Duo Nine ⚡ YCC Profile picture
Feb 21, 2022 18 tweets 26 min read Read on X
1/ I just read #KuCoin's 2021 Annual Report and 2022 Forecast on the Crypto Industry.

Here are my key takeaways, a thread. 🧵

Lets go! 👇👇👇

#DeFI / #NFT / #DAO / #Stablescoins / #Memecoins / #Risks Image
2/ #BTC and #ETH remain the undisputed market leaders.

🔸BTC was the best performing major asset in 2021
🔹ETH has also been gaining traction as a store of value

ETH becoming deflationary is a big change (pictured).

More on ETH next 👇 Image
3/ #ETH Gas Fees

ETH network occupancy rate was over 98% in 2021 (pictured)!

This is close to its resource critical point leading to high gas fees / the scaling problem.

#DeFI ecosystem is limited by the performance of ETH.

ETH2.0 is expected in 2022. Next, #shitcoins 👇 Image
4/ Best #shitcoins to watch in 2022:

🔹49 / 100 top projects on CMC are underlying ecosystem projects.

Top ecosystem coins:

👉 #ETH, #Binance Smart Chain (BSC), #Polygon, #Cadano, #Cosmos, #Terra, #Polkadot, #Kusama, #Solana, #Flow, #Algorand, #NEAR

Next, #memecoins👇 Image
5/ #Memecoins

#Dogecoin & #Shiba topped the list in 2021.

Memecoins have yuuuge / unlimited tokens in circulation (1st red flag), can be purchased for cents on the dollar (2nd red flag) and rely on branding/herd mentality - look mom, I am a #frognation member!

Avoid. Next 👇 Image
6/ Permanent Blockchain Storage

Surprised to see #Arweave featured in the report.

It is a revolutionary blockchain storage platform focused on PERMANENT storage.

Keep an eye on this (buy it on #KuCoin/#Binance).

Next, decentralization 👇 Image
7/ #Decentralization - key point for #DeFI

Validating nodes ranking:

1️⃣ #ETH - 3.7 million nodes (sexy)
2️⃣ #SOL - 1,375 (meh)
3️⃣ #AVAX - 1,203 (meh)
4️⃣ #Terra - 130 (WTF)
5️⃣ #BinanceSC - 21 active nodes (WTF, RUN)

Next, transactions 👇 Image
8/ Transactions/s or tps

1️⃣ #SOL - 3,290 (ok)
2️⃣ #Terra - 1,000 (ok)
3️⃣ #AVAX - 300 (meh)
4️⃣ #BinanceSC - 75 (WTF, RUN)
5️⃣ #ETH - 14 (meh, at least this is decentralized!)

ETH2.0 can be expected to reach 100,000 tps.

More on #DeFI next. 👇 Image
9/ #DeFI stats

🔹Increase to >$100 bil in 2021!

🔹#DeFI lending & #DEX exchanges account for approximately 90% of the whole DeFI (by TLV)

🔸DeFI has extended to #NFT, #GameFi, #SocialFi, but it is attracting regulators now...

Top #DeFI platforms next 👇 Image
10/ Top #DeFI platforms:

🔹Lending ($40 bil): #Maker, #Aave & #Compound dominate
🔹DEX ($20 bil): #Uniswap, #Sushiswap & #Curve
🔹Derivatives ($3 bil): #SNX, #DYDX, #Nexus

Beyond 2022 - combining DeFI with NFT + Play to Earn (#PTE) + #SocialFI+ #GameFI

Next, stablecoins 👇 Image
11/ #Stablecoins - at risk of regulation!

Centralized (at risk):

#USDT ($80 bil) - risky
#USDC ($52 bil) - ok
#BUSD ($18 bil) - meh

Decentralized:

#UST ($12 bil) - meh, artificial growth
#DAI ($10 bil) - ok
#FRAX ($2.6 bil) - ok
#LUSD ($0.7 bil) - ok

NFTs next 👇 Image
12/ #NFT / #Metaverse - industry giants are getting in big

🔹The greatest single-day NFT trading volume in 2021: $570 mil (Nice #FOMO!)

🔹NFT users went from 193k at the start of 2021 to 1,3 mil (717% increase)

#DAOs next or Decentralized Autonomous Organizations 👇 Image
13/ #DAOs

🔹They are open, fair and secure, based on blockchain technology and decentralized. Easy to set up

🔹 #Vitalik (ETH founder) first mentioned DAOs in 2013

🔹Almost all decentralized projects can be called DAOs, such as #Bitcoin and #Ethereum

Types of DAOs next 👇 Image
14/ Types of DAOs:

🔹Protocol DAOs (#Uniswap, #Compound, #Sushi, #MakerDAO)
🔹Investment DAO (Yield Guild Games - play to earn)
🔹Social DAOs (Friends with Benefits)
🔹NFT collectible DAOs
🔹Media DAOs (#Forefront, #Bankless, and #DarkStar)
🔹Service DAOs

Risks next 👇 Image
15/ Security risks in crypto:

1️⃣ Oracle attacks = price manipulation
2️⃣ Flash loan attacks = buy low, sell high manipulation
3️⃣ Cross-chain attack = siphoning funds / stealing
4️⃣ Free airdrops = enter your email & wallet keys to get it! #Recked 🤣

Best crypto audit firms 👇
16/ Security & Privacy:

🔹Best crypto audit firms: #CertiK and #SlowMist

🔸Coin mixer (on #ETH): Tornado.cash - popular with hackers, scammers to cover their tracks

More next 👇 Image
17/ If you liked this thread, #retweet the first post to get more of this content in the future! 😍

Stay in touch + follow:

Discord: bit.ly/3n2gng0
TradingView: bit.ly/3FUjwHj
YouTube: bit.ly/3p8vPdf
Newsletter: bit.ly/3BuXf13
18/ Link to #KuCoin's full report where you can also download it.

