Thread by @ShaneGoldmacher

NEWS w/ @AsteadWesley: A new Warren memo outlines her rivals’ flaws and her path to Super Tuesday and beyond

Lots of details, delegate projections and new swipes at opponents nytimes.com/2020/02/11/us/…

@AsteadWesley The memo, going out to supporters this afternoon, runs nearly 2,000 words.

It foresees a “three-way race” with Biden and Sanders — even as Buttigieg topped her in IA and looks likely to again in NH.
nytimes.com/2020/02/11/us/…

@AsteadWesley NEW: Warren memo projects delegate thresholds in all 165 Super Tuesday congressional seats. Here is who they see above 15% threshold, by CD:

Sanders 98% of CDs
Biden: 96%
Warren: 65%
Bloomberg: 15%
Buttigieg: 6%
Klobuchar: 5% (only MN)

w/ @AsteadWesley
nytimes.com/2020/02/11/us/…

@AsteadWesley After Warren went out of way to avoid direct engagement with rivals this week, her memo does just that.

Memo: "Senator Sanders starts with a ceiling that’s significantly lower than the support he had four years ago" nytimes.com/2020/02/11/us/…

@AsteadWesley More from Warren memo on Sanders: "In New Hampshire, he is on track to receive around half of his 2016 vote share as well. And he hasn’t yet faced the scrutiny of his record that will surely come with any further rise." nytimes.com/2020/02/11/us/…

@AsteadWesley The real question of this Warren memo is if it calms her supporters if she finishes, say, in fourth place tonight in neighboring New Hampshire.

w/ @AsteadWesley
nytimes.com/2020/02/11/us/…