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What will the Earth be like in 2027?

1. Hottest regions uninhabitable
2. Ultra-destructive weather chaos
3. Fresh drinking water scarcity
4. Soil/climate often unfit for crops
5. Cascading ecosystem collapse
6. Irreversible extinction feedbacks

This couldn't be true.

Could it?
Unsurvivable heat will start to strike regions currently inhabited by billions of people between 1.5C and 2C of global warming.

We're heading for 1.5C by 2023-2027.

See this thread based on a range of recent scientific reports:
👇
Already today a billion people are directly facing climate change related hazards (cyclones, floods, bushfires, rising sea levels).

But this is nothing compared to highly dangerous 1.5C- 2C which we'll face from 2023-2026 onwards.vice.com/en_asia/articl…
Water Scarcity:

4 billion people already suffer water scarcity 1 month of the year

'climate change will exacerbate water scarcity even further' in most regions

sciencedirect.com/topics/earth-a…
'By 2025, it is estimated that around 5 billion people, out of a total population of around 8 billion, will be living in countries experiencing water stress..'

This is from 1999. Global warming is proceeding far more rapidly than expected 20 years ago. ⚠️sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
For crop failures, ecosystem collapse and feedbacks:

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More from @ClimateBen see all

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Ben See
@ClimateBen
Remember:

🇧🇭 Bahrain
🇧🇩 Bangladesh
🇮🇶 Iraq
🇯🇴 Jordan
🇰🇼 Kuwait
🇲🇻 Maldives
🇲🇭 Marshall Islands
🇲🇷 Mauritania
🇴🇲 Oman
🇶🇦 Qatar
🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia
🇸🇨 Seychelles
🇸🇴 Somalia
🇸🇩 Sudan
🇸🇾 Syria
🇦🇪 United Arab Emirates
🇻🇳 Vietnam
🇾🇪 Yemen

will all start to become uninhabitable by 2035.
The Middle East and North Africa are set to become 'so hot that human habitability is compromised' at 1.5°C - 1.9°C of global warming (between 2024 and 2037).

As well as hot weather extremes, desert dust storms could also make some regions uninhabitable.
link.springer.com/article/10.100…
'At 2C, parts of southwest Asia, including well-populated regions of the Persian Gulf and Yemen, may become literally uninhabitable'

👇
e360.yale.edu/features/what_…

We're set to hit 2C by 2029 - 2041, with 2035 looking increasingly likely.

Unsurvivable heat waves will soon be here.
Read 8 tweets
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Ben See
@ClimateBen
Feel reassured?

1. IPCC reports warn that highly dangerous climate tipping points 'can happen between 1.8F (1C) and 3.6F (2C)'.

2. We're already in the danger zone now at 2.4F (1.3C).

3. Risks posed by tipping points are NOT part of any economic analysis of climate policies.
4. United States, China, Russia, Saudi Arabia, India, Canada, Australia and other countries plan to produce 120 percent more fossil fuels by 2030.

5. 'No amount of economic cost-benefit analysis is going to help us now that we face an existential threat to civilization'.
6. 'Governments depend heavily on the advice of economists, but with few exceptions the profession has done humanity a huge disservice by ignoring climate change in their research and scholarship..Only a fraction of articles and papers in economics journals discuss climate change
Read 5 tweets
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Ben See
@ClimateBen
Southern Vietnam will be underwater by 2035.
Global maps for multiple scenarios and elevation datasets by Climate Central.

'improved elevation data indicate far greater global threats from sea level rise and coastal flooding than previously thought'

sealevel.climatecentral.org/maps/
NYT reported this as cities erased by 2050, but you can see for yourself using the interactive map (previous tweet) how land is actually submerged between 2030 - 2040.

A recent The World Bank report showed Bangkok, capital of Thailand, underwater by 2030.nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Read 4 tweets

Related threads

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💧simon holmes à court
@simonahac
👇THREAD on @ScottMorrisonMP and #climate

no doubt the prime minister will have noticed the shift in the public mood, and the media, around climate change.

“climate and the environment” is literally top of mind.

afr.com/politics/feder…
morrison can implore us not to discuss climate change while the country is on fire, but as the fire chiefs have tried to tell him, we have months of fires ahead of us — this is the new normal.

unless australia gets a lucky break, this fire season is morrison’s "port arthur".
if @ScottMorrisonMP seeks to be a great PM, he needs to rapidly pivot to real #climate leadership — meaningful words and meaningful deeds.

to be meaningful:
Read 8 tweets
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Steve Faktor
@ideafaktory
With brand new epilogue: Dear Greta.