Thanks for reading! 🤩

businesswire.com/news/home/2022…

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More from @DU09BTC

Apr 9
🚨 There is a hidden war on Solana between big players.

Users have no clue, but the consequence of that are endless failed transactions!

There is only so much space available and the ones with the bigger guns win.

Here's what they don't tell you. A thread (1/10). 🧵 Image
2/ Big players on Solana are at war. How?

They DDOS each other for block space priority.

The victims of this war are Solana users. You can't get your transaction confirmed because big players take up all that space for themselves to come on top.

Here's how they wage war. 👇 Image
3/ A specific Solana wallet can be attacked by spamming it from +100 different bot wallets.

You DDOS it every second with the smallest Solana unit = a Lamport or 0.000000001 SOL!

What happens next will surprise you. 👇 Image
Read 11 tweets
Apr 2
🧵 Issuing $100 mil DAI to farm USDe is one thing, issuing billions is asking to get hurt.

Why does MakerDAO plan to risk it and mint $1 bil DAI to farm Ethena yields?

Can DAI depeg when USDe inevitably falls under $1?

A bold move or something else? A thread (1/20). 👇
2/ This post was inspired by AAVE Chan founder @lemiscate who raised the alarm.

TLRD: He's right. MakerDAO actions are reckless and fueled by greed.

But if you take a closer look at the risks for DAI, a new image emerges. 👇

3/ MakerDAO is printing free cash right now, at your expense, of course.

They issued 100 mil DAI which can only be accessed by borrowing it against USDe/sUSDe collateral.

At a HUGE costs for users & mega profits for Maker - 66% APY on 100 mil!

What's really happening here? Image
Read 21 tweets
Feb 20
1/ What Ethena has built is impressive & hard. A short 🧵

The reason every big name is on board is the opportunity for profits.

For every perpetual long in crypto, Ethena will be the counterparty farming the ETH funding rates you pay.

A day after launch, USDe TVL is $300 mil Image
2/ Ethena is impressive due to its scale, complexities required and parties involved, but also benefits.

USDe is a synthetic stable 100% backed by a delta neutral ETH position farming yields:

50% stETH (spot), 3-6% APY
50% ETH short position, funding rates <30% APY

Nice eh? Image
3/ Exchanges (DEX & CEX) are happy because of all that liquidity & volume & fees.

USDe stakers (sUSDe) are happy because the yield is real.

USDe users are happy because they have a censorship resistant stable + ETH users see prices go up.

But at what risks? Plenty of that. Image
Read 11 tweets
Feb 6
🚨 Are Liquid Staking Tokens (LST) creating a ponzi?

▫️ I stake ETH and get stETH
▫️ I re-stake stETH and get lpETH
▫️ I re-stake lpETH and get xxETH
▫️ ...infinity...

stETH lost its peg vs ETH in the past!

This will turn into a giant crash one day.
Image
Image
You cannot create more value from NOTHING!

Restacking and LST tokens start to sound like ponzinomics to me.

Every cycle of re-stacking is just MORE LEVERAGE on the original asset, i.e. Ethereum!

When the peg WILL be lost, it will be BRUTAL.

Plan for it if you use LST. 100%!
Oh and if you think your ETH is safe in stETH, it's not!

You can lose all your ETH by staking. The risk is real and material.

The bigger this LST bubble gets and the deeper you go in the cycles, the higher your risk of losing it all.

If you value your ETH, don't do LST. 👀
Read 4 tweets
Dec 15, 2023
🧵 The best trader in the world is Jim Simons.

Average yearly return of 66% for 30 years. His Medallion Fund is open only to his staff.

His secret? Mechanical trading using computers and gazillions of data to predict the future.

He lived in 2023 back in 1988. But there's more! Image
2/ To join him you need a degree in computer science, mathematics, physics or statistics.

Out of 300 employees, 100 have a PhD in the above. If you're a Wall Street trader you wont be hired.

In the beginning, he failed as a trader using traditional methods. Image
3/ As a math genius, he knew he could build an algo to beat everyone else and remove emotion from trades.

“If we have enough data, I know we can make predictions.”

His algo works best at $10 bil before returns decline.

Their data set grows by more than 40 terabytes a day. Image
Read 11 tweets
Oct 6, 2023
I've been researching @THORChain

They say you can take loans at:

🔸 0% interest
🔸 no liquidations
🔸 no expiry

What? Here are my findings. A thread. 🧵

(01/16) #RUNE Image
2/ I became intrigued by RUNE pumping after they launched their new lending mechanism.

If their loan terms don't surprise you, then this may:

🔸 They don't even want you to pay back your loan

What's going on here? Red flag or a smart design? Image
3/ Every time you deposit collateral, the lending mechanism uses it to buy RUNE, then sells half to pay you in USD.

Price pumps + they burn RUNE too = less supply

See where this is going?

Note that they LIQUIDATE ALL your collateral!

They don't want you to come back - why? Image
Read 16 tweets

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