LATEST on #Russia/n policy activity (possibly) related to #NagornoKarabakh:
1. Contacts increase w/ #Iran over last couple of days. IRN ambassador in #Moscow twice hosted by #Lavrov's deputies: officially - one time to discuss #Syria, Gulf, the other - Eurasian Economic Union.
2. #UAE's Crown prince Mohammed bin Zayed called #Putin yesterday. #Kremlin's presser says the two focused on "Middle East settlement and cooperation on #COVID19" (Emiraties now testign #Russia/n Sputnik V vaccine).
3. On Oct. 11 Lavrov spoke on the phone w/ @MevlutCavusoglu. The @mfa_russia presser (attached) says Moscow & Ankara noted "need to strictly comply w/ terms of the Joint Statement by Foreign Ministers of #Russia,#Armenia & #Azerbaijan" but I'm guessing #Turkey sees it differently
4. Perhaps, most importantly, a few hours ago Head of #Chechnya Ramzan Kadyrov wrote in his telegram that "4 bandits" who sought to run terrorist attacks in Northern Caucasus were killed in Grozny earlier today. They reportedly came from abroad & were previously spotted in #Syria
Coupled w/ earlier statements from #Russia's foreign intelligence chief Naryshkin, Kadyrov's message may mean #Moscow is gradually building a political, miliary and moral case for its involvement in #NagornoKarabakh

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More from @m_suchkov

7 Oct
#Putin gave an interview yesterday where he spoke at length about #America's #DemocraticParty, his vision for working w/ @JoeBiden, if the latter is elected #POTUS.
Here's a short THREAD:
1."We hear rather sharp anti #Russia/n rhetoric frm #Biden.Sadly,we now used to it.But something worth mentioning.
-Dem Party traditionally closer to so-called liberal values,to Social Dem ideas,if compared to Europe. It was frm Social Dem environment that Communist Party evolved
2."After all,I was a member of Soviet Communist Party for nearly 20 years,more precisely 18 years.
I was a rank-&-file member,but I believed in the party’s ideas.I still like many of these left-wing values.Equality and fraternity. What is bad about them?.."
Read 20 tweets
1 Oct
THREAD: #Russia-#Turkey interaction over #NagornoKarabakh getting uneasy. After #Moscow turned down #Ankara’s proposal to set up #Syria-type format for Karabakh (#KarabakhAstana) @MevlutCavusoglu told #Lavrov cease-fire not gonna happen until #Armenia leaves occupied Azeri areas Image
Earlier, I forecasted 👇 that #Turkey's ultimate goal in this war was not to fight anyone but get a new deal with #Russia. It was obvious from @RTErdogan's criticism of Minsk OSCE group performance on #Karabakh. Bu the devil is in details & here they are
1.#Turkey's position - to support #Azerbaijan - meant to disguise its interest - to extend its influence in #Caucasus.
Turkey hopscotching crises -#Greece/#Cyprus,#Libya,#Syria now Karabakh to increase its capitalization in the market of regional powers w/ great power ambitions
Read 20 tweets
27 Sep
#Turkey emgages in yet another international fight - this time in the South Caucasus. And as in #Syria & #Libya its position is contrary to that of #Russia. Big time challenges for #Moscow - #Ankara relationship ahead. Again.
dailysabah.com/politics/diplo…
#Turkey's President #Erdogan on the conflict in Nagorno Karabakh: "#Armenia has demonstrated yet again that it remains single biggest threat to peace & stability in the region."
#Azerbaijan President Aliev: Early in the morning #Armenia used different weapons & heavy artillery to shell several of our settlements, we have some casualties. May Allah lay to rest souls of the martyrs, we'll revenge for their blood.This is manifestation of Armenian fascism"
Read 8 tweets
24 Sep
In 1987 young businessman
@realDonaldTrump took his second wife Ivana to Leningrad, Soviet Union.
Saucy & stylish, #Trump sought to negotiate construction of Trump hotel(s) in what is now called the city of St. Petersburg. Image
#Trump failed to reach a deal on the hotel but made critical remarks on USSR & its then leader Mikhail Gorbachev:in his interview with Playboy magazine he
called the Soviet system "disaster" predicted a soon revolution in the country & said Gorbachev was just too weak as a leader
While #Trump was chilling & eyeing business opportunities in #Putin's native Leningrad, future #Russia/n President would be in his 2nd year as a Soviet intelligence officer in GDR, stationed in Dresden under the cover of a director of the USSR-GDR friendship cultural center. Image
Read 4 tweets
22 Sep
#Russia's President #Putin delivered a pre-recorded video address to the 75th anniversary session of #UNGA
Here're some key points: Image
1/ Victory over Nazis helped construct post-war world order,lay out 5 principles:
- equality of sovereign states;
- non-interference w/ domestic affairs;
-the right of peoples to determine their own future;
- non-use of force or threat of force;
- political settlement of disputes
2/ Despite criticism:
-UN instrumental in protecting peace,promoting development,providing assistance in mitigating local crises;
-UN potential is"enormous",expertise is "relevant"
-UN should adapt to modern world realia that's getting more complicated,multipolar,multidimensional
Read 18 tweets
7 Sep
What’s wrong with this picture of #Serbia's President Aleksandar Vučić visit to @WhiteHouse & how it triggered scandal in #Russia-Serbia relations
SHORT THREAD Image
1.@realDonaldTrump notorious for breaching protocol to (1) raise his own profile with foreign leaders
(2) establish psychologically assymetric relationship of “superior – subordinate”
(3) make counterparts feel like the very meeting w/ US President is some kind of privilege
2.The protocol implies
(a) 2 presidents should sit in front of each other,have equal access to the table (Vučić sitting farther from the table,can’t put his hands/papers on it)
(b) talks should take place in a neutral setting,ideally some negotiations room,not presidential office
Read 15 tweets

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