#climate #climatechange ideafaktory.com/cannibal/
#ClimateChange thread

The most sober & pragmatic analysis I've seen is from Citi, showing the benefits of clean solutions outweigh costs.

But that's the business side.

Sadly, the political rhetoric is now unhinged, exaggerated, irresponsible hysteria.

theguardian.com/environment/cl…
1) Greta says "people are dying". Not exactly. Deaths from natural disasters have plummeted over past 100 years.

2) Greta says capitalism is the problem when its driven down pollution by subbing gas for oil/coal, driven innovation lowering solar, wind, battery & other alt costs.
Read 26 tweets
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World Health Organization (WHO)
@WHO
💧💧💧💧💧
Water is life, yet 1 in 3 people globally do not have access to safe drinking water🚰bit.ly/2L1GKl3 #WWWeek
@WHO_Europe @WHOAFRO @WHOWPRO @pahowho @WHOEMRO @WHOSEARO Globally, at least 2 billion people use a drinking water source 🚰 contaminated with 💩.
Those left behind without safe water suffer the worst health consequences.
bit.ly/2umpywM #WWWeek
@WHO_Europe @WHOAFRO @WHOWPRO @pahowho @WHOEMRO @WHOSEARO By 2025, half of the world’s population will be living in water-stressed areas.

Cholera recurs again and again where people are left behind without safe water 💧

bit.ly/2umpywM

#WWWeek
Read 4 tweets
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Peter Gleick
@PeterGleick
1/5 A thread:
There is a severe and growing #climate and #water disaster in India.
Delhi just saw its highest ever June temperature of 48C. Churu, Rajasthan saw highs of 50.8C, making it the hottest place on earth.

theguardian.com/world/2019/jun…
2/5
 Hundreds of Indian villages have evacuated as historic drought forces abandonment of homes in search of water. 80% of districts in Karnataka & 72% in Maharashtra are suffering drought & crop failure. Violent conflicts are growing between the two states over shared #water.
3/5
 In Beed, India clean drinking #water is gone. There’s not have enough water to wash clothes, clean dishes, or flush toilets. Hospitals are filling up with people suffering from dehydration and water-related sickness from drinking contaminated water.
Read 5 tweets
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Carl Meyer
@ottawacarl
Scientists are once again warning about #climate armageddon. Thousands vetted the best science out there. More extinction, death and disease is in store if we don't act fast.

But I think we should focus on something uncomfortable: for many people, this is meaningless. /1
Let’s be clear: the IPCC report is a tour de force. Over 90 scientists spent years writing it, based on over 6,000 peer reviews. It says the planetary warming ALREADY caused “will persist for centuries to millennia.” It says we’re not acting fast enough to cut pollution. /2
The report adds to the vast global scientific consensus, based on an overwhelming body of evidence, that we’re pushing the planet into DANGEROUS and destructive warming conditions, by burning fossil fuels at industrial scales, and dumping carbon pollution into the air. /3
Read 12 tweets
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Lars Pellinat
@Lars9596
@cjjacobsJacobs @CDU @JuliaKloeckner @annewill 1. Various questions need to be asked:
a) Is the #earth getting warmer? Answer Yes (but was ven warmer in the past)
b) Human impact on climate (CO2)? A: Yes, but science differ on size of impact.
@cjjacobsJacobs @CDU @JuliaKloeckner @annewill 2.
c) #Germany produces 2% of all CO2 - So if we all live in tents tomorrow & only ride bicycles will it make a big difference? A: No, but the Chinese & Americans won't stop laughing!
#AnneWill #Klimawandel #ClimateChange
@cjjacobsJacobs @CDU @JuliaKloeckner @annewill 3.
So I like a debate on points a) to c) purely based on #science (and "a consensus of paid lobbyscientists" is not science, but politics) & come up with workable solutions.
PS: Currently #China produces around 26% of all man-made CO2.
Read 7 tweets

Trending hashtags

#climatebrawl #Germany #ccc #climatecrisis #𝐂𝐥𝐢𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐧𝐠𝐞 #Science #DopplerOnWheel #Will #climatechange #Edmonton #schoolshooting #AnneWill #stvisuals #Dematerialization #cop25madrid #WhoWouldWinShow #Pan #MAGA #Yemen #economics #GlobalWarmingHoax #ParisAgreement #TMX #ice #MAR
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