Jeff Seldin Profile picture
9 Mar, 44 tweets, 26 min read
Happening now: @INDOPACOM Commander, Adm Phil Davidson testifying before the Senate Armed Services Committee
.@INDOPACOM "laser focused" on @SecDef Lloyd Austin's top 5 priorities, starting w/#COVID19

"We also remain deeply focused on cultivating a safe environment for our DoD professionals...to fulfill their oath to the Constitution" he says
"We must also work to eliminate sexual assault, sexual harassment, racism & extremism, which have no place within our ranks" per @INDOPACOM's Davidson "Such abhorrent behaviors are inconsistent w/our values & the principles we are sworn to defend"
"The Indo-Pacific is the most consequential region for America's future & remains the #UnitedStates' priority theater" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson, pointing to #China #Russia #NorthKorea & violent extremist groups
"The Indo-pacific region also experiences frequent natural & man-made disasters" per per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson "The negative impacts of climate change, rapid population growth, drug & human trafficking, & of course disease & pandemics"
NEW: @INDOPACOM Commander, Adm Phil Davidson calls #China "the greatest long-term strategic threat to security in the 21st century"
"#China pernicious approach tot he region includes a whole of party effort to coerce, corrupt & collapse governments, businesses, organizations & the ppl of the IndoPacific" charges @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson
"The military balance in the Indo-Pacific is becoming more unfavorable for the #UnitedStates & our allies" per @INDOPACOM's Davidson
"W/this imbalance, we are accumulating risk that may embolden #China to unilaterally change the status quo before our forces may be able to deliver an effective response" per @INDOPACOM's Davidson
"The greatest danger the #UnitedStates & our allies face in the region is the erosion of conventional deterrence vis a vis the People's Republic of #China" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson
"Absent a convincing deterrent, #China will be emboldened to continue to take action to supplant the established rules-based int' order & the values represented in our vision for a free & open Indo-Pacific" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson
"Our deterrence posture in the Indo-Pacific must demonstrate the capability, the capacity & the will to convince #Beijing unequivocally the cost of achieving their objectives by the use of military force are simply too high" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson
"Indeed, we must be doing everything possible to deter conflict" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson "But we absolutely must be prepared to fight & win should competition turn to conflict"
.@INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson praises the Pacific Deterrence Initiative - PDI
If any of what @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson is telling SASC sounds familiar, it's because he and other INDOPACOM officials have been saying it for weeks...

voanews.com/east-asia-paci…
"I think the Pacific Deterrence Initiative funded in FY 21 for about $2.2 billion was a good start" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson
US allies, partners responding well to PDI

"Our allies & partners in the region are looking for the surety that the #UnitedStates is a reliable partner in the region & is here to stay" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson
@INDOPACOM Multilateral efforts to counter #China?

"I'm quite encouraged by the potential power of an organization like the Quad might bring" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson, referring to US, #India, #Australia & #Japan

"That's a diamond of democracies..."
#China planning to increase 6.8% defense budget for the next fiscal year, per @SenatorWicker, who asks "we're not prepared to match that, are we?"

@INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson: "Nor from what I've heard so far"
US ability to defend #Taiwan - "Our conventional deterrence is actually eroding in the region" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson
#China #disinformation

"China has a vast disinformation machine" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson "They use regular media & social media & have nearly a million ppl in their propaganda machine"
#China's aim is to "corrupt the environment in a way that creates doubt in our allies & partners in the reliability of the #UnitedStates" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson
"#Russia in the region acts like much more like a spoiler" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson "They look to deny the visions of others & are very active as well especially in the diplomatic space but in the social media"
"We see the same kind of effect that the rest of the globe has seen from the #Russia|ns machine" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson
To counter, Adm Davidson says @INDOPACOM works w/@StateDept "on the kind of messaging that would reinforce what the #UnitedStates does in the region &, as opposed to providing disinformation, would highlight the ills that others have in the region"
"#Disinformation is part of the new geostrategic fabric that is making the competition so difficult" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson

Empowering the inter-agency to push back "critically important"
#Guam

"I'm a key advocate for a consistent, foxed, 360 degree air & missile defense that would be capable of meeting cruise missile threats ballistic missile threats" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson
"The structure that's out there right now, the #THAAD radar, is not capable of meeting the current trajectory of threats from #China" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson

re #Guam
"We all have to understand, #Guam is US territory" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson "We have 170,00 US citizens living on Guam. Their defense is homeland defense"
"#Guam is a target today. It needs to be defended" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson, noting #China propaganda video which showed Chinese bombers attacking
#Aegis Ashore is a system that would work - "delivers the kind of capabilities that are needed here by mid-decade" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson
"We have to demonstrate that any ambition #China might have & any threat it might put forth toward #Guam will come at cost" @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson, saying Aegis Ashore would help "prevent a cheap shot"
"A wider base of long-range precision fires...is critically important to stabilizing what is becoming a more unstable environment in the western Pacific" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson "We've got to have offensive capabilities to cause any adversary to think twice"
.@INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson says the missiles need to be ground based, too, not just sea & air
#China "They've quadrupled their nuclear capabilities since the run of the century & they will at least double it during the course of this decade" warns @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson
After asking if #China #Russia can achieve nuclear "overmatch" vs the US, @SenTomCotton says, "It is very hard work to win an arms race but it is much better to win an arms race than to lose a war"
US still has superiority in submarines and must "sustain that advantage" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson
NEW: "I worry they're accelerating their ambitions to supplant the #UnitedStates" before 2050, per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson

