Kyle Orton Profile picture
Sep 15 45 tweets 31 min read
Thread: 15 September 2022: Day 204 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
#Russian soldier talking to his wife is somewhat unimpressed with the commanders and even less impressed with the #Chechen Kadyrovtsy, the "Akhmat", who "fucked off (i.e. ran away), the fucking cowards" as the #Ukrainians closed in.
In #Mariupol overnight, #Ukrainians sang the national anthem in Liberation Square, knowing it can get them arrested and worse by the #Russian occupation authorities in the city. A sense that liberation is coming is spreading.
Kirill Stremousov, a #Russian administrator in occupied Kherson in #Ukraine, says "Nazis" are trying to come into the area and "other parts of Russia", and are "prepared to eat our children".
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Ukraine "continue[s] to consolidate their control of newly liberated areas of Kharkiv Oblast". Some Russian units withdrew in good order; others panicked. The abandonment of high-value equipment suggests disorganisation is quite widespread.
Nikita Yuferev, one of the Russian deputies from the Smolninskoye District of Saint Petersburg who called for Putin to be charged with treason on 7 September, refused to back down. His district council will likely be dissolved.
reuters.com/world/europe/r…
"In Russia, pilots of regional flights are being told to carry out aircraft maintenance on their own, says Oleg Bocharov, deputy head of the Russian Ministry of Industry and Trade ... This practice is being introduced to save money" euromaidanpress.com/2022/09/14/rus…
#Ukraine honours the memory of #Britain's Queen Elizabeth II, signing artillery shells in her honour.

Do check out @SignMyRocket to send your own message to the #Russians. All proceeds go to helping the Ukrainians evict the occupiers.
Yevgeny Prigozhin, during his recruitment visit for "Wagner" (GRU) to a #Russian prison, told prisoners sent to the front they'll be executed if they do not fight and implored them not to rape "local women, flora [plants], fauna [animals], men, whoever." thetimes.co.uk/article/wagner…
#Russia deployed virtually its entire Army to #Ukraine, and, after it was mauled, they're now recruiting reservists and prisoners, but Eberhard Zorn, the head of #Germany's Army, believes Moscow could launch attacks in the Baltics or Georgia. Delusional.
Another crazily large stash of #Russian equipment left behind and captured by #Ukraine in Balakliya.
Oleksiy Danilov, Secretary of the @NSDC_ua, said: "For every one of our fallen soldiers, there were nine or ten Russians" killed during the Kharkiv counteroffensive. Usually "you expend much more during offensive [operations] than ... defense" nv.ua/ukr/ukraine/po…
An former collaborationist official in Kupyansk in the Kharkiv Oblast of #Ukraine, interviewed in Belgorod, was told two days before the #Russians fled that they would never leave. "Now I'm worried for [the other traitors] in Kherson and Zaporizhzhia". theguardian.com/world/2022/sep…
#pt: The Russians insisted "they were there to stay for ever" and some tried either "to cooperate or simply try to live quietly". But "evidence emerging from the newly retaken territories indicates that Russian troops regularly used violence to put down any local dissent".
Having previously said #Germany is stocked with Nazis and zealot nationalists, Vladimir Solovyov now attacks Ursula von der Leyen for speaking English, apparently a sign that she is really just a puppet of the Anglo-Saxons.
Important note from someone who visited #Izyum. It might well be that the death toll from #Russia's occupation in #Kharkiv is larger (it lasted six times longer) but the murders seem lower in scale and systematism than what happened around Kyiv in March.
Further moves in #Ukraine against #China, particularly its influence-peddling and infiltration.
#Ukraine's General Staff says in a statement today that four of #Russia's jets (three Su-25s and an Su-24) were brought down over Ukrainian territory; does not say where or when. facebook.com/GeneralStaff.u…
Vladimir Solovyov a little bit slow off the mark: #Russia has already put together this Coalition of Rogues, for all the good it has done them.
#Ukraine's State Bureau of Investigation has arrested two collaborators in Izyum who were working with #Russia's "law-enforcement" agency and a tax collector for the occupiers has been arrested in Kupyansk. All three will be charged with treason. t.me/DBRgovua/2759
Fourth time #Russia's ruler, Vladimir Putin, has met #Iran's president Ebrahim Raisi this year. Since the attempt to eradicate #Ukraine began, all pretence this is not a strategic alliance have been cast aside.
#pt: The commitment of #Russia to the alliance with #Iran is very long-standing and goes back to Soviet times. The belief in #Israel and elsewhere that there was some exploitable daylight between them has always been mad. See this from 2018: kyleorton.substack.com/p/why-putins-r…
#pt: Also see this essay on the #Russia/#Soviet involvement in the Islamic Revolution in #Iran: it was the KGB-run Communists who worked alongside the Islamists to bring down the Shah and then helped the clerical regime construct its security apparatus. meforum.org/62821/whither-…
A "court" in #Russia has revoked the website licence for Novaya Gazeta, a further blow to what was left of the independent media - @AFP
#Russia has set repeated "red lines", and done exactly nothing when #NATO has run over them, because it is not capable of doing anything.
Leonid Pasechnik, the "Head" of #Russia's puppet entity in eastern #Ukraine, the "Luhansk People's Republic", says the Ukrainians have swept through Kharkiv and arrived on the Luhansk Oblast's borders, but: "There is no reason to panic". Sure.
Tucker Carlson continues with relentless #Russian propaganda.
Shows how ideological the #Biden people are: the path of least resistance, demonstrated in practice, is to keep on with what has worked and let #Ukraine finish this decisively so we don't have to go through all this with #Russia again. But no.
The cats and dogs of the #Ukrainian military have their own account, incidentally: @UAarmy_animals
At their first meeting since Feb. 24 in Samarkand, Uzbekistan, #Putin thanked Xi Jinping for #China's "balanced position" on the war to eradicate #Ukraine. Xi said the CCP was happy to work with #Russia as one of the "great powers". bbc.co.uk/news/world-asi…
#Turkey's ruler Recep Tayyip Erdogan has met #Azerbaijan's ruler Ilham Aliyev, amid the flare-up between the Azeris and #Armenia.
There is some evidence against this ...
#Putin's warlord-president of #Chechnya Ramzan Kadyrov is encouraging regional leaders in #Russia to self-mobilise to raise troops in #Ukraine.
#Ukraine has reported its first case of #monkeypox.
"Wagner"/GRU 'Grey Zone' channel admits: most #Ukrainians, born in a state independent of #Russia, see this as a "holy war" against a foreign attacker, leading to a "consolidation of society", while in Russia the purpose of the war is not understood. t.me/grey_zone/15037
Interestingly, says, "No matter how anti-Communist I am", has to be conceded the Soviet elites were involved in and made "personal sacrifices" for their policies. "Now there is no such unity ... only a few" in the Russian elite risk anything in this war.
Igor Girkin can see the use of prisoners as soldiers in extremis, but thinks that to manage them requires martial law and full mobilisation to provide the right framework for dealing with them, otherwise it will only exacerbate the discipline issues.

