Thread: 26 October 2022: Day 245 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: the governor of Belgorod within #Russia announced on Oct. 24 that the main rail line linking Russia and #Belarus was sabotaged by "Stop the Wagons" (StW), ostensibly a "Russian anti-war group".
It does not take an especially suspicious mind to believe that "Stop the Wagons" (StW) is supported by, if not fabricated by, #Ukraine's intelligence services, which suggests a serious issue for #Russia, at least in the key war staging areas on the border.
Once again the #US messaging is pretty off-base: it seems there are NASAMS in #Ukraine, but this has not been announced, and perhaps will not be for weeks.
#Russia: At a mobilisation centre in Novosibirsk, in southern Siberia, a mobik from the Republic of Tuva has died from alcohol poisoning, the third such death at the Novosibirsk centre. nsknews.info/materials/mobi…
#Germany: in Hamburg, a 62-year-old man has been fined €4,000 euros for displaying the "Z" symbol of #Russia's war on #Ukraine in the rear window of his car. The man can appeal. dw.com/en/german-cour…
Thread 👇🏼 Oleksiy Arestovych, adviser to #Ukraine's President Zelensky, speaks candidly about relations with #Israel.
Slightly awkward moment on #Russian state television when pundit Viktor Olevich is asked about the accusations #Ukraine is preparing to set off a "dirty bomb" on its own territory and turns out to be a little too reality-based.
Key point from #Ukraine's Defence Minister @oleksiireznikov, which is why the argument #Europe should step up before the #US does more is the wrong way around: the Europeans get on board when they see the Americans are serious in seeing something through.
#Russia's messaging against "Satanism" in #Ukraine is a logical continuation of a lot of the Orthodox & nationalist ideological trends that launched the war, but the fact President Zelensky is Jewish has made this "anti-Christ" theme resonate in the West.
#Russia's lead propagandist Vladimir Solovyov directly endorses #Chechnya's warlord-president Ramzan Kayrov in describing the war on #Ukraine as a war against "Satanists". "This is a jihad", Solovyov says multiple times.
A former #Russian military official explains that in the Army there is male-male sexual contact, but it is non-consensual, a "tradition of punitive sex", thus it is okay, unlike "literal faggotry ... in the degenerate West".
Excuse me, the Russian Army does have its standards.
The official is also proud of the fact that overt homosexuals run a serious risk of being beaten in the streets in #Russia, and in general the police do not trouble themselves with preventing or punishing such things. Again, pure class. H/T @JayinKyiv
Notable moment in Saint Petersburg: a university professor, Denis Skopin, who has been jailed for anti-war activities and now fired, is cheered as he leaves campus.
Another ordinary day with Ramzan Kadyrov: "jihad", "devils", and a pre-advertised intention that his forces should commit systematic war crimes in Ukraine.
This is what Ramzan was responding to with his call for "jihad" and the massacre of "devils" (Ukrainians): Ukraine struck a base with Chechens in Kherson and killed a significant number of them.
The cost of #NATO abandoning #Afghanistan has not even begun to be seen yet, but here is one piece of it: #Russia (of course in direct collaboration with its strategic partner in #Iran) is looking to scoop up the people we betrayed and use them against us
#Germany to limit #China's ownership of its Hamburg port to below a quarter, which is presumably seen as a responsible step, rather than a catastrophic, needless opening up of a security vulnerability coupled with political clownshoes.
Many criticisms to be made of the Democratic Party, but becoming an inhospitable environment for Tulsi Gabbard is a sign of political health in any institution.
Signs of progress from #Australia after some recent reporting highlighting its laggardness: some troops are going to help the training mission in #Britain and there seems to be some move on the Bushmasters, but shipping three per fortnight is ... slow.
More on the @USProgressives' Russia-friendly advocacy: having disavowed the letter and blamed it on a procedural mistake that it was even released, they are now briefing that they support the substance but "The Blob" came after them.
Brittney Griner, the #American basketball player abducted by the state in #Russia exactly a week before the full-scale invasion of #Ukraine, has been "sentenced" by a "court" to nine years in the prison camp system as part of Moscow's hostage diplomacy.