"#Taiwan is clearly one of their ambitions before then, & I think the threat is manifest during this decade, in fact during the next 6 years"
At @INDOPACOM HQ, "we've already conducted the stand down" ordered by @SecDef to address extremism, per Adm Davidson "We came together not only to have the leadership discuss what our expectations are...but also to bring in other experts" inclu @FBI joint terrorism task force
"We're going to have to continue to communicate on this with the force to make sure that our expectations are well known" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson
#China "developing systems, capabilities & a posture that would indicate they are interested in aggression" per @INDOPACOM's Davidson

"What they've committed in their nearest abroad -#HongKong, Line of Actual Control, #Xinjiang, the kind of pressure they're putting on #Tibet.."
Former @DefenseIntel chief, LtGen Robert Ashley assessment of #China and nukes from May 2019
"It takes our continued support" for #Taiwan to ensure no invasion from #China, per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson "Key to that is consistent & persistent arms sales to Taiwan in order for them to continue their capability going forward"
Thoughts from @US_Stratcom Commander, Adm. Charles Richard...
usni.org/magazines/proc…

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More from @jseldin

8 Mar
NEW: "We're pleased" says @PentagonPresSec on US-#SouthKorea reaching consensus on cost-sharing deal for US troops

Says the deal will "strengthen our alliance & our shared defense"
"The effort we have applied ... underscores the level of importance " of the US-#SouthKorea relationship, per @PentagonPresSec
"Military readiness on the peninsula is always a high priority" per @PentagonPresSec, noting upcoming training events
Read 14 tweets
2 Mar
NEW: #India-#China "will continue to be a sore spot" given the recent tensions, @INDOPACOM Intelligence Director Rear Adm. Michael Studeman tells @AFCEA

"We have a temporary, tactical reduction in tensions" he says, but strategic tensions remain
#Burma #Myanmar - democracy has been "hijacked and derailed"per @INDOPACOM's RADM Studeman

"We can expect the Burmese military...will try to maintain total control"
#Thailand - "We can't forget there's a certain degree of instability" per @INDOPACOM's RADM Studeman, noting protests there
Read 14 tweets
2 Mar
NEW: "Lone actors whether they're homegrown violent extremists or domestic violent extremists is a real threat, because a) it's so pervasive" @FBI Dir Christoper Wray tells lawmakers "But b) because ... it makes it that much harder for us to get in front of it"
"What we desperately need is more & more situations where members of the public who know that person, who see the transformation, who see things starting to change...those people to speak up" per @FBI's Wray
"The good news, if there's any good news in this, is that we are seeing that more & more in this country" per @FBI's Wray "We've had lots of people, as heartbreaking as it must be, turn in family members when they see this transformation"
Read 7 tweets
2 Mar
NEW: Top Republican on the House Foreign Affairs Committee says @US4AfghanPeace Zalmay Khalilzad will ask the #Taliban to extend the May 1 deadline to withdraw US forces from #Afghanistan

per @voadariafghan @voapashto
"He's going to ask to amend the agreement to comply with terms to accept the US presence after May 1st" @RepMcCaul tells @voadariafghan @voapashto

@US4AfghanPeace will also "hopefully amend the agreement to apply to the violence against the civilian population & the Afghan Army"
The current US-#Taliban agreement just prohibited attacks on US forces - "and so while they did comply w/that, they killed Afghan civilians & Afghan military with impunity" @RepMcCaul tells @voadariafghan @voapashto of #Taliban's actions
Read 4 tweets
1 Mar
NEW: The biggest threat to US in the Indo-Pacific is "the erosion of conventional deterrence vis a vis #China" @INDOPACOM Commander, Adm Phil Davidson
tells @AFCEA TechNet Indo-Pacific conference
"We must convince #Beijing that the cost to achieve its objectives by military force is simply too high" per @INDOPACOM's Adm Davidson
MORE from @INDOPACOM Commander, Adm Phillip Davidson on #China threat

"The greatest danger we face in the Indo-Pacific is the erosion of conventional deterrence vis a vis China" he told @AFCEA, calling the statement a "fundamental truth"
Read 7 tweets
1 Mar
NEW: @SecDef Lloyd Austin convening 1st meeting of the #China Task Force

Per @PentagonPresSec, meeting involves 20 top military & civilians leaders, intel officials

Goal is to "formalize the mission, timing & outputs", he says "Much of their findings will be classified"
More on the #China Task Force here:
voanews.com/usa/biden-pent…
NEW: @DeptofDefense assessment on strike vs site in #Syria used by #Iran backed militias killed so far finds 1 militia member likely killed, 2 wounded, per @PentagonPresSec
Read 16 tweets

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