. I don't know what woke means. 23/25
Last but not least @matt_bevington says Brexit will not be most important issue for future of the EU. The major policy conflicts ultimately come down to the shifting balance of burden-sharing between member states on diff policy issues, from migration to fiscal policy. 24/25
Right, that's me done. Read the bleeding report. Here's the link again: ukandeu.ac.uk/wp-content/upl… END, thank God
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