I’d add that insurers *may* lack the money to pay claims if 40% of the US gets it and 20% is hospitalized.
We may get two systems:
1) Basic care: universal vaccines and treatments funded with printed money
2) Premium care: pure cash system for everything else
Just like default rates spiked simultaneously, millions of people become sick at the same time.
And all the policies become due at once.
I doubt that insurers have budgeted for this insurance pandemic. Worth looking into.
Two bits
1) Chinese state is subsidizing costs exceeding policy amounts
2) State regulators *have* done some stress testing of pandemics, worth digging into this
content.naic.org/cipr_topics/to…