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More from @KyleWOrton

Sep 14
Thread: 14 September 2022: Day 203 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update notes the confirmation that #Russia is using #Iran's Shahed-136 drones, which have a range of 1,500 miles and were used in the attack on the MT MERCER STREET merchant tanker on 3 July 2021. Seems Moscow is using them for tactical strikes, not long-range.
Talk in #Georgia of opening a second front while #Russia is tied down in #Ukraine to liberate the occupied areas in Abkhazia and South Ossetia.

If you want to challenge for Russian-protected territories, now is the moment. (See also: #Azerbaijan.)
Read 59 tweets
Sep 13
Thread: 13 September 2022: Day 202 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia's 1st Guards Tank Army (1 GTA), "one of the most prestigious" units, operating under the Western Military District, "had not been fully reconstituted" before #Ukraine began the #Kharkiv counter-offensive; has now suffered further "heavy" losses. Image
#Russia "recently requested to purchase ammunition for its Uragan rocket artillery from #Tajikistan, along with shells for Pion howitzers and armored personnel carrier (APC) engines." yahoo.com/now/moscow-see…
Read 40 tweets
Sep 12
Thread: 12 September 2022: Day 201 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia is gone from #Kharkiv & "struggling to bring sufficient reserves" to reinforce #Kherson, where an "improvised floating bridge" started two weeks ago is unfinished and #Ukraine is hitting the Dnipro River crossings faster than they can be repaired
Great moving map shows the stark difference over six months, between March, when #Russia was at its height in terms of territory held in #Ukraine, and yesterday
Read 48 tweets
Sep 11
Thread: 11 September 2022: Day 200 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Ukraine has "continued to make significant gains in the Kharkiv region" over the last 24 hours. Also notes that #Putin has lied about exports of grain from Ukraine.
#Putin's warlord-president of #Chechnya, Ramzan Kayrov, coping very hard and threatening further conquests in #Ukraine. Interestingly, this comes after Kadyrov appeared to say he was resigning.
Read 53 tweets
Sep 10
Thread: 10 September 2022: Day 199 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update takes note of #Ukraine's advances against #Russia in the Kharkiv Oblast, which the Russians had only lightly defended; there was also likely an element of surprise. The Ukrainians are pressing on in Kherson, too. Image
#Ukraine has liberated Kupyansk, the crucial city of #Russia's occupation administration in #Kharkiv. Her troops can be seen here in the city centre.
Read 41 tweets
Sep 5
Thread: 5 September 2022: Day 194 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia's "main effort in #Ukraine almost certainly remains its Donbas offensive", rather than reinforcing against the counter-offensive in Kherson. Moscow has had "the most success" in Donetsk recently, but it is still advancing only 0.5 miles per week. Image
Horseshoe theory in action: "Progressive International" leader supporting the nationalist protests in #Czechia and their #Russia-friendly demands to cease support to #Ukraine and restore economic relations with Moscow. Image
Read 15 tweets

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