Anton Krasovsky has "apologised" for genocide advocacy: "My country wanted to be better than the enemy. I'm a fool who mixed good with evil." And RT's Margarita Simonyan says she is bound by Orthodox Christianity to forgive him. thedailybeast.com/rt-boss-margar…
#pt: If Krasovsky is now "forgiven" after his "apology", have to be some narrative revision for some of Russia's propagandists.
#Putin announced that #Russia is being moved on to a wartime economy, mostly meaning in a practical sense that pseudo-legal cover is being given to the presidency interfering with infrastructure, education, and other aspects. moscowtimes.eu/2022/10/25/put…
.@oleksiireznikov is almost certainly correct about this: the West has sent every other category of weapons; for some reason we just insist on a delay (and all the needless deaths in that time) first.
It is amazing how dysfunctional #Russia's Army is: it manages to be so centralised that Moscow is taking decisions brigade commanders should, while simultaneously not being an "army" but a collection of competing, predatory militias that don't coordinate.
.@LawDavF gets it: "[#Russian mobiks] have been used as disposable soldiers, good only for one attack before dead, wounded, or surrendered", possibly why Moscow is "not bothering to kit them out properly, saving scarce equipment for experienced soldiers". samf.substack.com/p/general-wint…
More pro-#Russia signs in #Haiti, doubtless entirely spontaneous.
Interesting signal: #Armenia has banned Konstantin Zatulin, the Duma deputy dealing with the Commonwealth of Independent States (#CIS), and RT chief Margarita Simonyan, who is of Armenian extraction.
Thread: 25 October 2022: Day 244 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia has lost at least 23 Ka-52 HOKUM attack helicopters, a quarter of its in-service fleet, in #Ukraine, many to MANPADS. The Russians still do not have air superiority and the helicopters have less cover from combat jets than they are meant to.
#Germany's President Frank-Walter Steinmeier went to #Ukraine today, where he is rather suspected because of his record on #Russia. He met President Zelensky and Kyiv Mayor, Vitali Klitschko, with whom he visited sites attacked by Russia using the Iran-supplied drones on Oct. 17.
Thread: 24 October 2022: Day 243 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russia is using #Iran's Shahed-136 drones, but #Ukraine is "increasingly successful" dealing with them. Even if President Zelensky exaggerates when he says 85% of them are brought down, they are slow, noisy, and a poor replacement for precision missiles
Foreign Secretaries of #America, #Britain, and #France issued a statement overnight "reject[ing] #Russia's transparently false allegations that #Ukraine is preparing to use a dirty bomb on its own territory". This is a "pretext for [Russian] escalation". gov.uk/government/new…
Thread: 15 October 2022: Day 234 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update: #Russian mobilised reservists have begun arriving in #Ukraine over the last two weeks with even fewer provisions than the Army. Notably, they have been buying their own body armour. Corruption and poor logistics remain central features of Russia's Army.
Saddam was so self-destructively reckless: on Dec. 7, 2002, the day he was supposedly complying with UNSCR 1441 that demanded he come clean at last on the WMD, he made a speech calling for "the mujahideen" in Kuwait to join his "jihad" against the infidels news.bbc.co.uk/hi/arabic/news…
Incidentally, the speech was framed by Saddam as an apology to Kuwait (at last) for ransacking and massacring the country in 1990-91, but the Kuwaiti government correctly saw it as incitement to terrorism, against them and against the Coalition troops.
Thread: 14 October 2022: Day 233 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Latest @DefenceHQ update covers the Bakhmut front in the Donetsk Oblast, where #Russia is trying to make advances and making little progress against #Ukraine.
#Russia: Sergey Kandybin, rector of an Orthodox church in the Telma in the Irkutsk area of Siberia, reported local politician Sergey Uglyanitsa to the FSB after Uglyanitsa said in confession he had lit a candle on Red Square hoping for #Ukraine's victory. news.obozrevatel.com/russia/v-rossi…
Thread: 13 October 2022: Day 232 of #Russia's invasion of #Ukraine
Cretinous. #France's President Macron playing into #Russia's propaganda about "World War [Three]".
In an interview on "France 2", #France's President Macron said French "vital interests ... would not be at stake if there was a nuclear ballistic attack in Ukraine or in the region" by #Russia. politico.eu/article/france…